XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

XPEL, Inc. is a company that manufactures and distributes protective films and coatings for vehicles, including paint protection film, ceramic coatings, and window tinting products. The company operates globally through direct sales channels and a network of distributors and authorized installers across multiple continents.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, XPEL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.

XPEL currently ranks #22 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $44.90
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $33.25–$52.97

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Momentum grade: A
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Downtrend
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for XPEL

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for XPEL, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $33.25–$52.97.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 55.
3 of the last 12 weekly snapshots showed positive price momentum.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for XPEL
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent XPEL news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for XPEL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

XPEL, Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-05)
TickrTrends take: XPEL operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, which is sensitive to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns that can significantly influence financial performance and valuation multiples. With TickrTrends currently indicating the stock is undervalued, Q2 2026 earnings results provide an opportunity to assess whether the company's revenue growth, profitability, and cash generation support this valuation assessment. A valuation-focused reader should monitor management's commentary on pricing power, market share trends, and capital allocation decisions, as these factors will help determine whether the undervalued designation remains appropriate.
XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates (zacks.com, 2026-08-05)
TickrTrends take: XPEL's outperformance on both earnings and revenues in the second quarter provides concrete evidence supporting TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, as the company demonstrated operational strength beyond market expectations. For valuation-focused investors, the key question moving forward will be whether this earnings beat translates into sustained margin expansion or reflects temporary favorable conditions in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Monitoring the company's guidance for future quarters and its ability to maintain this performance trajectory will be critical to validating whether the current undervalued designation remains justified.
XPEL: A Strong Niche Compounder At A Fair Price (NASDAQ:XPEL) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-06-26)
TickrTrends take: XPEL operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector where valuations typically fluctuate with economic conditions, making current pricing relevant to market sentiment. TickrTrends currently derives an Undervalued verdict for the stock, suggesting the market may not fully reflect the company's compounding characteristics in its niche market. Investors focused on valuation should monitor how the company's growth trajectory and market position evolve relative to sector peers, as cyclical pressures could test whether the current undervaluation premise holds.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is XPEL stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), XPEL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is XPEL's TickrTrends verdict?

XPEL's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does XPEL compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

XPEL ranks #22 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is XPEL overbought or oversold?

XPEL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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