Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
PZZA price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedPZZA is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $19.39
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $19.21–$55.31
- Market cap
- $638M
- From 52-week high
- -64.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 32.9M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #16 of 85
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Papa John's International, Inc. operates as a pizza delivery and carryout restaurant company with a franchise-based business model. The company operates and franchises Papa John's pizza restaurants across the United States and in international markets around the world.
PZZA currently ranks #16 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 11 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $638M
- P/E (trailing)
- 13x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.97B
- Net margin
- 1.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.44
- Gross margin
- 29.7%
- Debt / equity
- 0.00
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -2.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 32.9M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 44 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $21.58
- 200-day average
- $31.05
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.38 per share (3 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 7.12%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-05-18
- Last payment date
- 2026-05-29
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+7.0%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-13.5%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+3.0%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-22.0%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+20.6%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+2.9%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+27.1%)
2024-09 ▬ met (0.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 2 buy · 10 hold · 1 sell (13 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $28.4
- Target vs last price
- +46.5%
What our data shows for PZZA
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for PZZA, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $19.21–$55.31.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 44.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for PZZA
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent PZZA news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for PZZA is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Pizza Losing Value War As Cash-Strapped "Proteinmaxxing" Consumers Flock To Chicken (zerohedge.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: Pizza companies like PZZA are facing consumer spending pressure as dietary trends shift toward protein-focused foods, which could impact revenue and margins in the coming quarters. Given that TickrTrends currently rates PZZA as undervalued within the Consumer Cyclical sector, investors should monitor whether management can defend market share through pricing strategies or product innovation as consumer preferences evolve. The tension between valuation metrics suggesting upside potential and real-time demand headwinds represents a key risk factor to track in upcoming earnings reports. - A Look at Papa John's International Inc (PZZA) After 3.1% Decline -- GF Value $42.16 vs Price $19.70 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-01)
TickrTrends take: Papa John's International Inc (PZZA) trades at a significant discount to its GuruFocus Value estimate, which aligns with TickrTrends' undervalued assessment for this Consumer Cyclical sector company. The gap between the valuation estimate and current trading price suggests the market may be pricing in headwinds that fundamental valuation models do not fully reflect. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the stock's discount persists or narrows as market conditions and company performance evolve. - Papa John's International Inc (PZZA) Shares Fall 3.3% -- What GF Score of 61 Tells Investors (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-26)
TickrTrends take: Papa John's International Inc shares declined recently, and the company's GF Score of 61 suggests moderate fundamental strength that warrants investor scrutiny. TickrTrends currently rates PZZA as undervalued within the Consumer Cyclical sector, indicating potential opportunity despite the recent share price weakness. Valuation-focused readers should monitor whether the company's fundamentals can support a recovery, particularly given the disconnect between the current undervalued assessment and the middling quality score.
More PZZA news
- Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman LLC Urges Papa John's International, Inc. Investors to Act: Class Action Filed Alleging Investor Harm (markets.businessinsider.com, 2026-09-07)
What people are saying
Follow the PZZA conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — PZZA's technical position improved this week as its Relative Strength Index moved from oversold territory into neutral range, suggesting reduced downward momentum. The stock remains classified as undervalued based on current valuation metrics within the Consumer Cyclical sector.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — PZZA's valuation metrics strengthened this week as its sector discount rank improved to #20 from #27, indicating the stock has become relatively cheaper compared to other Consumer Cyclical sector peers. The stock maintains an undervalued verdict based on current valuation indicators tracked by TickrTrends.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is PZZA stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), PZZA is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is PZZA's TickrTrends verdict?
PZZA's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does PZZA compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
PZZA ranks #16 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is PZZA overbought or oversold?
PZZA's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does PZZA pay a dividend?
Yes. PZZA paid $1.38 per share over the last twelve months (3 payments), a 7.12% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-05-18.
When does PZZA report earnings next?
PZZA's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does PZZA usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters PZZA beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about PZZA?
Of 13 analysts covering PZZA, 2 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $28.4 (+46.5% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Consumer Cyclical
Head-to-head comparisons
PZZA vs APTV · PZZA vs BBWI · PZZA vs BKNG · PZZA vs DOO · PZZA vs DPZ