Methanex Corporation (MEOH) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
MEOH price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedMEOH is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $64.96
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- 12-month range
- $33.88–$65.72
- Market cap
- $5.03B
- From 52-week high
- -1.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 77.4M
- Rank in Basic Materials by discount to fair value
- #24 of 26
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Methanex Corporation is a global producer and supplier of methanol, a key chemical commodity used in various industrial applications including the production of formaldehyde, acetic acid, and fuels. The company operates production facilities and conducts business across multiple regions including North America, South America, Asia, and Europe.
MEOH currently ranks #24 of 26 Basic Materials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $5.03B
- P/E (trailing)
- 16x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.27B
- Net margin
- 2.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $4.09
- Gross margin
- 45.7%
- Debt / equity
- 1.22
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 23.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 77.4M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 65 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $59.50
- 200-day average
- $55.49
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.74 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.14%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-16
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-30
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 3 beat, 4 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-3.2%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-28.6%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-121.5%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-85.4%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+246.4%)
2025-03 ▬ met (0.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+13.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+116.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 7 buy · 3 hold · 0 sell (10 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $71.2
- Target vs last price
- +9.6%
What our data shows for MEOH
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MEOH, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $33.88–$65.72.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 65.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MEOH
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent MEOH news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MEOH is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Methanex (MEOH) Plans a $300M Debt Repayment. Is It Keeping Enough Cash? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-29)
TickrTrends take: Methanex's plan to repay $300 million in debt suggests management confidence in cash generation, which aligns with TickrTrends' undervalued assessment if the company maintains sufficient liquidity for operations and growth. For valuation-focused investors, the key consideration is whether this debt reduction materially improves the company's financial position relative to its current market valuation in the Basic Materials sector. The outcome depends on cash flow trends and whether debt service impacts the company's ability to invest in or sustain its core methanol business. - This Strategy Sees Value in Methanex (MEOH) Despite a Near-Term Cash Flow Pullback (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-21)
TickrTrends take: Methanex operates in the Basic Materials sector where cyclical cash flow fluctuations are common, and TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as undervalued despite the near-term cash flow headwinds mentioned in recent analysis. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the current cash flow pullback represents a temporary cyclical trough or signals a longer-term deterioration in the company's earnings power. The gap between MEOH's current market price and its intrinsic value, if sustained, may narrow once cash flow conditions stabilize or improve. - Methanex Announces US$300 Million Partial 2027 Note Redemption (manilatimes.net, 2026-09-21)
TickrTrends take: Methanex's announcement to redeem US$300 million of its 2027 notes represents a capital management decision that reduces future debt obligations and may improve the company's leverage metrics going forward. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that MEOH trades at an undervalued level within the Basic Materials sector, investors monitoring the stock should observe how this debt reduction impacts the company's financial flexibility and whether it influences near-term earnings per share or cash flow metrics. The redemption timing and execution could provide insight into management's confidence in the company's operational performance and capital allocation priorities.
What people are saying
Follow the MEOH conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — MEOH's position within the Basic Materials sector has shifted this week, with its sector discount rank moving from number 11 to number 16, indicating a relatively wider valuation discount compared to peer companies in the sector. The stock maintains an undervalued assessment based on current fundamental metrics. This change reflects how MEOH's valuation standing has evolved in relation to other Basic Materials companies over the past week.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for MEOH showed a shift this week as the RSI zone moved from overbought to neutral territory. The stock remains classified as undervalued based on current valuation metrics. This transition suggests a moderation in momentum from the previous week's overbought conditions.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is MEOH stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), MEOH is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is MEOH's TickrTrends verdict?
MEOH's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does MEOH compare to other Basic Materials stocks?
MEOH ranks #24 of 26 Basic Materials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is MEOH overbought or oversold?
MEOH's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does MEOH pay a dividend?
Yes. MEOH paid $0.74 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.14% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-16.
When does MEOH report earnings next?
MEOH's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does MEOH usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters MEOH beat the consensus estimate 3 times and missed 4 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about MEOH?
Of 10 analysts covering MEOH, 7 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $71.2 (+9.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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