Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. provides freight forwarding and logistics services, including air and ocean freight forwarding, customs brokerage, and supply chain management solutions for global trade. The company operates worldwide through offices and agents located across North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions to serve customers shipping goods internationally.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, EXPD is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

EXPD currently ranks #83 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $188.80
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $121.90–$187.70

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Declining
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The top quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for EXPD

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for EXPD, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $121.90–$187.70.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 60.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for EXPD
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent EXPD news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for EXPD is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) Discusses Canada's New Counter Tariffs and Preparing Import Supply Chains Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: Expeditors International's engagement with Canada's tariff situation reflects operational challenges in the logistics sector that could affect cost structures and margins. Given TickrTrends' overvalued assessment, investors monitoring this stock should track whether supply chain disruptions translate into near-term revenue growth or if margin pressures from tariff-related complexity offset any volume increases. The company's ability to navigate these trade policy headwinds will be critical context for evaluating whether current valuation multiples are justified.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) Discusses Impact of AI Investment Boom on Freight Markets and Global Supply Chains Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: Expeditors International operates in a freight and logistics context where artificial intelligence investment activity could materially alter demand patterns and supply chain routing. Given TickrTrends' current overvalued assessment, investors should monitor whether AI-driven freight volumes translate into margin expansion sufficient to justify the current valuation, or whether competitive logistics capacity additions erode pricing power. The company's exposure to cyclical industrial demand means its ability to convert AI infrastructure buildout into sustained earnings growth will be central to whether the overvaluation designation persists or resolves.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) Discusses Impact of AI Investment Boom on Freight Markets and Supply Chains Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: Expeditors International operates within the Industrials sector, where TickrTrends currently rates it as overvalued. The company's discussion of how AI investment trends are reshaping freight demand and supply chain dynamics represents a material factor that valuation-focused investors should monitor, as shifts in logistics patterns could significantly affect revenue streams and margins. Given the current overvaluation assessment, investors should track whether EXPD's operational adjustments to AI-driven market changes justify its present valuation or whether near-term headwinds in freight markets could pressure multiples further.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for EXPD showed a shift this week as the Relative Strength Index moved from overbought territory into neutral zone. The stock remains classified as overvalued according to current valuation metrics within the Industrials sector.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is EXPD stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), EXPD is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is EXPD's TickrTrends verdict?

EXPD's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does EXPD compare to other Industrials stocks?

EXPD ranks #83 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is EXPD overbought or oversold?

EXPD's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

EXPD vs CMI · EXPD vs CSX · EXPD vs DAL · EXPD vs GWW · EXPD vs LHX