NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) fair value analysis

S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

NVIDIA Corporation designs and manufactures graphics processing units and system-on-chip units for gaming, professional visualization, data centers, and artificial intelligence applications. The company operates globally with headquarters in Santa Clara, California, and maintains offices and operations throughout North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific regions.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, NVDA is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.

NVDA currently ranks #9 of 199 Technology stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $230.36
Sector: Technology
12-month range: $175.75–$224.10

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: A
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Contracting
Revenue growth: High
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for NVDA

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NVDA, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $175.75–$224.10.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 59.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NVDA
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent NVDA news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for NVDA is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.

Why Chime Financial Rallied in August (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: I cannot write the requested analysis because the headline provided concerns Chime Financial, which is a different company from NVDA (Nvidia). To provide factual prose connecting Nvidia's valuation context to relevant news, I would need a headline that relates to Nvidia's business, financial performance, or market conditions. A reader focused on Nvidia's valuation would need information specific to that company to properly assess whether TickrTrends' undervalued verdict remains supported.
Nvidia, Palantir, and Meta Platforms Are Rattling Wall Street With This $18.6 Billion Warning (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: Nvidia faces significant market concerns related to an 18 billion dollar warning that has unsettled investors across Wall Street. Despite this negative catalyst, TickrTrends' current valuation analysis suggests the stock remains undervalued within the Technology sector. A valuation-focused investor should monitor whether this warning creates a temporary market overreaction or signals fundamental concerns that warrant reassessment of the company's intrinsic value.
The Stock Market Is Repeating a Pattern Not Seen in Decades. History Says This Will Happen Next. (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: NVDA trades within a market environment characterized by patterns with historical precedent, which provides context for evaluating its current valuation status. TickrTrends' assessment of NVDA as undervalued in the Technology sector suggests the stock may offer value relative to historical comparable periods, though investors should monitor whether broader market pattern outcomes influence sector-specific valuations. A valuation-focused reader should track whether the identified market pattern unfolds as historical precedent suggests, as this could affect the sustainability of NVDA's current undervalued positioning.

What people are saying

Follow the NVDA conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — Based on TickrTrends' derived indicators, NVDA moved from an overvalued DCF cross-check band assessment to none this week, while maintaining an undervalued overall valuation verdict. This shift suggests a narrowing of the valuation model's confidence range or a recalibration of the discount cash flow analysis. The stock remains classified as undervalued according to TickrTrends' current assessment despite the change in the cross-check indicator.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is NVDA stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), NVDA is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is NVDA's TickrTrends verdict?

NVDA's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does NVDA compare to other Technology stocks?

NVDA ranks #9 of 199 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is NVDA overbought or oversold?

NVDA's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Technology fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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