NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
NVDA price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedNVDA is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $229.28
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $165.17–$239.24
- Market cap
- $5.54T
- From 52-week high
- -4.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 24.1B
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #2 of 181
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
NVIDIA Corporation designs and manufactures graphics processing units and system-on-chip units for gaming, professional visualization, data centers, and artificial intelligence applications. The company operates globally with headquarters in Santa Clara, California, and maintains offices and operations throughout North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific regions.
NVDA currently ranks #2 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $5.54T
- P/E (trailing)
- 33x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $303B
- Net margin
- 63.7%
- EPS (TTM)
- $7.01
- Gross margin
- 75.0%
- Debt / equity
- 0.17
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 143.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 24.1B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 40 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $223.08
- 200-day average
- $202.97
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.52 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.23%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-10
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-01
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-18
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-07 ▲ beat (+6.2%)
2026-04 ▲ beat (+5.6%)
2026-01 ▲ beat (+5.2%)
2025-10 ▲ beat (+3.2%)
2025-07 ▲ beat (+4.0%)
2025-04 ▲ beat (+8.0%)
2025-01 ▲ beat (+4.7%)
2024-10 ▲ beat (+8.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 59 buy · 2 hold · 1 sell (62 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $329
- Target vs last price
- +43.5%
What our data shows for NVDA
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NVDA, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $165.17–$239.24.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 40.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NVDA
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent NVDA news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for NVDA is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- The Global AI Rout Is Forcing Companies to Rethink Their IPO Plans (businessinsider.com, 2026-10-23)
TickrTrends take: The recent pullback in AI-focused investments described in this headline creates a backdrop where technology companies are reconsidering their public market debuts, which could affect competitive dynamics in NVDA's core markets. TickrTrends currently identifies NVDA as undervalued within the Technology sector, suggesting the market may be pricing in concerns about AI adoption rates and spending that could be temporary. For valuation-focused readers, monitoring whether enterprise AI spending actually decelerates or merely shifts in timing will be critical to assessing whether the current undervaluation thesis remains valid. - Japan’s Nikkei falls over 1% as Wall Street tech selloff rattles markets (economictimes.indiatimes.com, 2026-10-23)
TickrTrends take: NVDA's current undervalued designation by TickrTrends occurs within a context of broader technology sector volatility, as evidenced by the recent Wall Street tech selloff that rippled into Asian markets including Japan's Nikkei decline. Valuation-focused observers should monitor whether this sector-wide pressure creates additional downward price movement in NVDA that could either deepen the undervaluation opportunity or signal fundamental concerns warranting reassessment. The disconnect between broad market technology weakness and TickrTrends' undervalued rating suggests that NVDA's valuation metrics may be absorbing selling pressure independent of company-specific developments. - AI Dreams Meet Capital Reality: Tech Leads Market Lower (theetfbully.com, 2026-10-22)
TickrTrends take: Nvidia operates in the Technology sector, which has been experiencing recent market pressure according to the headline's indication of tech-led declines. Given TickrTrends' current assessment of Nvidia as undervalued, investors tracking valuation metrics should monitor whether this sector weakness represents a temporary pullback or reflects changing fundamentals that might affect the company's valuation standing. The tension between negative sector momentum and an undervalued rating suggests tracking how Nvidia's specific business performance diverges from broader technology market trends in coming reporting periods.
More NVDA news
- Nvidia (NVDA) Secures $35B RTX Pro 5500 GPU Orders from Chinese Giants Amid Supply Constraints (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
- These 2 Billionaires Like Nvidia (NVDA). Should You Buy the Dip Ahead of Earnings? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-20)
- Why did CoreWeave stock get crushed this week? Look to this corner of the debt market for clues (cnbc.com, 2026-10-16)
- CoreWeave (CRWV) Shares Plunge 12.6% Amid Nasdaq 100 Tech Sell-Off (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- Global Markets Retreat as Tech Selloff Deepens; IMF Warns on China Deflation (thestockmarketwatch.com, 2026-10-15)
- Nasdaq-100 Slumps 2% on CPI Report; CoreWeave (CRWV) Drops 16.6% Amid Growth Stock Selloff (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- NVIDIA Commits $250 Million to Advance UK Agentic Safety and Security Research Over the Next Five Years (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-14)
- Nvidia (NVDA) Invests in Four French AI Startups Including Doctolib to Boost European AI Growth (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
- Nvidia (NVDA) More Than Doubled Revenue, Yet Its Multiple Sits Below History. Bargain or Warning? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-10)
What people are saying
Follow the NVDA conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is NVDA stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), NVDA is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is NVDA's TickrTrends verdict?
NVDA's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does NVDA compare to other Technology stocks?
NVDA ranks #2 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is NVDA overbought or oversold?
NVDA's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does NVDA pay a dividend?
Yes. NVDA paid $0.52 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.23% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-10.
When does NVDA report earnings next?
NVDA's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-18, per the published earnings calendar.
Does NVDA usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters NVDA beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about NVDA?
Of 62 analysts covering NVDA, 59 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $329 (+43.5% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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