Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
AMZN price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedAMZN is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $262.43
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $198.79–$284.02
- Market cap
- $2.83T
- From 52-week high
- -7.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 10.8B
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #26 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Amazon.com, Inc. operates as an e-commerce and cloud computing company that sells a wide range of products directly to consumers and provides a marketplace platform for third-party sellers. The company operates globally and also provides web services infrastructure, digital streaming, and various other technology-enabled services across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and other international markets.
AMZN currently ranks #26 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $2.83T
- P/E (trailing)
- 31x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $776B
- Net margin
- 17.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $8.56
- Gross margin
- 52.3%
- Debt / equity
- 0.40
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 13.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 10.8B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 46 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $257.08
- 200-day average
- $242.73
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+2.7%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+69.5%)
2025-12 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+25.0%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+27.3%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+16.9%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+25.4%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+25.4%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 59 buy · 2 hold · 0 sell (61 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $331
- Target vs last price
- +26.1%
What our data shows for AMZN
- Our model validated 13 trailing price-to-earnings windows for AMZN, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $198.79–$284.02.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 46.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for AMZN
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent AMZN news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for AMZN is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Should You Buy Jim Cramer and Ken Fisher’s Top AI Stock Pick Ahead of Earnings? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-22)
TickrTrends take: Amazon trades at an undervalued assessment according to TickrTrends despite its prominence in artificial intelligence discussions among prominent investors. For valuation-focused investors, upcoming earnings will be a key test of whether the current undervalued rating reflects genuine opportunity or if results could warrant a reassessment given the company's consumer cyclical exposure and capital-intensive AI infrastructure investments. The earnings announcement should clarify whether Amazon's AI initiatives are translating into margin expansion or if competitive spending pressures are offsetting revenue growth. - Amazon Q3: A $496 Billion Backlog And Negative Free Cash Flow (NASDAQ:AMZN) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Amazon's third quarter results revealed a 496 billion dollar backlog alongside negative free cash flow, metrics that warrant close attention given TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment. For valuation-focused investors, the tension between a substantial order backlog and cash flow headwinds represents a key variable in determining whether the current undervaluation thesis can be sustained. As a Consumer Cyclical company, Amazon's ability to convert its backlog into positive cash generation will be critical to validating any valuation discount relative to peers. - Amazon (AMZN) Accelerates AI Hardware Acquisition Amid Data Center Power Constraints (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Amazon's increased investment in AI hardware comes as the company faces infrastructure limitations that could affect its ability to serve growing demand for cloud services and AI capabilities. Given that TickrTrends currently rates AMZN as undervalued, investors monitoring the Consumer Cyclical sector should track whether these capital expenditures on data center infrastructure will improve margins and revenue growth sufficiently to justify expansion costs. The company's ability to convert infrastructure investments into profitable AI service offerings will be a key metric for assessing whether the current valuation assessment holds as competitive pressures in cloud computing intensify.
More AMZN news
- OpenAI's $30 Billion Fundraise Spurs Market Buzz; What It Means for AMZN (Amazon.com Inc) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
- Is AMZN Overvalued? DCF Says Worth $223 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
- Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) Buys $18.4 Million More NVIDIA on Oct. 15 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
- Amazon's AWS CFO Affirms Sustainable AI Investment Amid Market Concerns (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- Amazon in Talks to Acquire AI Startup Decart for $7 Billion (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- Amazon (AMZN) Wants Investors to Finance $8 Billion of Nvidia Chips. Is AI Spending Getting Too Heavy? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-10)
- Is the Market Underestimating Amazon’s (AMZN) Moat? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-08)
What people are saying
Follow the AMZN conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — Amazon's 50/200-day trend state shifted from uptrend to mixed this week, indicating a transition in its near-term price momentum relative to its longer-term trajectory. The stock remains classified as undervalued according to TickrTrends' derived indicators, suggesting the current valuation may not fully reflect the company's fundamentals within the Consumer Cyclical sector.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is AMZN stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), AMZN is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is AMZN's TickrTrends verdict?
AMZN's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does AMZN compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
AMZN ranks #26 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is AMZN overbought or oversold?
AMZN's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does AMZN report earnings next?
AMZN's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29, per the published earnings calendar.
Does AMZN usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters AMZN beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about AMZN?
Of 61 analysts covering AMZN, 59 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $331 (+26.1% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Consumer Cyclical
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