KeyCorp (KEY) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

KeyCorp is a regional bank holding company that provides retail and commercial banking services, including deposit products, lending, and investment services to customers. The company operates through branches and offices primarily across the United States, with a significant presence in the Midwest and Northeast regions.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, KEY is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.

KEY currently ranks #30 of 165 Financial Services stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $22.18
Sector: Financial Services
12-month range: $17.54–$22.81

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: A
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Contracting
Revenue growth: Strong
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The top quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Fairly Valued

What our data shows for KEY

Our model validated 16 trailing price-to-earnings windows for KEY, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $17.54–$22.81.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 47.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for KEY
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent KEY news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for KEY is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

KeyCorp: Aggressive Share Buyback Boosts EPS, Preferred Shares Are Interesting (NYSE:KEY) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-15)
TickrTrends take: KeyCorp's aggressive share buyback program mechanically reduces share count, which can elevate earnings per share independent of underlying business performance, a distinction that valuation-focused investors should monitor carefully. Given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment of KEY within the Financial Services sector, observers should evaluate whether the EPS improvement stems from genuine earnings growth or primarily from financial engineering through buybacks. The mention of preferred shares warrants attention as an alternative consideration for income-focused investors evaluating KEY's capital structure and shareholder distribution priorities.
KeyCorp: Assessing The Appeal Of Its Preferred Shares At Current Trajectory (NYSE:KEY) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-14)
TickrTrends take: KeyCorp operates in the Financial Services sector where preferred shares can offer distinct yield characteristics relative to common equity valuations. Given TickrTrends' current Undervalued assessment, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor how KeyCorp's preferred share pricing and terms compare to the broader valuation trajectory of its common stock. The appeal of preferred shares in this context depends on whether the company's fundamental valuation improvement supports both the equity base and the senior securities built upon it.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for KEY in the Financial Services sector showed a shift this week as the DCF cross-check band moved from overvalued to fairly valued. With the current valuation verdict holding at undervalued, KEY presents a divergence between the two assessment methods that warrants consideration of the underlying factors driving this discrepancy.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for KEY in the Financial Services sector showed a change this week as the momentum indicator moved from a C rating to none. The current valuation verdict remains Undervalued.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is KEY stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), KEY is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is KEY's TickrTrends verdict?

KEY's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does KEY compare to other Financial Services stocks?

KEY ranks #30 of 165 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is KEY overbought or oversold?

KEY's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Financial Services fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

KEY vs ALL · KEY vs FFIN · KEY vs GCMG · KEY vs ICE · KEY vs INDB