The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
HIG price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedHIG is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $129.11
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $122.36–$145.68
- Market cap
- $35B
- From 52-week high
- -11.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 271M
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #71 of 167
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. provides property and casualty insurance, group benefits insurance, and personal insurance products to individuals and businesses. The company operates throughout the United States and serves customers across multiple insurance lines including auto, home, workers compensation, and commercial coverage.
HIG currently ranks #71 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $35B
- P/E (trailing)
- 9x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $29B
- Net margin
- 15.0%
- EPS (TTM)
- $14.34
- Gross margin
- 34.6%
- Debt / equity
- 0.22
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 6.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 271M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 58 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $133.75
- 200-day average
- $135.45
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $2.40 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.86%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 13
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-01
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-02
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-26 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+9.6%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-8.8%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+26.1%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+13.9%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+20.5%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+2.3%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+11.4%)
2024-09 ▬ met (0.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 8 buy · 15 hold · 0 sell (23 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $147
- Target vs last price
- +13.9%
What our data shows for HIG
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for HIG, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $122.36–$145.68.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 58.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for HIG
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
What people are saying
Follow the HIG conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — HIG moved from an oversold to a neutral RSI zone this week, indicating a shift in momentum conditions. The company's sector discount rank declined from 65 to 72, meaning it is now ranked lower within the Financial Services sector for relative valuation discount. At current levels, HIG is considered fairly valued.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for HIG show movement toward oversold conditions this week, with the RSI zone shifting from neutral to oversold territory. The stock's sector discount rank improved to #81 from #87, indicating a slightly stronger relative valuation position within the Financial Services sector. HIG maintains a fairly valued assessment despite these weekly shifts in technical and comparative metrics.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is HIG stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), HIG is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is HIG's TickrTrends verdict?
HIG's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does HIG compare to other Financial Services stocks?
HIG ranks #71 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is HIG overbought or oversold?
HIG's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does HIG pay a dividend?
Yes. HIG paid $2.40 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.86% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 13 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-01.
When does HIG report earnings next?
HIG's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-26 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does HIG usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters HIG beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about HIG?
Of 23 analysts covering HIG, 8 rate it a buy, 15 a hold and 0 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $147 (+13.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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