PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

PulteGroup, Inc. is a homebuilder that designs, builds, and sells residential homes across the United States. The company operates through multiple brands and maintains operations in numerous markets throughout the country.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, PHM is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.

PHM currently ranks #75 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $124.45
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $117.15–$133.72

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: C
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Contracting
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The lower-middle quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for PHM

Our model validated 13 trailing price-to-earnings windows for PHM, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $117.15–$133.72.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 40.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for PHM
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent PHM news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for PHM is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

PHM Initiated Coverage by StoneX -- Rating Set to Buy with $148 Target (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: StoneX initiated coverage of PHM with a Buy rating and a price target of 148, which represents significant upside from current trading levels if achieved. Given that TickrTrends currently derives an Overvalued verdict for PHM, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's fundamentals support the analyst's optimistic outlook or whether the stock's Consumer Cyclical sector positioning makes it vulnerable to economic headwinds. The divergence between the new analyst coverage and TickrTrends' valuation assessment highlights the importance of examining the specific assumptions behind analyst targets versus broader valuation models.
PulteGroup Shares Rise After Wolfe Research Upgrade (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-24)
TickrTrends take: PulteGroup received an upgrade from Wolfe Research, contributing to a recent share price increase for the homebuilder. Given that TickrTrends currently assesses PHM as overvalued within the Consumer Cyclical sector, investors monitoring valuation metrics should pay attention to whether this analyst upgrade reflects genuine improvements in the company's fundamentals or primarily represents sentiment-driven momentum. The gap between market pricing and intrinsic value estimates will be important to track as investor interest in the stock potentially shifts following the research firm's positive reassessment.

What people are saying

Follow the PHM conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is PHM stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), PHM is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is PHM's TickrTrends verdict?

PHM's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does PHM compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

PHM ranks #75 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is PHM overbought or oversold?

PHM's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

PHM vs BBWI · PHM vs BLMN · PHM vs DHI · PHM vs EBAY · PHM vs F