Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
ABNB price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedABNB is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $165.87
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $111.54–$190.50
- Market cap
- $104B
- From 52-week high
- -12.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 627M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #38 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Airbnb, Inc. is an online platform that connects hosts who offer short-term lodging accommodations with guests seeking temporary places to stay. The company operates in countries across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and other regions worldwide, enabling property owners to list their homes and other spaces for nightly rental.
ABNB currently ranks #38 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 7 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $104B
- P/E (trailing)
- 38x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $13.2B
- Net margin
- 20.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $4.40
- Gross margin
- 82.5%
- Debt / equity
- 0.32
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 2.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 627M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 60 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $172.79
- 200-day average
- $145.00
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 3 beat, 3 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+14.2%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-13.3%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-15.2%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-4.7%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+9.6%)
2025-03 ▬ met (0.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+25.9%)
2024-09 ▬ met (0.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 27 buy · 16 hold · 2 sell (45 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $183
- Target vs last price
- +10.3%
What our data shows for ABNB
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ABNB, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $111.54–$190.50.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 60.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ABNB
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent ABNB news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ABNB is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You Trade (zacks.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Airbnb's underperformance relative to broader market gains warrants attention given TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment, as divergence between stock price movements and fundamental valuations can create trading opportunities or signal shifting market sentiment. For valuation-focused investors in the Consumer Cyclical sector, monitoring whether ABNB's relative weakness reflects temporary market noise or meaningful deterioration in underlying business fundamentals will be critical to validating the undervalued thesis. The combination of sector cyclicality and recent price weakness creates a scenario where conviction in valuation metrics becomes especially important for decision-making. - Why Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) Outpaced the Stock Market Today (zacks.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Airbnb's outperformance against the broader market occurs within a context where TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as undervalued. For investors focused on valuation metrics, this price movement may warrant monitoring whether it reflects a correction toward fair value or signals market recognition of value that was previously overlooked. Given ABNB's position in the cyclical Consumer Cyclical sector, the sustainability of any gains will likely depend on broader economic conditions and travel demand trends ahead. - Hedgeye Upgrades Airbnb (ABNB) to Best Idea Long Citing Growth and Market Share Gains (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Hedgeye's upgrade of Airbnb to a best idea long position reflects confidence in the company's growth trajectory and competitive positioning within the accommodation and travel sector. Given that TickrTrends currently derives an undervalued verdict for ABNB, this upgrade aligns with the opportunity thesis that the market may not be fully pricing in the company's ability to capture additional market share in the consumer cyclical travel category. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether this external validation of ABNB's growth prospects begins to close any gap between current market pricing and intrinsic value estimates.
More ABNB news
- Airbnb: Diversified Travel Ambitions Already Priced-In - Further Consolidation Likely (NASDAQ:ABNB) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-14)
- Airbnb: The Best Positioned OTA For The Agentic AI Era (NASDAQ:ABNB) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-13)
- Consumer Discretionary Spotlight: Airbnb (ABNB) Shines with Strong GF Score™ as Q3 Earnings Season Begins (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- Airbnb's Strategy to Thrive in the AI Era (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
What people are saying
Follow the ABNB conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — ABNB's trend indicators shifted this week as the 50/200-day moving average relationship moved from an uptrend state to mixed, signaling reduced momentum in the near-term price action. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict based on TickrTrends' derived indicators. This transition to mixed trend conditions suggests investors should monitor whether the stock can stabilize or potentially establish a new directional bias.
- 2026-09-21 — # ABNB Analysis TickrTrends' derived indicators for ABNB shifted this week, with the valuation verdict moving from Fairly valued to Undervalued. This change reflects updated assessments of the company's valuation metrics relative to its Consumer Cyclical sector peers. The current Undervalued designation suggests that the company's stock price may not fully reflect its fundamental value based on the indicator analysis.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is ABNB stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), ABNB is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is ABNB's TickrTrends verdict?
ABNB's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does ABNB compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
ABNB ranks #38 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is ABNB overbought or oversold?
ABNB's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does ABNB report earnings next?
ABNB's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does ABNB usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters ABNB beat the consensus estimate 3 times and missed 3 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about ABNB?
Of 45 analysts covering ABNB, 27 rate it a buy, 16 a hold and 2 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $183 (+10.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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