Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
NSSC price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedNSSC is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $35.57
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $34.96–$47.23
- Market cap
- $1.27B
- From 52-week high
- -24.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 35.8M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #21 of 106
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. manufactures and distributes security products and software solutions, including access control systems, intrusion detection systems, video surveillance equipment, and cloud-based security management platforms. The company serves customers across North America, Europe, and other international markets through direct sales, distributors, and resellers.
NSSC currently ranks #21 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $1.27B
- P/E (trailing)
- 22x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $202M
- Net margin
- 21.3%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.61
- Gross margin
- 61.3%
- Debt / equity
- 0.03
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 11.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 35.8M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 48 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $36.57
- 200-day average
- $39.29
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.61 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.71%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 2
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-11
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-02
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-02
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+22.0%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+14.7%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+19.4%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+16.7%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+22.2%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+11.1%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-14.7%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-12.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 6 buy · 0 hold · 0 sell (6 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $50.7
- Target vs last price
- +42.5%
What our data shows for NSSC
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NSSC, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $34.96–$47.23.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 48.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NSSC
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent NSSC news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for NSSC is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Copeland Capital Management, LLC Adds to NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) -- Shares Look 19% Undervalued on GF Value (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Copeland Capital Management's recent addition to its NSSC position aligns with TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment of the security technologies company. The external valuation signal from Copeland's buying activity, combined with the indicated gap between current price and intrinsic value, may be of interest to investors focused on valuation metrics within the Industrials sector. Observers monitoring NSSC should track whether institutional accumulation patterns continue and how the company's fundamentals evolve relative to the identified valuation discount. - NAPCO Security Technologies Inc's Dividend Analysis (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-11)
TickrTrends take: NAPCO Security Technologies Inc, which operates in the Industrials sector, currently trades at a valuation that TickrTrends identifies as undervalued based on its derived metrics. For investors focused on valuation, the company's dividend activity becomes particularly relevant as an indicator of capital allocation and management confidence in its financial position. Tracking changes in dividend policy alongside earnings performance will be important context for assessing whether the undervalued status reflects genuine opportunity or market skepticism about future cash generation. - Napco’s (NSSC) Record Quarter Comes With A Costly Asterisk Attached (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: Napco Security Systems achieved record quarterly results, yet the headline suggests underlying cost pressures that warrant attention from valuation-conscious investors monitoring the company's margin trajectory. Given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, observers should track whether the company can maintain revenue growth while managing the cost headwinds referenced in the report, as margin compression could affect the sustainability of the current valuation discount. For industrial sector investors, the key question becomes whether Napco's record revenues represent durable earnings power or reflect a temporary top-line strength offset by structural expense challenges.
More NSSC news
- NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC) Founder and Executive Chairman Richard Soloway Sells 475,000 Shares (gurufocus.com, 2026-08-28)
What people are saying
Follow the NSSC conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is NSSC stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), NSSC is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is NSSC's TickrTrends verdict?
NSSC's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does NSSC compare to other Industrials stocks?
NSSC ranks #21 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is NSSC overbought or oversold?
NSSC's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does NSSC pay a dividend?
Yes. NSSC paid $0.61 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.71% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 2 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-11.
When does NSSC report earnings next?
NSSC's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-02, per the published earnings calendar.
Does NSSC usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters NSSC beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about NSSC?
Of 6 analysts covering NSSC, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $50.7 (+42.5% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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