XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
XPEL price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedXPEL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $43.81
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $34.10–$54.95
- Market cap
- $1.21B
- From 52-week high
- -20.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 27.6M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #21 of 85
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
XPEL, Inc. is a company that manufactures and distributes protective films and coatings for vehicles, including paint protection film, ceramic coatings, and window tinting products. The company operates globally through direct sales channels and a network of distributors and authorized installers across multiple continents.
XPEL currently ranks #21 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $1.21B
- P/E (trailing)
- 22x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $508M
- Net margin
- 10.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.00
- Gross margin
- 44.1%
- Debt / equity
- 0.21
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 13.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 27.6M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 46 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $47.21
- 200-day average
- $46.63
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+11.5%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+2.8%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+7.9%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-2.1%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+25.5%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+6.9%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-25.6%)
2024-09 ▬ met (0.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Consensus price target
- $61.7
- Target vs last price
- +40.8%
What our data shows for XPEL
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for XPEL, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $34.10–$54.95.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 46.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for XPEL
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent XPEL news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for XPEL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- WASATCH ADVISORS LP Trims XPEL Inc (XPEL) Stake -- Shares Look 14% Undervalued on GF Value (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Wasatch Advisors LP has reduced its position in XPEL, the automotive protection film company, at a time when the stock appears to trade below its intrinsic value estimate. TickrTrends currently rates XPEL as undervalued within the Consumer Cyclical sector, which aligns with the valuation gap identified in the recent analyst assessment. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether this insider activity signals concerns about near-term execution or reflects confidence that the current price presents an opportunity for entry. - XPEL Inc (XPEL) Stock Down 3.8% -- Now Undervalued? GF Score: 100/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-24)
TickrTrends take: XPEL's recent stock decline aligns with TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment, suggesting the market may have overreacted to near-term pressures in the Consumer Cyclical sector. The company's perfect GF Score indicates strong fundamental quality, which typically supports valuations during market pullbacks. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether this price weakness creates a sustainable entry point or reflects broader sector headwinds that could pressure fundamentals going forward. - XPEL: Great Long-Term Potential, But Not At A Great Price (NASDAQ:XPEL) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-10)
TickrTrends take: XPEL operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where valuations can compress during economic slowdowns, yet the company's long-term growth prospects appear intact according to recent analysis. TickrTrends currently derives an undervalued verdict for XPEL, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in those future opportunities. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the stock's current pricing becomes more attractive relative to the company's earnings power, particularly given the cyclical nature of its end markets.
More XPEL news
- XPEL Looks 4.2% Undervalued on GF Value™ as Market Weighs Growth Prospects (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-10)
What people are saying
Follow the XPEL conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — XPEL's technical positioning improved this week as its Relative Strength Index moved from oversold territory into neutral range, suggesting the stock has recovered from extreme selling pressure. The company remains classified as undervalued based on current valuation metrics within the Consumer Cyclical sector.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — XPEL's technical positioning has weakened this week, with the 50/200-day trend state transitioning from mixed to downtrend, signaling deteriorating momentum. The company's sector discount rank improved from #33 to #25, indicating it has moved closer to the most discounted valuations among Consumer Cyclical peers, though XPEL remains classified as undervalued on a valuation basis.
- 2026-09-21 — XPEL's technical picture shifted this week as its Relative Strength Index moved from neutral territory into oversold levels, suggesting the stock has experienced sharp downward price movement. The Consumer Cyclical company remains valued below intrinsic estimates according to current valuation analysis. This combination of oversold technical conditions alongside an undervalued fundamental assessment may present differing signals to investors evaluating the stock's near-term direction and longer-term opportunity.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is XPEL stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), XPEL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is XPEL's TickrTrends verdict?
XPEL's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does XPEL compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
XPEL ranks #21 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is XPEL overbought or oversold?
XPEL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does XPEL report earnings next?
XPEL's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04, per the published earnings calendar.
Does XPEL usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters XPEL beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
More in Consumer Cyclical
Head-to-head comparisons
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