Morgan Stanley (MS) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
MS price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedMS is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $190.02
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $154.37–$228.55
- Market cap
- $298B
- From 52-week high
- -16.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.57B
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #69 of 167
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Morgan Stanley is a global financial services firm that provides investment banking, wealth management, and trading services to institutional and individual clients. The company operates across North America, Europe, Asia, and other international markets.
MS currently ranks #69 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 11 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $298B
- P/E (trailing)
- 15x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $130B
- Net margin
- 15.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $12.60
- Gross margin
- 60.7%
- Debt / equity
- 0.00
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 12.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.57B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 22 · oversold
- 50-day average
- $204.33
- 200-day average
- $194.31
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $4.15 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 2.18%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 12
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-07-31
- Last payment date
- 2026-08-14
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-09 ▲ beat (+7.1%)
2026-06 ▲ beat (+19.7%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+13.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+9.4%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+32.7%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+7.6%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+17.6%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+31.4%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 11 buy · 13 hold · 1 sell (25 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $213
- Target vs last price
- +12.1%
What our data shows for MS
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MS, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $154.37–$228.55.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an oversold 22.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MS
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent MS news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MS is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Tenstorrent's $1.5B Funding Round Highlights Morgan Stanley's Role (MS) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Morgan Stanley's participation in Tenstorrent's funding round underscores the firm's ongoing involvement in emerging technology investments, a strategic area that extends beyond its traditional financial services operations. Given TickrTrends' assessment that MS trades at a fairly valued level, investors monitoring the stock should observe whether such venture capital activities generate meaningful returns that could influence the company's future valuation multiples. The investment highlights MS's diversification efforts, though the impact on shareholder value from individual funding rounds typically remains secondary to the firm's core financial services performance. - Morgan Stanley: Strong Earnings And More Growth Ahead At An Attractive Valuation (NYSE:MS) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Morgan Stanley's reported strong earnings and projected growth present considerations for investors evaluating whether the Fairly valued assessment remains accurate as fundamentals develop. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether the company's earnings trajectory sustains the current fair value positioning or creates conditions for reassessment. The Financial Services sector context matters for this analysis, as earnings strength and growth outlook typically influence how the market prices financial institutions relative to their peers. - Morgan Stanley (MS) Leads Fundraising for New Texas Oil Refinery Amid Solid Dividend Profile (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Morgan Stanley's involvement in fundraising for Texas oil refinery infrastructure represents a diversification of its investment banking activities into energy sector development. Given the company's current fairly valued assessment, investors should monitor whether such capital-intensive project work translates into sustained fee revenue growth that could justify any upward valuation movement. The refinery project's scale and timeline will be key metrics to watch, particularly if similar energy infrastructure mandates become a meaningful revenue driver for the firm's investment banking division.
More MS news
- Keefe Bruyette Lowers Morgan Stanley (MS) Price Target to $230 Amid Market Volatility (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- Morgan Stanley Sees Strong Growth in Asian Markets and Prime Brokerage Financing Revenue (MS) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- Morgan Stanley (MS) Reports Strong Q3 Results Amid Solid Dividend Fundamentals (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- Morgan Stanley Plans Tokenized Equities Support on Its Alternative Trading System (ATS) (crowdfundinsider.com, 2026-10-13)
- Jim Cramer Backs Morgan Stanley (MS) After Its Pullback (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-07)
- Morgan Stanley Still Justifies A Buy Heading Into Q3 (NYSE:MS) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-02)
What people are saying
Follow the MS conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for MS showed a notable shift this week, with the balance-sheet leverage band moving from high to low. The stock remains at a fairly valued assessment according to the current valuation verdict. This change in leverage classification reflects a reduction in the company's financial leverage position relative to its peer group in the Financial Services sector.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for MS in the Financial Services sector showed two notable shifts this week. The RSI zone moved from neutral to oversold, while the sector discount rank improved from 108 to 91. The stock maintains a fairly valued assessment according to current valuation metrics.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is MS stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), MS is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is MS's TickrTrends verdict?
MS's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does MS compare to other Financial Services stocks?
MS ranks #69 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is MS overbought or oversold?
MS's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
Does MS pay a dividend?
Yes. MS paid $4.15 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.18% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 12 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-07-31.
Does MS usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters MS beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about MS?
Of 25 analysts covering MS, 11 rate it a buy, 13 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $213 (+12.1% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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