Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
ROST price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedROST is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $222.41
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $156.75–$255.23
- Market cap
- $71B
- From 52-week high
- -12.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 319M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #54 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Ross Stores, Inc. operates a chain of off-price retail stores that sell apparel, accessories, footwear, and home goods at discounted prices. The company operates stores throughout the United States and Puerto Rico.
ROST currently ranks #54 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 4 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $71B
- P/E (trailing)
- 29x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $24.5B
- Net margin
- 10.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $7.66
- Gross margin
- 33.8%
- Debt / equity
- 0.70
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 9.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 319M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 63 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $233.31
- 200-day average
- $220.18
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.74 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.78%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 5
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-08
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-30
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-19
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-07 ▲ beat (+6.7%)
2026-04 ▲ beat (+16.8%)
2026-01 ▲ beat (+8.1%)
2025-10 ▲ beat (+11.3%)
2025-07 ▲ beat (+1.3%)
2025-04 ▲ beat (+2.8%)
2025-01 ▼ miss (-0.6%)
2024-10 ▲ beat (+5.7%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 14 buy · 5 hold · 1 sell (20 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $269
- Target vs last price
- +20.9%
What our data shows for ROST
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ROST, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $156.75–$255.23.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 63.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ROST
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent ROST news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ROST is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Ross Stores (ROST) Expands with 51 New Locations, Strengthening Market Presence (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
TickrTrends take: Ross Stores is expanding its footprint with 51 new locations, which represents a growth initiative that could support future revenue expansion and operational leverage. For investors evaluating the stock at its current fairly valued assessment, the effectiveness of these new store openings in driving comparable sales growth and profitability will be important to monitor, particularly given the cyclical nature of consumer discretionary retail. The execution of this expansion strategy and its impact on return on invested capital should be tracked against the company's current valuation multiple to determine whether the growth justifies the present price. - Ross opens 51 new stores (retaildive.com, 2026-10-12)
TickrTrends take: Ross Stores' expansion of 51 new locations represents growth in its store footprint, which could support future revenue potential depending on the productivity of these new units. For investors tracking valuation metrics, the key consideration is whether this expansion generates sufficient incremental earnings to justify capital deployment, particularly given the company's current fairly valued status in the Consumer Cyclical sector. The earnings accretion from new store openings will be important to monitor in upcoming quarters to assess whether the expansion supports or challenges the current valuation assessment. - Jim Cramer On TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX): I Bought It But Didn’t Want To Hype My Position (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-08)
TickrTrends take: Ross Stores operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where valuation discipline matters significantly given economic sensitivity. TickrTrends currently assesses ROST as overvalued, suggesting the market price may not adequately reflect downside risks if consumer spending weakens or inventory challenges persist. In this context, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether ROST's earnings growth trajectory can justify its current valuation, particularly as comparable retailers face similar cyclical pressures.
What people are saying
Follow the ROST conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is ROST stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), ROST is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is ROST's TickrTrends verdict?
ROST's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does ROST compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
ROST ranks #54 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is ROST overbought or oversold?
ROST's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does ROST pay a dividend?
Yes. ROST paid $1.74 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.78% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 5 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-08.
When does ROST report earnings next?
ROST's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-19, per the published earnings calendar.
Does ROST usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters ROST beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about ROST?
Of 20 analysts covering ROST, 14 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $269 (+20.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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