LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
LYB price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedLYB is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $60.03
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- 12-month range
- $42.28–$82.38
- Market cap
- $19.4B
- From 52-week high
- -27.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 323M
- Rank in Basic Materials by discount to fair value
- #23 of 26
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is a multinational chemical and refining company that produces plastics, chemical intermediates, and fuels through the processing of crude oil and natural gas. The company operates manufacturing facilities and distribution networks across North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions worldwide.
LYB currently ranks #23 of 26 Basic Materials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $19.4B
- P/E (trailing)
- 11x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $31.2B
- Net margin
- -1.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $5.54
- Gross margin
- 22.2%
- Debt / equity
- 1.33
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -4.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 323M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 55 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $62.36
- 200-day average
- $62.89
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $3.44 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 5.73%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 2
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-24
- Last payment date
- 2026-08-31
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-30 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 4 beat, 4 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+20.8%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+75.0%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-204.0%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+26.2%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-20.5%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-23.3%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+7.1%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-4.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 6 buy · 10 hold · 3 sell (19 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $67.6
- Target vs last price
- +12.6%
What our data shows for LYB
- Our model validated 16 trailing price-to-earnings windows for LYB, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $42.28–$82.38.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 55.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for LYB
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent LYB news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for LYB is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- LyondellBasell (LYB) Leads U.S. Materials Sector Valuations with A+ Grade on October 21, 2026 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: LyondellBasell received an A+ grade for valuation among U.S. materials sector companies as of October 21, 2026, which aligns with TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock trades at undervalued levels. This top-tier valuation ranking suggests the company's pricing may offer a meaningful gap between market price and fundamental worth relative to peers in the Basic Materials sector. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether this favorable positioning persists or narrows as market conditions evolve. - LyondellBasell: The 40% YTD Rally Doesn't Fully Account For A Potential Recovery (LYB) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: LyondellBasell has experienced a substantial year-to-date increase in share price, yet TickrTrends' valuation analysis suggests the stock remains undervalued relative to fundamental metrics. For investors focused on valuation in the Basic Materials sector, the gap between the stock's recent performance and its assessed intrinsic value could represent an opportunity if the company's operational recovery continues as expected. Monitoring the company's cash flow generation and margin expansion in coming quarters will be important for validating whether the current valuation discount is sustainable or narrowing. - LyondellBasell (LYB) Retraces Amid Shifting Commodity Sentiment (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-16)
TickrTrends take: LyondellBasell operates in the Basic Materials sector where commodity price movements directly influence earnings potential and investor sentiment. TickrTrends currently rates LYB as undervalued, suggesting the market may be overweighting near-term commodity headwinds relative to longer-term asset value. For valuation-focused investors, monitoring whether this retracement represents a temporary shift in sentiment or signals sustained weakness in underlying commodity demand will be key to validating the undervalued assessment.
More LYB news
- How Is LyondellBasell Industries’ Stock Performance Compared to Other Industrial Stocks? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-14)
- 3 of the Most Resilient High-Yield Dividend Stocks in the Chemical Sector: A Safety Deep Dive (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-13)
What people are saying
Follow the LYB conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is LYB stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), LYB is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is LYB's TickrTrends verdict?
LYB's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does LYB compare to other Basic Materials stocks?
LYB ranks #23 of 26 Basic Materials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is LYB overbought or oversold?
LYB's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does LYB pay a dividend?
Yes. LYB paid $3.44 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 5.73% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 2 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-24.
When does LYB report earnings next?
LYB's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-30 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does LYB usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters LYB beat the consensus estimate 4 times and missed 4 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about LYB?
Of 19 analysts covering LYB, 6 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 3 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $67.6 (+12.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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