W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
GWW price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedGWW is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $1,289.79
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $918.18–$1,402.03
- Market cap
- $60.8B
- From 52-week high
- -8.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 47.1M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #71 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
W.W. Grainger, Inc. is a distributor of maintenance, repair, and operating supplies, as well as products for safety and facility maintenance. The company operates through a network of branches and distribution centers across North America, serving customers in various industries.
GWW currently ranks #71 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 11 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $60.8B
- P/E (trailing)
- 30x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $18.8B
- Net margin
- 9.9%
- EPS (TTM)
- $43.31
- Gross margin
- 39.5%
- Debt / equity
- 0.68
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 6.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 47.1M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 67 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $1,292.38
- 200-day average
- $1,220.36
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $9.50 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.74%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 26
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-10
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-01
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 4 beat, 4 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+6.5%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+14.1%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-0.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+2.6%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-1.0%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+3.7%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-0.3%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-1.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 4 buy · 13 hold · 2 sell (19 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $1330
- Target vs last price
- +3.1%
What our data shows for GWW
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for GWW, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $918.18–$1,402.03.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 67.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for GWW
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent GWW news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for GWW is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- GWW DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $817 vs Price $1336 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: GWW's current trading price of $1336 significantly exceeds the intrinsic value of $817 derived from discounted cash flow analysis, suggesting the stock is trading at a substantial premium to its calculated fundamental worth. Despite TickrTrends' assessment that GWW is fairly valued, this DCF analysis indicates a meaningful gap between market price and intrinsic value that valuation-focused investors may want to monitor closely. For those tracking industrials sector valuations, this divergence between the $817 DCF figure and current market pricing represents a key metric to observe as earnings and economic conditions evolve. - GWW Maintains Rating by RBC Capital -- Price Target Lowered to $1427 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: GWW received a maintained rating from RBC Capital with a price target adjustment to $1427, reflecting analyst recalibration of the company's prospects. Within TickrTrends' current assessment of fairly valued status, this target adjustment provides a reference point for how the market may be pricing the industrial company's near-term performance relative to its intrinsic value. Valuation-focused readers should monitor whether the stock trades toward or away from this analyst target, as such movement can signal shifts in market sentiment within the industrials sector. - Is GWW Overvalued? DCF Says Worth $817 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: A recent discounted cash flow analysis suggests GWW has intrinsic value around $817 per share, which TickrTrends currently assesses as fairly valued. For investors focused on valuation metrics, tracking whether the stock price moves closer to or further from this DCF-derived target will be relevant to monitoring whether the fairly valued assessment holds. Given that GWW operates in the capital-intensive Industrials sector where cash flow projections significantly influence valuation, changes in the company's operational performance could shift whether this level remains an appropriate value anchor.
More GWW news
- Grainger (GWW) is Growing Faster. How Much of its Margin Gain Can Last? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-07)
- GWW DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $817 vs Price $1249 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
- Is GWW Overvalued? DCF Says Worth $987 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-10)
What people are saying
Follow the GWW conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — GWW's sector discount rank declined this week, moving from 71 to 77 among Industrials companies, indicating a slightly weaker relative valuation position within its peer group. Despite this shift in ranking, the stock maintains a Fairly valued assessment according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. The change suggests GWW has become incrementally less attractively priced compared to other industrial sector constituents.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is GWW stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), GWW is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is GWW's TickrTrends verdict?
GWW's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does GWW compare to other Industrials stocks?
GWW ranks #71 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is GWW overbought or oversold?
GWW's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does GWW pay a dividend?
Yes. GWW paid $9.50 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.74% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 26 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-10.
When does GWW report earnings next?
GWW's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does GWW usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters GWW beat the consensus estimate 4 times and missed 4 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about GWW?
Of 19 analysts covering GWW, 4 rate it a buy, 13 a hold and 2 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $1330 (+3.1% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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