Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NSSC) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. manufactures and distributes security products and software solutions, including access control systems, intrusion detection systems, video surveillance equipment, and cloud-based security management platforms. The company serves customers across North America, Europe, and other international markets through direct sales, distributors, and resellers.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, NSSC is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.

NSSC currently ranks #18 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $38.09
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $35.13–$46.53

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: B-
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The lower-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for NSSC

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NSSC, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $35.13–$46.53.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 41.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NSSC
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent NSSC news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for NSSC is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Napco’s (NSSC) Record Quarter Comes With A Costly Asterisk Attached (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: Napco Security Systems achieved record quarterly results, yet the headline suggests underlying cost pressures that warrant attention from valuation-conscious investors monitoring the company's margin trajectory. Given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, observers should track whether the company can maintain revenue growth while managing the cost headwinds referenced in the report, as margin compression could affect the sustainability of the current valuation discount. For industrial sector investors, the key question becomes whether Napco's record revenues represent durable earnings power or reflect a temporary top-line strength offset by structural expense challenges.
NAPCO Security Technologies (NSSC) Founder and Executive Chairman Richard Soloway Sells 475,000 Shares (gurufocus.com, 2026-08-28)
TickrTrends take: NAPCO Security Technologies operates in the Industrials sector and currently trades at a TickrTrends valuation assessment of Undervalued. The recent sale of 475,000 shares by founder and Executive Chairman Richard Soloway represents a significant insider transaction that valuation-focused investors may monitor for insights into management confidence and capital allocation decisions. Observers tracking the company's undervalued status should consider how large insider share sales may influence future price discovery and market perception of the company's value proposition.
A Look at NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) After 3.0% Decline -- GF Value $43.12 vs Price $36.43 (gurufocus.com, 2026-08-26)
TickrTrends take: NAPCO Security Technologies has experienced recent downward price pressure, and the current market price sits below what valuation analysis suggests the stock is worth. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the gap between the estimated intrinsic value and the current trading price aligns with TickrTrends' assessment that the stock is undervalued within the Industrials sector. Observers tracking this situation should monitor whether the stock price moves toward the estimated fair value or if the discount persists.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is NSSC stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), NSSC is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is NSSC's TickrTrends verdict?

NSSC's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does NSSC compare to other Industrials stocks?

NSSC ranks #18 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is NSSC overbought or oversold?

NSSC's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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