JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
JPM price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedJPM is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $332.99
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $282.84–$365.18
- Market cap
- $884B
- From 52-week high
- -8.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 2.66B
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #129 of 167
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a diversified financial services company that provides banking, investment, and asset management services to consumers, businesses, and institutions. The company operates globally with significant presence in the United States and major financial centers around the world.
JPM currently ranks #129 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $884B
- P/E (trailing)
- 15x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $302B
- Net margin
- 21.9%
- EPS (TTM)
- $22.46
- Gross margin
- 62.2%
- Debt / equity
- 3.32
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 7.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 2.66B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 47 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $348.12
- 200-day average
- $322.37
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $6.15 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.85%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 15
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-10-06
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-31
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2027-01-14
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-09 ▼ miss (-3.2%)
2026-06 ▲ beat (+9.8%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+7.8%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-3.9%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+4.1%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+10.7%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+9.3%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+19.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 13 buy · 11 hold · 0 sell (24 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $373
- Target vs last price
- +12.0%
What our data shows for JPM
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for JPM, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $282.84–$365.18.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 47.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for JPM
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent JPM news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for JPM is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- JPMorgan Expands JPM Coin Deposit Token to Ethereum (ETH) for Financial Institutions (crowdfundinsider.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: JPMorgan's expansion of its JPM Coin deposit token to the Ethereum blockchain represents a strategic move to broaden its digital asset infrastructure, though this development occurs while TickrTrends' valuation analysis currently indicates the stock is overvalued. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the competitive implications of JPMorgan's blockchain initiatives should be weighed against the company's current market pricing within the Financial Services sector. The long-term revenue impact from such fintech investments remains uncertain, making valuation assessment particularly important for those monitoring whether current stock levels reflect realistic earnings potential. - TD And BMO Among 9 Banks Accused Of Discriminating Against Conservative Customers, US Regulator Says (zerohedge.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: JPMorgan Chase operates within a highly regulated financial services sector where regulatory scrutiny and legal risks directly influence operational costs and shareholder returns. The discrimination accusations against peer institutions underscore heightened regulatory attention on banking practices that could expose JPM to similar investigations, compliance expenses, or reputational pressures affecting profitability. For valuation purposes, investors should monitor whether JPM faces comparable regulatory actions and how management navigates compliance costs in an increasingly scrutinized banking environment, particularly given TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock is overvalued. - Wall Street Banks Face Decline in Trading Revenues (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: JPMorgan Chase operates in an industry facing headwinds from declining trading revenues, which directly impacts a major earnings driver for large financial services firms. Given TickrTrends' assessment that JPM is currently overvalued, investors watching the stock should monitor whether management can offset reduced trading income through other business segments or cost management. Trading revenue weakness across Wall Street could pressure profitability metrics that support current valuation levels, making near-term earnings reports particularly relevant for reassessing whether the overvalued designation persists.
More JPM news
- JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Set to Report Q3 Earnings Amid Solid Dividend Outlook (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
- JPMorgan Chase Tops AI Adoption Among Global Banks, Shows Strong Dividend Sustainability (JPM) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-06)
What people are saying
Follow the JPM conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — JPM's valuation metrics shifted this week within the Financial Services sector. The stock's revenue growth band declined from strong to modest, while its sector discount ranking improved from #142 to #137. The current valuation assessment remains overvalued.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is JPM stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), JPM is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is JPM's TickrTrends verdict?
JPM's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does JPM compare to other Financial Services stocks?
JPM ranks #129 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is JPM overbought or oversold?
JPM's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does JPM pay a dividend?
Yes. JPM paid $6.15 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.85% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 15 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-10-06.
When does JPM report earnings next?
JPM's next earnings report is scheduled for 2027-01-14, per the published earnings calendar.
Does JPM usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters JPM beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about JPM?
Of 24 analysts covering JPM, 13 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $373 (+12.0% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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