Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Hillman Solutions Corp. is a fastener and hardware distributor that supplies products such as screws, bolts, nuts, and other industrial components to retail and commercial customers. The company operates throughout North America, serving customers across various industries including retail, construction, and manufacturing.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, HLMN is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.

HLMN currently ranks #14 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $8.31
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $7.40–$9.71

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Moderate
RSI zone: Oversold
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The lower-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for HLMN

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for HLMN, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $7.40–$9.71.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at an oversold 28.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for HLMN
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent HLMN news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for HLMN is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Multiple Headwinds Overshadow Hillman Solutions Corp.’s (HLMN) Strong Fundamentals (insidermonkey.com, 2026-08-07)
TickrTrends take: Hillman Solutions Corp. operates in the Industrials sector where TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as undervalued, suggesting potential disconnect between market pricing and underlying business performance. The headline indicates the company maintains strong fundamentals despite near-term operational challenges, which aligns with a valuation thesis that temporary headwinds may not reflect long-term earnings power. Investors monitoring valuation metrics should track whether these headwinds persist or reverse, as this could validate or challenge the undervalued designation.
Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-04)
TickrTrends take: Hillman Solutions Corp. operates in the Industrials sector and is currently assessed as undervalued according to TickrTrends analysis. The company's Q2 2026 earnings call provides an opportunity for investors focused on valuation metrics to review operational performance, margin trends, and capital allocation decisions that could substantiate or challenge the current undervalued designation. Management commentary on demand conditions, pricing power, and cost pressures within the industrial fastener and specialty hardware markets will be relevant to understanding whether the valuation discount reflects temporary headwinds or structural value creation opportunities.
Hillman Solutions Q2 Earnings Call Highlights (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-04)
TickrTrends take: Hillman Solutions operates in the Industrials sector where TickrTrends currently derives an Undervalued verdict for the stock. A valuation-focused reader monitoring the company should pay attention to whether the Q2 earnings call demonstrates operational improvements or margin expansion that could support or challenge the current undervaluation assessment. The call's discussion of cash flow generation and capital allocation will be particularly relevant for investors evaluating whether the current valuation reflects the company's underlying earnings power.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — HLMN, an Industrials sector company currently trading at an undervalued valuation, saw its momentum indicator downgrade from B to none this week, signaling a loss of positive directional movement. The stock's RSI zone shifted from neutral territory into oversold conditions, suggesting that recent selling pressure may have pushed the price down more sharply than typical market movements would warrant.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is HLMN stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), HLMN is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is HLMN's TickrTrends verdict?

HLMN's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does HLMN compare to other Industrials stocks?

HLMN ranks #14 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is HLMN overbought or oversold?

HLMN's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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