Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
SHOO price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedSHOO is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $45.27
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $31.37–$49.07
- Market cap
- $3.31B
- From 52-week high
- -7.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 73.2M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #56 of 85
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Steven Madden, Ltd. is a footwear and accessories company that designs, sources, and markets fashion shoes, handbags, and related products for women, men, and children. The company operates retail stores and sells its products through department stores, specialty retailers, and e-commerce channels in the United States and internationally.
SHOO currently ranks #56 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 6 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $3.31B
- P/E (trailing)
- 25x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.74B
- Net margin
- 5.2%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.80
- Gross margin
- 46.5%
- Debt / equity
- 0.40
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 6.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 73.2M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 64 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $44.69
- 200-day average
- $41.39
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.84 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.86%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-11
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-24
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+33.3%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+21.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+2.5%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-2.3%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-16.7%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+30.4%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+3.3%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+2.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 8 buy · 1 hold · 1 sell (10 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $52.4
- Target vs last price
- +15.7%
What our data shows for SHOO
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for SHOO, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $31.37–$49.07.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 64.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for SHOO
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent SHOO news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for SHOO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Is It Too Late to Buy Steven Madden Ltd (SHOO) After 3.8% Rally? GF Value Says Undervalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-23)
TickrTrends take: Steven Madden Ltd trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where valuation shifts can occur rapidly based on consumer spending patterns and fashion trends. The GF Value assessment of undervaluation contrasts with TickrTrends' current Fairly valued designation, indicating divergence among valuation methodologies for the stock. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether SHOO's recent rally narrows this gap or if fundamental factors might support one assessment over the other. - Steven Madden Ltd's Dividend Analysis (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-11)
TickrTrends take: Steven Madden Ltd, which operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, currently trades at a valuation the TickrTrends analysis considers fairly valued. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor how the company's dividend policy and capital allocation decisions affect the sustainability of its current pricing relative to earnings and cash flow generation. In a sector where consumer spending patterns can shift, the relationship between dividend distributions and business fundamentals will be particularly relevant to assessing whether the fair value assessment remains appropriate. - Is Steven Madden Ltd (SHOO) a Bargain After 4.4% Drop? GF Value Says Undervalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-11)
TickrTrends take: Steven Madden Ltd trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where valuation multiples can shift rapidly with consumer spending cycles and inventory dynamics. The recent decline presents a point of tension between the headline's undervaluation claim and TickrTrends' current assessment of the stock as overvalued, suggesting investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the pullback reflects genuine margin of safety or temporary noise. A valuation-focused reader should track whether SHOO's fundamentals have deteriorated enough to justify the current TickrTrends verdict, or whether the recent drop has narrowed the gap between market price and intrinsic value estimates.
What people are saying
Follow the SHOO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — SHOO's 50/200-day trend state improved this week, moving from mixed to uptrend, suggesting strengthening momentum in the intermediate-term price action. The stock remains classified as overvalued according to current valuation metrics. This technical development represents a positive shift in trend direction for the Consumer Cyclical sector stock, though the overvaluation assessment indicates the price may not reflect fundamental value.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — SHOO in the Consumer Cyclical sector has experienced several notable shifts in its technical indicators this week. The 50/200-day trend state has transitioned from an uptrend to a mixed state, suggesting a loss of momentum in recent price movement. Additionally, the quality grade has declined from B to C, reflecting a deterioration in the underlying fundamental metrics. With the current valuation verdict remaining at overvalued, these changes suggest increased caution regarding the stock's near-term technical and quality positioning.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for SHOO showed notable shifts this week. The 50/200-day trend state improved from mixed to uptrend, while the sector discount rank declined from 61st to 69th position, indicating reduced relative valuation appeal within the Consumer Cyclical sector. The valuation verdict moved from fairly valued to overvalued.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is SHOO stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), SHOO is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is SHOO's TickrTrends verdict?
SHOO's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does SHOO compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
SHOO ranks #56 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is SHOO overbought or oversold?
SHOO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does SHOO pay a dividend?
Yes. SHOO paid $0.84 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.86% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-11.
When does SHOO report earnings next?
SHOO's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04, per the published earnings calendar.
Does SHOO usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters SHOO beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about SHOO?
Of 10 analysts covering SHOO, 8 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $52.4 (+15.7% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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