The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
TJX price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedTJX is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $138.76
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $122.84–$168.41
- Market cap
- $153B
- From 52-week high
- -17.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.1B
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #44 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
The TJX Companies, Inc. is a retail apparel and home goods merchant that operates stores under brand names including TJ Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods, and Sierra. The company operates retail locations across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, and Germany.
TJX currently ranks #44 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 5 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $153B
- P/E (trailing)
- 26x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $62.4B
- Net margin
- 9.7%
- EPS (TTM)
- $5.27
- Gross margin
- 33.4%
- Debt / equity
- 1.34
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 4.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.1B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 86 · overbought
- 50-day average
- $137.39
- 200-day average
- $151.79
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.81 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.30%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 5
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-11-12
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-03
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-18
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-07 ▲ beat (+3.4%)
2026-04 ▲ beat (+16.7%)
2026-01 ▲ beat (+14.5%)
2025-10 ▲ beat (+4.9%)
2025-07 ▲ beat (+8.9%)
2025-04 ▲ beat (+1.1%)
2025-01 ▲ beat (+5.1%)
2024-10 ▲ beat (+4.6%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 18 buy · 4 hold · 0 sell (22 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $171
- Target vs last price
- +23.2%
What our data shows for TJX
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for TJX, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $122.84–$168.41.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an overbought 86.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for TJX
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent TJX news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for TJX is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- The TJX Companies (TJX) Extends Executive Agreement for Kenneth Canestrari Ahead of Planned Retirement (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: TJX's extension of Kenneth Canestrari's executive agreement ahead of his planned retirement represents a transitional leadership moment for the off-price retailer, which TickrTrends currently rates as fairly valued. Consumer cyclical companies often experience valuation sensitivity around executive transitions, making the continuity of leadership during this period relevant to investors monitoring whether operational execution remains consistent. Observers of TJX's valuation should track whether the company's financial performance and guidance remain stable through this leadership change, as execution risks in the consumer sector can shift valuation assumptions. - Jim Cramer On TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX): I Bought It But Didn’t Want To Hype My Position (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-08)
TickrTrends take: TJX Companies operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector and currently carries a Fairly valued designation according to TickrTrends' valuation analysis. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the stock's current positioning suggests limited margin of safety or risk of significant overvaluation, meaning price movements may be more dependent on operational performance and sector trends than valuation expansion. Consumer Cyclical stocks like TJX are particularly sensitive to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns, making earnings execution and comparable company valuations important factors to monitor going forward. - The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know (zacks.com, 2026-10-07)
TickrTrends take: TJX operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, which tends to experience heightened investor interest during periods of economic strength and consumer confidence. According to TickrTrends' current analysis, TJX is fairly valued, suggesting that current market pricing reflects the company's fundamental business prospects without significant upside or downside distortion. Investors tracking valuation should monitor whether the company's earnings growth and comparable retail metrics maintain alignment with this fair value assessment, particularly given the cyclical nature of consumer spending patterns.
More TJX news
- The TJX Companies: Trading 11% Above My Fair Value Estimate Despite Selloff (NYSE:TJX) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-28)
What people are saying
Follow the TJX conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TJX has moved into overbought territory according to relative strength index readings, while its quality grade has declined from D to F this week. The stock remains fairly valued at its current price levels despite these technical shifts in TickrTrends' derived indicators.
- 2026-10-06 — TJX's valuation assessment shifted from Undervalued to Fairly valued during the week, reflecting a change in TickrTrends' derived indicators. The company operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector and is now trading at levels consistent with its fundamental metrics rather than at a discount to intrinsic value.
- 2026-09-28 — TJX moved from oversold to neutral territory on the relative strength index this week, suggesting reduced selling pressure in the stock. The company's sector discount rank declined from number 42 to number 48, indicating it is receiving somewhat less of a valuation discount relative to other consumer cyclical stocks, though it remains undervalued based on current assessment.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is TJX stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), TJX is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is TJX's TickrTrends verdict?
TJX's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does TJX compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
TJX ranks #44 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is TJX overbought or oversold?
TJX's 14-day RSI is in the overbought zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
Does TJX pay a dividend?
Yes. TJX paid $1.81 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.30% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 5 consecutive years. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-11-12.
When does TJX report earnings next?
TJX's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-18, per the published earnings calendar.
Does TJX usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters TJX beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about TJX?
Of 22 analysts covering TJX, 18 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $171 (+23.2% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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