Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Starbucks Corporation is a coffee company that operates coffeehouses and serves beverages, food, and related products to consumers. The company operates locations across the United States and in numerous international markets around the world.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, SBUX is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

SBUX currently ranks #68 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $104.47
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $80.38–$106.15

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Contracting
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for SBUX

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for SBUX, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $80.38–$106.15.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 45.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for SBUX
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent SBUX news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for SBUX is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Is Starbucks Stock Underperforming the S&P 500? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: Starbucks operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where valuation metrics become particularly sensitive to shifts in consumer spending and discretionary purchasing patterns. TickrTrends currently rates SBUX as overvalued, which suggests the stock's price may not align with its fundamental metrics relative to market comparables. Given the headline's focus on relative performance against the S&P 500, valuation-conscious investors should monitor whether underperformance reflects earnings challenges specific to the company or broader sector headwinds, as this distinction will be material to whether current valuation multiples are justified.
Starbucks: The Turnaround Is Working, But The Stock Looks Fairly Valued (NASDAQ:SBUX) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: Starbucks trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector where valuation pressures are particularly relevant given economic sensitivity. TickrTrends currently assigns an Overvalued verdict to SBUX, suggesting the market price exceeds what fundamentals support, which contrasts with the headline's assessment of fair value. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether operational improvements from the turnaround efforts translate into earnings growth sufficient to justify current price levels, or whether the gap between market price and intrinsic value continues to widen.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — # SBUX Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for SBUX showed a notable shift this week, with the momentum indicator declining from a rating of A to none. The stock remains classified as Overvalued according to current valuation metrics within the Consumer Cyclical sector. This weakening in momentum signals a loss of the strong positive technical strength that was present in the previous week.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is SBUX stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), SBUX is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is SBUX's TickrTrends verdict?

SBUX's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does SBUX compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

SBUX ranks #68 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is SBUX overbought or oversold?

SBUX's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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