Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) fair value analysis

Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed

Market cap

$103B

P/E (trailing)

37x

Revenue (TTM)

$38.3B

Net margin

5.2%

EPS (TTM)

$2.43

Gross margin

69.7%

Debt / equity

0.00

Revenue growth (3-yr avg)

-0.2%

Shares outstanding

1.14B

Derived indicators how computed

Quality grade

D →

Margin trend

Expanding

52-week position

The lower-middle quarter of its range

Technicals how computed

RSI (14-day)

57 · neutral

50-day average

$100.21

200-day average

$99.16

Moving-average state

50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages

Dividends how computed

Paid, last 12 months

$2.48 per share (4 payments)

Yield on last price

2.73%

Consecutive years of increases

10

Next ex-dividend date

2026-11-13

Last payment date

2026-08-28

Earnings how computed

Next earnings report

2026-10-29 (post-market)

Last 8 quarters vs consensus

3 beat, 5 missed

Quarter by quarter

2026-06 ▲ beat (+28.8%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+23.3%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-5.1%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-7.1%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-23.1%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-14.6%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+3.0%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-10.1%)

Analyst consensus how computed

This is not TickrTrends' verdict.

Analyst ratings

15 buy · 19 hold · 2 sell (36 analysts)

Consensus lean

Hold-leaning

Consensus price target

$111

Target vs last price

+22.3%

Recent SBUX news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for SBUX is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.

• Jim Cramer Revealed The Inside Scoop For Starbucks (SBUX) & CEO Brian Niccols (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-17)
  TickrTrends take: Starbucks trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as fairly valued, suggesting the market has already priced in considerable expectations for the company's performance and strategic direction under CEO Brian Niccols. As a Consumer Cyclical business, Starbucks remains sensitive to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns, which investors should monitor alongside any operational changes the new leadership may implement. A fairly valued assessment indicates limited margin of safety at current prices, making execution on turnaround initiatives and comparable store sales trends particularly relevant metrics for valuation reassessment.
• Starbucks Has Raised Its Dividend for 16 Consecutive Years. Is the Payout Still Sustainable? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-15)
  TickrTrends take: Starbucks' 16-year streak of dividend increases demonstrates a commitment to returning cash to shareholders, which aligns with the company's current fairly valued assessment. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the sustainability of this dividend growth depends on whether the company can maintain sufficient free cash flow generation relative to its current stock price and payout obligations. Given the company's cyclical exposure in consumer discretionary spending, monitoring earnings stability and capital efficiency will be critical to determining whether future dividend growth remains achievable without straining the balance sheet.
• US stocks: Nasdaq ends lower as oil prices surge ahead of earnings, economic data (economictimes.indiatimes.com, 2026-10-12)
  TickrTrends take: Starbucks operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, which tends to be sensitive to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns that can be influenced by factors like oil prices and broader market movements. Given TickrTrends' current assessment of SBUX as fairly valued, investors watching the stock should monitor whether upcoming earnings and economic data validate current price expectations, particularly as cyclical stocks may face pressure if economic indicators weaken. The relationship between energy costs and consumer discretionary spending could be relevant to track, as rising oil prices may affect both operating costs and consumer demand for Starbucks' products.

More SBUX news

• Stocks saw new highs and big declines: How the volatile AI trade moved last week's market (cnbc.com, 2026-10-10)
• Dutch Bros (BROS) and Starbucks (SBUX) Give Jim Cramer Two Different Coffee Stories (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-10)

What people are saying

Follow the SBUX conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

• 2026-10-19 — SBUX's relative strength index moved from oversold territory into neutral range over the past week, indicating a shift in momentum dynamics for the Consumer Cyclical sector stock. The company maintains a fairly valued assessment according to TickrTrends' derived indicators as of this reporting period.
• 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
• 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
• 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' quality grade for SBUX declined from C to D this week, reflecting a deterioration in the company's derived quality metrics. Despite this downgrade, the stock maintains a Fairly valued assessment based on current valuation indicators. The shift suggests investors should monitor the underlying factors driving the quality decline in coming weeks.
• 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
• 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for SBUX shifted this week as the relative strength index moved from neutral territory into oversold zone, while the valuation verdict improved from overvalued to fairly valued. These changes suggest the stock has experienced recent selling pressure that has adjusted its price relationship to underlying fundamentals. SBUX remains in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
• 2026-09-21 — # SBUX Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for SBUX showed movement in the Relative Strength Index this week, with the RSI zone shifting from oversold to neutral territory. The stock maintains an overvalued valuation verdict within the Consumer Cyclical sector. This shift in RSI positioning suggests the stock has moved away from extremes in recent selling pressure.
• 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.

Frequently asked questions

Is SBUX stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), SBUX is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is SBUX's TickrTrends verdict?

SBUX's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does SBUX compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

SBUX ranks #81 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.

Is SBUX overbought or oversold?

SBUX's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

Does SBUX pay a dividend?

Yes. SBUX paid $2.48 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.73% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 10 consecutive years. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-11-13.

When does SBUX report earnings next?

SBUX's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.

Does SBUX usually beat earnings estimates?

Over its last 8 reported quarters SBUX beat the consensus estimate 3 times and missed 5 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.

What do analysts say about SBUX?

Of 36 analysts covering SBUX, 15 rate it a buy, 19 a hold and 2 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $111 (+22.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.

More in Consumer Cyclical

• SFIX — Stitch Fix, Inc.
• SHOO — Steven Madden, Ltd.
• SLDP — Solid Power, Inc.
• SW — Smurfit Westrock Plc
• TCOM — Trip.com Group Limited
• TILE — Interface, Inc.
• TJX — The TJX Companies, Inc.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

SBUX vs ASO · SBUX vs BBY · SBUX vs GM · SBUX vs GPC · SBUX vs HAS