Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Steven Madden, Ltd. is a footwear and accessories company that designs, sources, and markets fashion shoes, handbags, and related products for women, men, and children. The company operates retail stores and sells its products through department stores, specialty retailers, and e-commerce channels in the United States and internationally.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, SHOO is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

SHOO currently ranks #70 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $47.68
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $32.29–$47.68

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for SHOO

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for SHOO, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $32.29–$47.68.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 34.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for SHOO
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent SHOO news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for SHOO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

A Look at Steven Madden Ltd (SHOO) After 3.2% Gain -- GF Value $50.27 vs Price $43.68 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-05)
TickrTrends take: Steven Madden Ltd (SHOO) trades below its GF Value estimate, which contrasts with TickrTrends' current overvalued assessment of the stock. The gap between the valuation model's target and the current price suggests potential disagreement between different analytical approaches in evaluating this Consumer Cyclical company. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether SHOO continues to trade at this discount or whether market prices move to align more closely with fundamental value estimates.
Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-07-30)
TickrTrends take: Steven Madden has reported Q2 2026 results, which provides an opportunity to assess whether the company's operational performance supports TickrTrends' current overvalued assessment. For investors focused on valuation, examining whether earnings growth or margin trends justify the current stock price relative to peers in the Consumer Cyclical sector will be critical. Given the overvalued verdict, watching for signs of slowing demand or profitability challenges that could narrow the gap between market price and intrinsic value would be particularly relevant to valuation-conscious investors.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — SHOO's momentum indicator, which was rated B last week, is no longer present in TickrTrends' derived indicators as of this week. The stock remains classified as overvalued according to current valuation metrics in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is SHOO stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), SHOO is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is SHOO's TickrTrends verdict?

SHOO's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does SHOO compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

SHOO ranks #70 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is SHOO overbought or oversold?

SHOO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

SHOO vs BBWI · SHOO vs BBY · SHOO vs BLMN · SHOO vs CVCO · SHOO vs GT