LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is a multinational chemical and refining company that produces plastics, chemical intermediates, and fuels through the processing of crude oil and natural gas. The company operates manufacturing facilities and distribution networks across North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions worldwide.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, LYB is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.

LYB currently ranks #9 of 27 Basic Materials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $63.52
Sector: Basic Materials
12-month range: $44.39–$76.71

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Contracting
Revenue growth: Declining
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for LYB

Our model validated 16 trailing price-to-earnings windows for LYB, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $44.39–$76.71.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 57.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for LYB
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent LYB news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for LYB is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.

LyondellBasell: The Market Ignores A Massive Earnings Recovery (NYSE:LYB) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: LyondellBasell operates in the Basic Materials sector where cyclical earnings recovery can significantly impact valuation multiples, and TickrTrends currently assesses the company as undervalued in this context. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether the market continues to discount the earnings recovery mentioned in the headline, as persistent undervaluation could indicate either a delayed recognition of improved fundamentals or underlying concerns about earnings sustainability. The gap between LYB's valuation assessment and market pricing presents a key metric to track as earnings data becomes available.
Europe’s Credit Markets Shrug Off Climate Risks Despite Devastating Droughts (insurancejournal.com, 2026-08-27)
TickrTrends take: LyondellBasell Industries operates in the Basic Materials sector at a valuation the TickrTrends system currently identifies as undervalued. The headline regarding Europe's credit markets dismissing climate risks amid severe droughts carries implications for basic materials companies, as water scarcity and environmental stress can affect production costs and operational capacity in chemical manufacturing. Investors monitoring LYB's valuation should observe how climate-related disruptions to European operations translate into earnings pressure, since credit market complacency about these physical risks may not fully reflect their impact on companies with significant regional exposure.
Does LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) Still Make Sense for Dividend Investors? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-18)
TickrTrends take: LyondellBasell Industries operates in the Basic Materials sector, where cyclical demand and commodity pricing significantly influence valuation multiples and dividend sustainability. TickrTrends currently identifies LYB as undervalued, which suggests the market may be pricing in concerns about near-term earnings or cash flow that could affect its dividend capacity. Dividend investors using a valuation lens should monitor how the company's earnings trajectory and free cash flow generation compare to current market expectations, as this gap often determines whether an undervalued rating reflects a genuine opportunity or signals underlying business headwinds.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — LYB's momentum indicator shifted from A to none this week, representing a significant change in the stock's technical strength. Despite this deterioration in momentum, the current valuation verdict remains Undervalued, suggesting the stock may still present value at present levels according to TickrTrends' derived indicators.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is LYB stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), LYB is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is LYB's TickrTrends verdict?

LYB's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does LYB compare to other Basic Materials stocks?

LYB ranks #9 of 27 Basic Materials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is LYB overbought or oversold?

LYB's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Basic Materials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

LYB vs BCPC · LYB vs CENX · LYB vs DOW · LYB vs ECL · LYB vs FCX