Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Ross Stores, Inc. operates a chain of off-price retail stores that sell apparel, accessories, footwear, and home goods at discounted prices. The company operates stores throughout the United States and Puerto Rico.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, ROST is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

ROST currently ranks #64 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $230.69
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $158.92–$252.91

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The top quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for ROST

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ROST, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $158.92–$252.91.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 32.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ROST
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent ROST news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ROST is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Jim Cramer Revealed Why Ross Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:ROST) Is “Kicking Butt” (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: Ross Stores operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, which is sensitive to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns. While commentary from analysts may highlight operational strengths, TickrTrends currently derives an overvalued verdict for ROST, suggesting that positive business performance may already be reflected in the current stock price. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether upcoming earnings and guidance justify the current market valuation or whether a pullback creates a more attractive entry point.
Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: Ross Stores reported Q2 2026 results, providing an opportunity for investors to assess whether the company's recent operational performance justifies its current market valuation. TickrTrends currently rates ROST as overvalued, suggesting that the stock price may not align with fundamental metrics in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Valuation-focused readers should examine whether management commentary on margins, comparable store sales, and inventory management supports a narrowing of the gap between current price and intrinsic value.
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Shares Rise 2.3% After Quarterly Earnings Exceed Estimates (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: Ollie's Bargain Outlet's earnings beat demonstrates operational execution in the discount retail space, yet this positive fundamental development occurs within a Consumer Cyclical sector where ROST is currently assessed as overvalued by TickrTrends. Valuation-focused readers should monitor whether the company's ability to exceed expectations can justify the current price levels relative to historical metrics, or whether the stock's valuation multiple remains elevated despite solid quarterly performance.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is ROST stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), ROST is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is ROST's TickrTrends verdict?

ROST's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does ROST compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

ROST ranks #64 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is ROST overbought or oversold?

ROST's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

ROST vs BBY · ROST vs CVCO · ROST vs GT · ROST vs KMX · ROST vs LEGH