Fastenal Company (FAST) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
FAST price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedFAST is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $50.75
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $39.15–$52.38
- Market cap
- $58.2B
- From 52-week high
- -3.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.15B
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #39 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Fastenal Company is a distributor of fasteners, tools, and other supplies for industrial and construction applications. The company operates through a network of distribution centers and stores across North America and internationally.
FAST currently ranks #39 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $58.2B
- P/E (trailing)
- 41x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $9.08B
- Net margin
- 15.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.24
- Gross margin
- 44.8%
- Debt / equity
- 0.11
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 13.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.15B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 57 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $50.39
- 200-day average
- $46.69
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.96 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.89%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-10-28
- Last payment date
- 2026-08-25
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 2 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-09 ▲ beat (+2.9%)
2026-06 ▬ met (0.0%)
2026-03 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-12 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-3.3%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+7.4%)
2025-03 ▬ met (0.0%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-4.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 6 buy · 7 hold · 5 sell (18 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $51.1
- Target vs last price
- +0.7%
What our data shows for FAST
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for FAST, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $39.15–$52.38.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 57.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for FAST
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent FAST news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for FAST is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.
- Fastenal: I See No Reason To Pay A Higher Premium (NASDAQ:FAST) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Fastenal's current undervalued classification by TickrTrends suggests the market may not be pricing in the company's industrial distribution fundamentals at a level commensurate with its operational profile. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether the company's earnings growth trajectory and cash generation can justify maintaining or expanding its valuation multiple going forward. Any shifts in the company's margin performance or market share dynamics in industrial fastening and supplies would be key metrics to track against the current undervaluation assessment. - Q3 2026 Fastenal Company Earnings Call Transcript (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: Fastenal Company reported third quarter 2026 results, providing investors with updated financial performance data relevant to assessing the company's valuation metrics. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued designation for FAST, earnings calls typically offer insights into revenue trends, margin performance, and capital allocation that can either support or challenge the undervalued thesis. Valuation-focused readers should monitor management commentary on operational efficiency and market demand within the industrials sector to evaluate whether current pricing adequately reflects the company's earnings power and growth trajectory. - Fastenal expects 27,000 to 29,000 weighted device signings in 2026 as sales rise 15.5% (NASDAQ:FAST) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: Fastenal's projection of 27,000 to 29,000 weighted device signings for 2026 reflects confidence in its fastening and industrial supply distribution business, with current year sales growth of 15% supporting that outlook. Given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, investors should monitor whether the company can sustain this growth momentum and convert device signings into revenue accretion that justifies expansion in valuation multiples. The execution risk on reaching the upper end of guidance will be particularly relevant to watch, as achievement of those targets could validate the current undervalued positioning in the Industrials sector.
More FAST news
- Fastenal (FAST) Set to Report Q3 Earnings on October 14, 2026 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
- Fastenal Q3 2026 Earnings Preview (NASDAQ:FAST) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-13)
- Fastenal Q3 Preview: Expecting Operational Results To Justify Rich Valuation (NASDAQ:FAST) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-07)
What people are saying
Follow the FAST conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for FAST show a shift in revenue growth assessment this week, with the band moving from modest to strong. The stock remains classified as undervalued according to the current valuation verdict. This improvement in the revenue growth indicator reflects stronger sales trajectory performance compared to the prior week's assessment.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for FAST show movement this week, with the quality grade improving from B to A. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict based on current assessments. This upgrade in quality grade reflects positive shifts in the company's fundamental metrics within the Industrials sector.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for FAST have shifted this week, with the 50/200-day trend state moving from uptrend to mixed. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict despite this technical transition. This change suggests the intermediate-term momentum has become less decisively directional compared to the prior week.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is FAST stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), FAST is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is FAST's TickrTrends verdict?
FAST's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does FAST compare to other Industrials stocks?
FAST ranks #39 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is FAST overbought or oversold?
FAST's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does FAST pay a dividend?
Yes. FAST paid $0.96 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.89% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-10-28.
Does FAST usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters FAST beat the consensus estimate 2 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about FAST?
Of 18 analysts covering FAST, 6 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 5 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $51.1 (+0.7% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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