Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
PANW price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedPANW is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $418.78
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $141.67–$419.91
- Market cap
- $343B
- From 52-week high
- -0.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 818M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #157 of 181
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is a cybersecurity company that develops and provides cloud-based security platforms, network security appliances, and threat intelligence software to protect organizations from cyberattacks and data breaches. The company operates globally, serving customers across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and other international markets through its product offerings and services.
PANW currently ranks #157 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $343B
- P/E (trailing)
- 149x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $11.5B
- Net margin
- 2.7%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.81
- Gross margin
- 67.6%
- Debt / equity
- 0.09
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 27.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 818M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 38 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $373.27
- 200-day average
- $260.68
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-18
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-07 ▲ beat (+3.9%)
2026-04 ▼ miss (-25.6%)
2026-01 ▲ beat (+9.6%)
2025-10 ▲ beat (+4.5%)
2025-07 ▼ miss (-16.0%)
2025-04 ▲ beat (+3.9%)
2025-01 ▲ beat (+3.8%)
2024-10 ▲ beat (+5.4%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 42 buy · 11 hold · 2 sell (55 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $399
- Target vs last price
- -4.7%
What our data shows for PANW
- Our model validated 10 trailing price-to-earnings windows for PANW, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $141.67–$419.91.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 38.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for PANW
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent PANW news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for PANW is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Palo Alto Networks Stock: 34% Growth That's Really 15%, At 84x Earnings (NASDAQ:PANW) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-22)
TickrTrends take: Palo Alto Networks trades at 84 times earnings, a multiple that sits substantially above typical technology sector averages and aligns with TickrTrends' overvalued assessment. The headline's distinction between reported growth of 34% and underlying growth of 15% suggests investors should scrutinize whether current earnings multiples reflect sustainable operational performance or rely on accounting factors that may not persist. Valuation-focused readers monitoring PANW should track whether the company can narrow the gap between headline and adjusted growth metrics, as this reconciliation will be critical to justifying its premium earnings multiple over time. - Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Pays a Large Part of Its Wage Bill in Stock. What Does That Do to Profit? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Palo Alto Networks relies significantly on stock-based compensation as part of its employee wage structure, which reduces reported earnings by increasing share dilution rather than requiring cash outflows. Given TickrTrends' assessment that PANW is currently overvalued, investors focusing on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's earnings quality improves or deteriorates as stock-based compensation levels change relative to revenue growth. The distinction between cash expenses and non-cash equity charges becomes particularly relevant when evaluating whether current valuation multiples appropriately reflect the company's true economic profitability in the Technology sector. - A Look at Palo Alto Networks Inc (PANW) After 7.6% Decline -- GF Value $235.38 vs Price $342.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Palo Alto Networks trades at a significant premium to its GuruFocus Value estimate, with the current price substantially exceeding the calculated fair value. The recent decline has not yet brought the stock into alignment with fundamental valuation metrics, leaving it trading well above intrinsic value levels. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether further price adjustments occur or if the company's growth and earnings trajectories strengthen enough to justify the current premium.
More PANW news
- Franklin Systematic Style Premia (FLSP) Sells $7.4 Million More Costco on Oct. 12 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- Is Palo Alto Networks Inc (PANW) Overvalued After 4.6% Rally? GF Value Says Overvalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-28)
- Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Lets Customers Pay Later. Is Credit Risk Rising? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-28)
- Palo Alto Networks Inc (PANW) Shares Fall 3.9% -- What GF Score of 81 Tells Investors (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-25)
What people are saying
Follow the PANW conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is PANW stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), PANW is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is PANW's TickrTrends verdict?
PANW's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does PANW compare to other Technology stocks?
PANW ranks #157 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is PANW overbought or oversold?
PANW's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does PANW report earnings next?
PANW's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-18, per the published earnings calendar.
Does PANW usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters PANW beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about PANW?
Of 55 analysts covering PANW, 42 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 2 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $399 (-4.7% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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