Fastenal Company (FAST) fair value analysis

S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Fastenal Company is a distributor of fasteners, tools, and other supplies for industrial and construction applications. The company operates through a network of distribution centers and stores across North America and internationally.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, FAST is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.

FAST currently ranks #31 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $49.60
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $40.15–$48.75

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: A
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for FAST

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for FAST, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $40.15–$48.75.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 49.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for FAST
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent FAST news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for FAST is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting Fastenal Stock Will Climb or Sink? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-11)
TickrTrends take: Fastenal operates in the Industrials sector where TickrTrends currently derives an Undervalued verdict for the stock. Given this assessment, analyst predictions about the company's direction become particularly relevant for investors monitoring whether the market may be mispricing the company relative to its fundamentals. A valuation-focused reader should track whether analyst sentiment aligns with or diverges from the undervaluation signal, as this divergence could indicate either missed opportunities or potential shifts in how the market perceives FAST's worth.
Fastenal Company (FAST) Gains from Reshoring Trends and AI Infrastructure Buildout (insidermonkey.com, 2026-07-23)
TickrTrends take: Fastenal's exposure to reshoring trends and AI infrastructure buildout represents potential revenue tailwinds that could support earnings growth in the coming quarters. Given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the company can convert these structural growth opportunities into margin expansion or sustained revenue acceleration that justifies current price levels. The industrial supply sector's connection to both domestic manufacturing revival and technology infrastructure spending positions FAST to benefit from two significant macroeconomic themes simultaneously.
Fastenal Company (FAST) Gains from Reshoring Trends and AI Infrastructure Buildout (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-07-23)
TickrTrends take: Fastenal's exposure to reshoring trends and AI infrastructure expansion represents demand catalysts that could support revenue growth in coming periods, which TickrTrends currently reflects as undervalued relative to the Industrials sector. Investors tracking valuation should monitor whether these structural tailwinds translate into margin expansion or remain offset by competitive pricing pressures in the distribution business. The sustainability of these growth drivers will be important to confirm whether the current undervalued assessment can be justified by actual earnings progression.

What people are saying

Follow the FAST conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for FAST shifted this week, with the DCF cross-check band moving from an overvalued signal to none, while the momentum indicator moved from a B rating to none. The current valuation verdict remains undervalued. These changes suggest a recalibration of the analytical signals tracking this industrials sector stock.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is FAST stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), FAST is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is FAST's TickrTrends verdict?

FAST's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does FAST compare to other Industrials stocks?

FAST ranks #31 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is FAST overbought or oversold?

FAST's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

FAST vs AMSC · FAST vs AOS · FAST vs CARR · FAST vs CECO · FAST vs CTAS