Moody's Corporation (MCO) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
MCO price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedMCO is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $464.23
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $412.23–$539.61
- Market cap
- $80.4B
- From 52-week high
- -14.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 173M
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #22 of 167
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Moody's Corporation is a credit rating and risk assessment company that provides ratings, research, and analytics to help investors and financial institutions evaluate the creditworthiness of borrowers and securities. The company operates globally, serving clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific regions.
MCO currently ranks #22 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $80.4B
- P/E (trailing)
- 28x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.16B
- Net margin
- 34.3%
- EPS (TTM)
- $16.57
- Gross margin
- 76.3%
- Debt / equity
- 2.49
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 16.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 173M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 64 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $477.56
- 200-day average
- $469.00
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $4.03 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.87%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 2
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-14
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-04
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+10.4%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+2.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+5.5%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+6.5%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+5.0%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+8.2%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+1.6%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+11.8%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 18 buy · 6 hold · 0 sell (24 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $551
- Target vs last price
- +18.7%
What our data shows for MCO
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MCO, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $412.23–$539.61.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 64.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MCO
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent MCO news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MCO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Moody's: Q3 Earnings Emphasize Detached Valuation (NYSE:MCO) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-22)
TickrTrends take: Moody's third quarter earnings results highlighted a disconnect between the company's financial performance and its market valuation, which TickrTrends currently assesses as undervalued within the Financial Services sector. Investors focusing on valuation metrics should monitor whether the market begins to recognize this gap or if near-term headwinds in the credit rating and analytics markets persist in keeping the stock's valuation compressed. The earnings report provides a concrete data point for comparing actual business results against the price the market is assigning to MCO shares. - Moody's (MCO) Set to Report Q3 Earnings Amid Modest Undervaluation Signal (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Moody's upcoming Q3 earnings report arrives at a time when TickrTrends assessment indicates the stock is trading below its derived valuation metrics, suggesting potential disconnect between current market pricing and fundamental value within the Financial Services sector. For investors focused on valuation, the earnings results will be critical to confirm whether the undervaluation signal reflects genuine opportunity or temporary market mispricing that may correct. The report will provide concrete data on revenue, earnings quality, and forward guidance that can validate or challenge the current undervaluation assessment. - MCO Maintained by RBC Capital -- Price Target Lowered to $575 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: RBC Capital's maintenance of coverage combined with a lowered price target suggests analyst confidence in MCO's fundamental business remains intact despite near-term valuation adjustments. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment, the analyst's price target reduction may create a gap worth monitoring between the new Street guidance and the market's pricing of the Financial Services firm. Investors focused on valuation metrics should track whether this analyst action influences broader consensus estimates and whether MCO's trading pattern responds to the revised target.
More MCO news
- MCO Maintains Overweight Rating by JP Morgan -- Price Target Lowered to $555 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- Ferrellgas Partners LP (FGPR) (Q4 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Adjusted EBITDA Rises 3% as Refinancing and Class B Conversion Reshape the Balance Sheet (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-25)
- The Fed is hiking again — and the rest of the world could feel the squeeze (cnbc.com, 2026-09-17)
- 1 Stat That Makes Procter & Gamble Hard to Ignore This September (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-07)
What people are saying
Follow the MCO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for MCO showed a shift in momentum assessment this week, with the momentum rating declining from B to none. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict based on current analysis. This change reflects a reduction in positive momentum signals compared to the prior week's evaluation.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is MCO stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), MCO is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is MCO's TickrTrends verdict?
MCO's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does MCO compare to other Financial Services stocks?
MCO ranks #22 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is MCO overbought or oversold?
MCO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does MCO pay a dividend?
Yes. MCO paid $4.03 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.87% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 2 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-14.
Does MCO usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters MCO beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about MCO?
Of 24 analysts covering MCO, 18 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $551 (+18.7% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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