Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) fair value analysis

S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Tractor Supply Company is a rural lifestyle retailer that sells farm, ranch, and home products including equipment, tools, clothing, and pet supplies. The company operates stores across the United States and online.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, TSCO is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.

TSCO currently ranks #18 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $34.99
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $30.77–$54.11

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Strong
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Undervalued

What our data shows for TSCO

Our model validated 9 trailing price-to-earnings windows for TSCO, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $30.77–$54.11.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 59.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for TSCO
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent TSCO news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for TSCO is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.

Tractor Supply: Don't Mistake A Tough Cycle For A Broken Thesis (NASDAQ:TSCO) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: Tractor Supply faces near-term operational headwinds that may be pressuring its stock price, yet TickrTrends' undervalued designation suggests the market may be overpenalizing the company relative to its longer-term fundamentals. For valuation-focused investors, the key will be monitoring whether current weakness reflects a temporary cyclical downturn in the Consumer Cyclical sector or signals structural deterioration in the business model. Tracking management's execution through this cycle and any margin recovery trends will be essential to validating whether the undervaluation thesis remains intact or requires reassessment.

What people are saying

Follow the TSCO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — TSCO's valuation status shifted this week as TickrTrends' DCF cross-check band moved from overvalued to undervalued, aligning with the current undervalued verdict. This change in the derived indicator suggests the stock is now trading below its estimated intrinsic value range based on discounted cash flow analysis. The shift represents a notable revision in the quantitative valuation assessment for the Consumer Cyclical sector company.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for TSCO showed a decrease in momentum signals this week, with the momentum rating declining from A to none. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict based on current analysis. This shift in momentum indicators suggests a change in the near-term technical strength of the position.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is TSCO stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), TSCO is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is TSCO's TickrTrends verdict?

TSCO's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does TSCO compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

TSCO ranks #18 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is TSCO overbought or oversold?

TSCO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

TSCO vs APTV · TSCO vs BWA · TSCO vs CCL · TSCO vs DPZ · TSCO vs ETSY