Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
RL price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedRL is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $371.28
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $309.29–$414.25
- Market cap
- $23B
- From 52-week high
- -10.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 61.9M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #58 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Ralph Lauren Corporation is a luxury fashion company that designs, manufactures, and distributes apparel, accessories, and home furnishings under the Ralph Lauren brand and related labels. The company operates globally, with a significant presence in North America, Europe, and Asia, serving customers through retail stores, department stores, and e-commerce channels worldwide.
RL currently ranks #58 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 6 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $23B
- P/E (trailing)
- 21x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.36B
- Net margin
- 11.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $17.40
- Gross margin
- 73.7%
- Debt / equity
- 1.10
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 6.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 61.9M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 76 · overbought
- 50-day average
- $361.52
- 200-day average
- $365.74
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $3.83 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.03%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 5
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-25
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-09
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+6.7%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+10.2%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+7.1%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+9.9%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+8.3%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+11.3%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+6.4%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+5.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 17 buy · 1 hold · 1 sell (19 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $447
- Target vs last price
- +20.4%
What our data shows for RL
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for RL, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $309.29–$414.25.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an overbought 76.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for RL
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent RL news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for RL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Here is Why Ralph Lauren (RL) is a Good Investment at Today’s Price (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-24)
TickrTrends take: Ralph Lauren trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as fairly valued within the Consumer Cyclical sector. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the current price point suggests the market has already incorporated expectations about the company's earnings power and growth trajectory. Observers should monitor whether the company's ability to sustain margins and revenue growth justifies maintaining this valuation level, particularly given cyclical pressures that can affect discretionary consumer spending. - RL Looks 11.8% Overvalued on GF Value™ as Dividend and Growth Outlook Lift Sentiment (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-13)
TickrTrends take: RL's current TickrTrends assessment of fairly valued stands in contrast to the GF Value methodology, which suggests meaningful overvaluation in the stock. The divergence between these two valuation frameworks highlights the importance for investors to monitor how dividend sustainability and growth expectations evolve, as shifts in either factor could alter the company's valuation standing within the Consumer Cyclical sector. Readers focused on valuation should track whether near-term sentiment drivers can be supported by fundamental improvements or whether the gap between methodologies narrows. - Ralph Lauren: Strong Comps And Clean Inventory (NYSE:RL) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-09)
TickrTrends take: Ralph Lauren is currently rated as overvalued by TickrTrends despite reporting strong comparable store sales and healthy inventory levels. For valuation-focused investors, the question becomes whether the company's operational performance can justify current pricing or if the stock requires a pullback to align with fundamentals. The strength in comps and inventory management in the Consumer Cyclical sector suggests operational execution is solid, but this alone may not resolve the valuation premium that TickrTrends has identified.
What people are saying
Follow the RL conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for RL showed a notable shift this week, with the RSI zone moving from neutral into overbought territory. The stock's current valuation verdict remains overvalued based on the analysis framework.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — RL's sector discount rank declined from number 64 to number 70 this week, indicating a weaker relative valuation position within the Consumer Cyclical sector. The stock remains classified as overvalued according to TickrTrends' derived indicators.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — RL's RSI indicator moved from oversold territory into neutral territory this week, suggesting a shift in momentum dynamics for the Consumer Cyclical sector stock. The stock maintains a fairly valued assessment based on current valuation metrics. This change in the RSI zone indicates that selling pressure has eased, though the stock does not yet show signs of overbought conditions.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is RL stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), RL is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is RL's TickrTrends verdict?
RL's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does RL compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
RL ranks #58 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is RL overbought or oversold?
RL's 14-day RSI is in the overbought zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
Does RL pay a dividend?
Yes. RL paid $3.83 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.03% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 5 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-25.
When does RL report earnings next?
RL's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05, per the published earnings calendar.
Does RL usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters RL beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about RL?
Of 19 analysts covering RL, 17 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $447 (+20.4% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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