O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. is a retailer of aftermarket automotive parts, tools, and accessories that serves both professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. The company operates stores throughout the United States and Canada.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, ORLY is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.

ORLY currently ranks #30 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $87.89
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $86.64–$101.24

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: B
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for ORLY

Our model validated 7 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ORLY, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $86.64–$101.24.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 34.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ORLY
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent ORLY news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ORLY is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

ORLY Fairly Valued by DCF at $88 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: O'Reilly Automotive trades in a sector sensitive to consumer spending patterns, and TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as undervalued against its fundamentals. A DCF valuation of $88 provides a reference point for monitoring whether the market price moves toward this intrinsic value estimate or continues to trade below it. Investors focused on valuation metrics should track how the company's cash flow generation and growth assumptions evolve, as these drivers ultimately determine whether the undervalued assessment holds.
Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish on O'Reilly Automotive Stock? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-27)
TickrTrends take: O'Reilly Automotive operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where valuation metrics often fluctuate with economic cycles and consumer spending patterns. TickrTrends currently derives an Undervalued verdict for ORLY, suggesting the market price may not fully reflect the company's fundamental worth or earnings potential. Given this undervalued assessment, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether Wall Street sentiment aligns with this analysis or diverges, as analyst upgrades or downgrades could signal shifting perceptions of the stock's true value relative to peers in the automotive aftermarket retail space.
ORLY Fairly Valued by DCF at $88 (gurufocus.com, 2026-08-26)
TickrTrends take: O'Reilly Automotive trades in a sector sensitive to consumer spending patterns, and the DCF valuation of $88 provides a specific benchmark against which investors monitor the stock's actual price movement. TickrTrends currently identifies ORLY as undervalued, suggesting the market price sits below what fundamental analysis indicates the company is worth. Investors focused on valuation should track whether the stock moves toward or away from the $88 DCF level, as this convergence would signal whether the current undervaluation thesis is being validated by market repricing.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — ORLY's valuation indicators shifted this week with mixed signals emerging. The DCF cross-check band moved from showing no verdict to indicating overvalued status, while momentum analysis declined from a B rating to no rating, suggesting weakening price momentum. Despite these changes in the derived indicators, the current valuation verdict remains undervalued.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is ORLY stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), ORLY is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is ORLY's TickrTrends verdict?

ORLY's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does ORLY compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

ORLY ranks #30 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is ORLY overbought or oversold?

ORLY's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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