Methanex Corporation (MEOH) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Methanex Corporation is a global producer and supplier of methanol, a key chemical commodity used in various industrial applications including the production of formaldehyde, acetic acid, and fuels. The company operates production facilities and conducts business across multiple regions including North America, South America, Asia, and Europe.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, MEOH is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.

MEOH currently ranks #5 of 27 Basic Materials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $54.31
Sector: Basic Materials
12-month range: $35.86–$64.04

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Moderate
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for MEOH

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MEOH, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $35.86–$64.04.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 62.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MEOH
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent MEOH news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MEOH is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Market Open: ASX tipped to bounce back on positive US news and falling oil prices (themarketherald.com.au, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: MEOH operates in the Basic Materials sector, where commodity price movements and energy costs significantly influence operational economics. With oil prices falling according to the current market conditions, the cost pressures on methanol producers may ease, potentially improving margins for companies in this space. TickrTrends currently rates MEOH as undervalued, making this environment of lower input costs a factor for valuation-focused readers to monitor as it could support profitability metrics.
Methanex: Portfolio High-Grading Creates A Reliability Premium (NASDAQ:MEOH) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: Methanex operates in the Basic Materials sector where operational reliability and asset quality can command valuation premiums in commodity-driven markets. TickrTrends currently derives an undervalued verdict for MEOH, suggesting the market may not yet be fully pricing in benefits from portfolio optimization efforts that enhance long-term cash generation stability. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether improvements in asset quality translate into sustained margin performance and whether the market reassesses the company's risk profile relative to peers.
Methanex Provides Update on New Zealand Operations (manilatimes.net, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: Methanex's update on its New Zealand operations comes at a time when TickrTrends' analysis suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its fundamentals in the Basic Materials sector. Investors monitoring valuation metrics should track whether operational developments in New Zealand affect the company's production capacity and cost structure, as these factors directly influence the earnings power that supports current valuation assessments. Any material changes to these operations could either reinforce the undervalued positioning or prompt a revaluation of the stock's intrinsic worth.

What people are saying

Follow the MEOH conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for MEOH show that momentum has shifted from a rating of A to no rating this week. The stock remains classified as undervalued based on current valuation metrics. This change in momentum status represents a notable shift in the technical picture for this Basic Materials sector company.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is MEOH stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), MEOH is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is MEOH's TickrTrends verdict?

MEOH's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does MEOH compare to other Basic Materials stocks?

MEOH ranks #5 of 27 Basic Materials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is MEOH overbought or oversold?

MEOH's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Basic Materials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

MEOH vs CENX · MEOH vs DOW · MEOH vs ECL · MEOH vs FCX · MEOH vs GSM