Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
SW price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedSW is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $41.29
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $32.79–$51.84
- Market cap
- $21.7B
- From 52-week high
- -20.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 525M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #74 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Smurfit Westrock Plc is a packaging company that manufactures corrugated containers, containerboard, and other paper-based packaging products for various industries. The company operates manufacturing facilities and distribution networks across North America, Europe, Latin America, and Asia.
SW currently ranks #74 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $21.7B
- P/E (trailing)
- 27x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $30.3B
- Net margin
- 1.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.54
- Gross margin
- 17.4%
- Debt / equity
- 0.79
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 63.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 525M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 32 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $45.34
- 200-day average
- $43.42
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.79 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 4.33%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 1
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-14
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-10
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 1 beat, 7 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-16.7%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-17.5%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-44.0%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-19.4%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-13.6%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+23.9%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-28.8%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-1.4%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 17 buy · 0 hold · 0 sell (17 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $56.5
- Target vs last price
- +36.8%
What our data shows for SW
- Our model validated 7 trailing price-to-earnings windows for SW, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $32.79–$51.84.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 32.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for SW
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
What people are saying
Follow the SW conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for SW in the Consumer Cyclical sector show that the sector discount rank improved from number 30 to number 22 this week. The current valuation verdict remains Undervalued.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — # SW Consumer Cyclical Sector Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for SW in the Consumer Cyclical sector show a shift in valuation positioning this week. The sector discount rank moved from number 21 to number 28, indicating a relative decline in the sector's discount standing. The current valuation verdict remains Undervalued.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for SW show a shift in momentum status this week, with the momentum indicator downgrading from a B rating to none. The current valuation verdict remains Undervalued. This change suggests a weakening in the stock's recent price movement patterns within the Consumer Cyclical sector.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is SW stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), SW is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is SW's TickrTrends verdict?
SW's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does SW compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
SW ranks #74 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is SW overbought or oversold?
SW's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does SW pay a dividend?
Yes. SW paid $1.79 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 4.33% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 1 consecutive year. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-14.
When does SW report earnings next?
SW's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04, per the published earnings calendar.
Does SW usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters SW beat the consensus estimate 1 times and missed 7 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about SW?
Of 17 analysts covering SW, 17 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $56.5 (+36.8% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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