Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. (MPB) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. is a bank holding company that operates community banks providing retail and commercial banking services including lending, deposit products, and other financial services. The company operates primarily through its subsidiaries in Pennsylvania and adjacent states in the Mid-Atlantic region.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, MPB is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

MPB currently ranks #127 of 165 Financial Services stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $38.31
Sector: Financial Services
12-month range: $27.82–$38.31

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for MPB

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MPB, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $27.82–$38.31.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 48.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MPB
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent MPB news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MPB is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Mid Penn Bancorp Stock: Bigger Does Not Always Mean Better (NASDAQ:MPB) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-05-29)
TickrTrends take: Mid Penn Bancorp operates in the Financial Services sector where scale does not automatically translate to improved returns or valuations. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that MPB is overvalued, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company can demonstrate improved profitability or efficiency gains that would justify its current market price. The disconnect between size and performance highlighted in this perspective underscores why tracking fundamental metrics remains important for assessing whether the valuation premium is sustainable.
Mid Penn Bancorp to acquire Cumberland Advisors, adding $3.3B in AUM (NASDAQ:MPB) (seekingalpha.com, 2025-09-25)
TickrTrends take: Mid Penn Bancorp's acquisition of Cumberland Advisors will significantly expand its assets under management, which represents a strategic move to grow its wealth management capabilities. Given TickrTrends' current overvalued assessment of MPB, investors should monitor whether this acquisition justifies the current valuation through meaningful revenue synergies and margin expansion, or whether it represents additional capital deployment at an already elevated valuation multiple. The success of integrating Cumberland's operations will be critical to determining if this deal creates genuine shareholder value or simply increases scale without corresponding earnings accretion.
Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) Reports Strong Q2 Performance | MPB Stock News (gurufocus.com, 2025-07-23)
TickrTrends take: Mid Penn Bancorp reported strong results in the second quarter, which contrasts with TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock trades at an overvalued level relative to fundamentals. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the divergence between operational performance and current pricing suggests monitoring whether the strong earnings can justify the present market valuation or if the overvaluation premium may narrow. In the Financial Services sector, where valuation multiples often track closely to earnings quality, this performance provides data points to reassess whether the overvalued designation may shift as more results accumulate.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is MPB stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), MPB is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is MPB's TickrTrends verdict?

MPB's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does MPB compare to other Financial Services stocks?

MPB ranks #127 of 165 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is MPB overbought or oversold?

MPB's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Financial Services fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

MPB vs BEN · MPB vs CFG · MPB vs CHCO · MPB vs FFBC · MPB vs FMBH