Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Packaging Corporation of America is a manufacturer and producer of containerboard, corrugated packaging products, and uncoated free sheet paper used by various industries. The company operates manufacturing facilities and distribution networks across North America, serving customers in sectors including food, beverage, e-commerce, and industrial goods.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, PKG is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

PKG currently ranks #49 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $237.25
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $195.59–$251.09

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The top quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for PKG

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for PKG, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $195.59–$251.09.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 37.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for PKG
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent PKG news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for PKG is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

What Are Wall Street Analysts' Target Price for Packaging Corporation of America Stock? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-26)
TickrTrends take: # Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Valuation Context Packaging Corporation of America operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where demand fluctuates with economic conditions and consumer spending patterns. TickrTrends currently assesses PKG as fairly valued, suggesting the market price aligns with fundamental metrics and analyst expectations. For valuation-focused investors, monitoring how analyst price targets evolve will be important, particularly as economic indicators shift the cyclical demand outlook for packaging materials and related products.
Axjo, Balcan, Detpak among international packaging companies expanding in US (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-07-31)
TickrTrends take: PKG operates in the competitive packaging industry where international competitors are actively expanding their US presence, which could create pricing pressures or market share dynamics that affect profitability going forward. A fairly valued assessment suggests the market has already priced in current expectations for the company's earnings and growth prospects, so investors monitoring PKG should watch whether competitive expansion impacts margins or revenue growth relative to those expectations. As a Consumer Cyclical company, PKG's performance remains sensitive to broader economic conditions that could amplify or diminish the effect of this competitive activity on shareholder returns.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is PKG stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), PKG is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is PKG's TickrTrends verdict?

PKG's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does PKG compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

PKG ranks #49 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is PKG overbought or oversold?

PKG's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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