Nucor Corporation (NUE) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
NUE price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedNUE is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $250.33
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- 12-month range
- $138.70–$274.74
- Market cap
- $56.8B
- From 52-week high
- -8.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 227M
- Rank in Basic Materials by discount to fair value
- #15 of 26
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Nucor Corporation is a steel and steel products manufacturer that operates through multiple business segments including steel mills, steel products, raw materials, and other industrial operations. The company operates facilities across the United States and maintains a significant presence in North America's steel industry.
NUE currently ranks #15 of 26 Basic Materials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 7 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $56.8B
- P/E (trailing)
- 20x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $36.1B
- Net margin
- 8.0%
- EPS (TTM)
- $12.43
- Gross margin
- 19.6%
- Debt / equity
- 0.32
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 6.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 227M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 47 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $253.92
- 200-day average
- $219.11
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $2.24 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.89%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 16
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-30
- Last payment date
- 2026-11-10
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-26 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+5.9%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+14.5%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-4.4%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+21.2%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+0.4%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+16.7%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+96.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+5.7%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 13 buy · 3 hold · 1 sell (17 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $284
- Target vs last price
- +13.5%
What our data shows for NUE
- Our model validated 14 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NUE, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $138.70–$274.74.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 47.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NUE
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent NUE news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for NUE is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Nucor Q3 Earnings: The Market Is Too Narrowly-Focused On Quarterly Noise (NYSE:NUE) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Nucor operates in the Basic Materials sector where quarterly earnings volatility is common, yet TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as fairly valued, suggesting the market has already priced in near-term noise. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether management commentary indicates structural shifts in steel demand or pricing power rather than treating individual quarterly results as directional signals. The fairly valued assessment indicates current market pricing reflects reasonable expectations for the business, so material moves would likely depend on changes to longer-term industry fundamentals rather than quarterly beat-or-miss outcomes. - Steel Prices Surge Ahead of Q3 Earnings, Boosting Nucor Corp (NUE) Prospects (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Nucor Corp operates in the Basic Materials sector where commodity price movements directly influence profitability and earnings potential. With steel prices rising ahead of Q3 earnings, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the company can convert higher commodity prices into margin expansion or if costs rise proportionally to offset the benefit. TickrTrends currently assesses NUE as fairly valued, suggesting the market may already be incorporating some positive expectations from the steel price environment into the current stock price. - Wall Street Sees Mixed Close; Nucor (NUE) Shares Rise Amid Strong Industrial Production (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Nucor's share price movement during a mixed market session reflects investor confidence in the company's exposure to industrial production trends, which remain relevant to Basic Materials sector dynamics. Given TickrTrends' assessment that NUE is fairly valued at current levels, investors monitoring the stock should track whether sustained industrial production strength can support valuations without requiring further price appreciation to justify entry points. The relationship between industrial output data and Nucor's operational performance will be a key metric for determining whether the fairly valued designation holds or shifts with changing economic conditions.
More NUE news
- Nucor Corporation (NUE) Positioned for Q3 Earnings Growth Amid Sector Optimism (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
- Eaton (NYSE:ETN) and Nucor (NYSE:NUE): Jim Cramer Likes Both But One Might Be A Hidden Data Center Stock (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-08)
- Mesabi Metallics Launches $15B Steel Project in Iowa; What It Means for Nucor Corp (NUE) (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-28)
What people are saying
Follow the NUE conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — NUE's valuation verdict improved this week, moving from overvalued to fairly valued according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. This shift suggests that the stock's price has adjusted relative to its fundamental metrics, bringing it more in line with its intrinsic value within the Basic Materials sector.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is NUE stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), NUE is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is NUE's TickrTrends verdict?
NUE's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does NUE compare to other Basic Materials stocks?
NUE ranks #15 of 26 Basic Materials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is NUE overbought or oversold?
NUE's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does NUE pay a dividend?
Yes. NUE paid $2.24 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.89% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 16 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-30.
When does NUE report earnings next?
NUE's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-26 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does NUE usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters NUE beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about NUE?
Of 17 analysts covering NUE, 13 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $284 (+13.5% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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