Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
TPR price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedTPR is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $116.24
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $98.81–$164.78
- Market cap
- $23.1B
- From 52-week high
- -29.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 198M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #64 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Tapestry, Inc. is a multinational luxury fashion holding company that designs, manufactures, and distributes a portfolio of premium handbags, accessories, apparel, and other consumer goods through several renowned brands. The company operates retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale distribution channels across North America, Europe, Asia, and other international markets.
TPR currently ranks #64 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $23.1B
- P/E (trailing)
- 16x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8B
- Net margin
- 19.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $7.05
- Gross margin
- 83.3%
- Debt / equity
- 5.71
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 8.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 198M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 59 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $123.30
- 200-day average
- $138.08
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.66 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.43%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 5
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-04
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-21
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+4.8%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+27.7%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+20.6%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+8.7%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+2.0%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+17.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+14.3%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+7.4%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 17 buy · 4 hold · 1 sell (22 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $165
- Target vs last price
- +41.9%
What our data shows for TPR
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for TPR, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $98.81–$164.78.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 59.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for TPR
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent TPR news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for TPR is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Tapestry: The Macro Is Becoming A Problem Again (NYSE:TPR) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-06)
TickrTrends take: Tapestry operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where macroeconomic sensitivity directly impacts both consumer spending and luxury goods demand. Given TickrTrends' current Overvalued assessment, investors monitoring the stock should pay particular attention to whether macro headwinds accelerate the normalization process or whether the company can demonstrate pricing power and margin resilience despite economic pressure. The intersection of elevated valuation multiples and renewed macro concerns creates a meaningful risk scenario for shareholders to evaluate against their own macro outlook. - Is Tapestry Inc (TPR) Overvalued After 3.6% Rally? GF Value Says Overvalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-01)
TickrTrends take: Tapestry Inc trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector where valuation multiples remain sensitive to discretionary spending trends and brand strength metrics. The recent rally aligns with TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock is overvalued, suggesting that investors focused on valuation fundamentals may want to monitor whether the company can demonstrate earnings growth sufficient to justify its current price level. For valuation-conscious investors, tracking Tapestry's ability to sustain margin performance and consumer demand in its luxury goods business will be important given the sector's cyclical nature and current pricing relative to intrinsic value estimates. - CPRI Looks 26.3% Undervalued on GF Value™ After Takeover Talks Spark Rally (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-22)
TickrTrends take: Capri Holdings, which owns the Coach brand that competes directly with Tapestry's portfolio, has attracted takeover interest that pushed its valuation lower relative to fundamentals. Given that TickrTrends currently rates TPR as overvalued, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether Capri's discount creates competitive pressure on luxury conglomerate valuations across the sector, or whether it signals that acquisitive activity might reshape consolidation dynamics among consumer cyclical players.
What people are saying
Follow the TPR conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators show that TPR has moved to a lower sector discount ranking this week, dropping from position 75 to position 81 among Consumer Cyclical stocks. The company maintains an overvalued status according to current valuation metrics. This shift suggests TPR's relative valuation position within its sector has weakened compared to peers over the past week.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for TPR showed movement in the Relative Strength Index this week, with the RSI zone shifting from oversold to neutral territory. The stock maintains an overvalued valuation verdict based on current analysis.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is TPR stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), TPR is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is TPR's TickrTrends verdict?
TPR's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does TPR compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
TPR ranks #64 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is TPR overbought or oversold?
TPR's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does TPR pay a dividend?
Yes. TPR paid $1.66 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.43% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 5 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-04.
When does TPR report earnings next?
TPR's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05, per the published earnings calendar.
Does TPR usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters TPR beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about TPR?
Of 22 analysts covering TPR, 17 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $165 (+41.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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