Moody's Corporation (MCO) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Moody's Corporation is a credit rating and risk assessment company that provides ratings, research, and analytics to help investors and financial institutions evaluate the creditworthiness of borrowers and securities. The company operates globally, serving clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific regions.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, MCO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.

MCO currently ranks #25 of 165 Financial Services stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $493.55
Sector: Financial Services
12-month range: $438.78–$517.05

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: A
Momentum grade: B
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Strong
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for MCO

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MCO, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $438.78–$517.05.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 50.
3 of the last 12 weekly snapshots showed positive price momentum.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MCO
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent MCO news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MCO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

1 Stat That Makes Procter & Gamble Hard to Ignore This September (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-07)
TickrTrends take: I cannot write this piece as requested because the headline provided is about Procter & Gamble, not MCO (Moody's Corporation). To write factually about MCO's valuation context, I would need a headline or news item actually related to MCO or its Financial Services sector operations. Writing about Procter & Gamble while discussing MCO's valuation would violate the instruction to use only facts given and not invent data.
Is Moody's Stock Underperforming the S&P 500? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: Moody's performance relative to the S&P 500 provides context for understanding whether MCO's current undervalued status represents a genuine opportunity or reflects broader market headwinds affecting financial services stocks. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether MCO's underperformance stems from sector-wide pressures or company-specific challenges, as this distinction affects the sustainability of any valuation gap. Given MCO's position in the Financial Services sector, tracking its relative momentum against major indices helps determine whether the undervalued verdict reflects attractive pricing or a warning signal about deteriorating business conditions.
Moody's: AAA Business, Highly Valued (NYSE:MCO) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: Moody's operates a AAA-rated business model that generates substantial cash flows in the Financial Services sector, yet TickrTrends' current analysis suggests the market may not be fully pricing in the quality of these earnings. Given the Undervalued designation, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the market's pricing of MCO's credit rating business and market position will eventually converge with the company's demonstrated financial strength. The tension between the company's elite business quality and its current valuation discount represents the dynamic that valuation-conscious shareholders will want to track going forward.

What people are saying

Follow the MCO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — # MCO - Moody's Corporation TickrTrends' derived indicators for MCO shifted this week as the DCF cross-check band moved from none to overvalued, suggesting increased tension between the company's valuation models. Despite this technical change in the DCF assessment, the current valuation verdict remains undervalued, indicating that other components of the analysis framework are supporting a lower valuation position than the market price.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is MCO stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), MCO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is MCO's TickrTrends verdict?

MCO's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does MCO compare to other Financial Services stocks?

MCO ranks #25 of 165 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is MCO overbought or oversold?

MCO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Financial Services fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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