KeyCorp (KEY) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
KEY price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedKEY is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $19.97
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $17.12–$23.99
- Market cap
- $21.3B
- From 52-week high
- -16.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.07B
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #29 of 167
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
KeyCorp is a regional bank holding company that provides retail and commercial banking services, including deposit products, lending, and investment services to customers. The company operates through branches and offices primarily across the United States, with a significant presence in the Midwest and Northeast regions.
KEY currently ranks #29 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $21.3B
- P/E (trailing)
- 12x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $10.5B
- Net margin
- 19.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.70
- Gross margin
- 60.7%
- Debt / equity
- 0.74
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -7.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.07B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 37 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $21.28
- 200-day average
- $21.56
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.82 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 4.11%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-01
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-15
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+4.8%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+7.3%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+5.1%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+7.9%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+2.9%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+3.1%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+15.2%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-313.6%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 11 buy · 8 hold · 0 sell (19 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $25.1
- Target vs last price
- +25.7%
What our data shows for KEY
- Our model validated 16 trailing price-to-earnings windows for KEY, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $17.12–$23.99.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 37.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for KEY
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent KEY news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for KEY is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- KeyCorp: Right In The Sweet Spot With NII Growth (Rating Upgrade) (NYSE:KEY) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: KeyCorp's net interest income growth positions the company favorably within the Financial Services sector at a time when rising rate environments can support margin expansion. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the rating upgrade reflects improved earnings power that justifies closer examination of the company's forward profitability relative to its current market price. The NII growth trajectory will be a key factor in determining whether the undervalued designation persists or if the market reprices the stock based on stronger fundamental performance. - KeyCorp Benefits From A Differentiated Margin Profile (NYSE:KEY) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: KeyCorp operates in the Financial Services sector where margin performance directly influences profitability and shareholder returns. TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as undervalued, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the benefits of a differentiated margin profile that sets the company apart from competitors. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether KeyCorp's margin advantages translate into earnings growth that can justify or further support an undervalued assessment. - KEY Looks 6.4% Undervalued on GF Value™ Amid Dividend Sustainability (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-22)
TickrTrends take: KeyCorp trades at a discount to its GF Value estimate, which aligns with TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment for the Financial Services company. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's dividend payout level remains sustainable given its earnings trajectory and capital requirements. The alignment between the headline valuation gap and the broader undervalued rating suggests the market may be pricing in concerns that warrant examination of KEY's fundamental business performance relative to its intrinsic value.
More KEY news
- KeyCorp Reaffirms 2026 Outlook as Loan Growth, Margins and Fees Gain Momentum (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-19)
What people are saying
Follow the KEY conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for KEY in the Financial Services sector show movement this week, with the sector discount rank improving from #37 to #32. The current valuation verdict remains Undervalued.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is KEY stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), KEY is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is KEY's TickrTrends verdict?
KEY's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does KEY compare to other Financial Services stocks?
KEY ranks #29 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is KEY overbought or oversold?
KEY's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does KEY pay a dividend?
Yes. KEY paid $0.82 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 4.11% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-01.
Does KEY usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters KEY beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about KEY?
Of 19 analysts covering KEY, 11 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $25.1 (+25.7% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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