Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) fair value analysis

S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is a less-than-truckload carrier that provides regional, inter-regional, and national freight transportation services throughout the United States. The company operates a network of service centers and terminals across the country to support its trucking and logistics operations.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, ODFL is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

ODFL currently ranks #48 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $185.87
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $137.51–$228.24

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Contracting
Revenue growth: Declining
RSI zone: Oversold
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for ODFL

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ODFL, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $137.51–$228.24.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at an oversold 26.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ODFL
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent ODFL news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ODFL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Provides Q3 2026 Operating Metrics Update (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: Old Dominion Freight Line operates in the Industrials sector and is currently assessed as fairly valued by TickrTrends metrics. The company's Q3 2026 operating metrics update provides data points that investors should monitor against the fair value assessment to determine whether operational performance supports or challenges the current valuation. Given the transportation and logistics industry's sensitivity to economic cycles, tracking changes in metrics like utilization rates and revenue per unit will be particularly relevant for evaluating whether fair value pricing remains appropriate in coming quarters.
Old Dominion’s August: Some good, some OK (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: Old Dominion's August performance showed mixed results, which provides context for evaluating whether the company's current market valuation appropriately reflects its operational trajectory. Given TickrTrends' assessment that ODFL is fairly valued, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the inconsistent monthly performance develops into a clearer trend that might justify a repricing. The industrial transportation sector's sensitivity to freight demand means that sustained uneven results could either validate the fairly valued status or signal that underlying business momentum warrants reassessment.
Old Dominion Freight Line Stock: Best-In-Class Execution Comes At A Price (NASDAQ:ODFL) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: Old Dominion Freight Line operates in the Industrials sector and is currently assessed as fairly valued according to TickrTrends metrics. The headline suggests that the company's operational excellence may already be reflected in its current stock price, which aligns with the fairly valued designation. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether ODFL's execution quality can justify its pricing relative to peers, or whether operational improvements might narrow any existing premium.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for ODFL showed mixed movement this week. Momentum support disappeared after registering an A rating last week, while the relative strength index shifted into oversold territory from a neutral zone, suggesting the stock may be approaching an inflection point. The company's sector discount rank improved to 48th from 56th among Industrials peers, indicating modest relative valuation movement, though ODFL remains fairly valued overall.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is ODFL stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), ODFL is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is ODFL's TickrTrends verdict?

ODFL's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does ODFL compare to other Industrials stocks?

ODFL ranks #48 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is ODFL overbought or oversold?

ODFL's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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