Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (SIGI) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
SIGI price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedSIGI is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $89.16
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $73.72–$100.15
- Market cap
- $5.31B
- From 52-week high
- -11.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 59.6M
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #159 of 167
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. is a property and casualty insurance company that provides personal and commercial insurance products to customers across the United States. The company operates through multiple subsidiaries that offer coverage for auto, home, business, and workers' compensation insurance in markets throughout the country.
SIGI currently ranks #159 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $5.31B
- P/E (trailing)
- 11x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.46B
- Net margin
- 9.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $7.96
- Gross margin
- 41.2%
- Debt / equity
- 0.25
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 9.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 59.6M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 61 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $89.22
- 200-day average
- $87.01
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.72 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.93%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 12
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-17
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-01
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 2 beat, 6 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+13.4%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-7.1%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+17.9%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-12.1%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-13.8%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-5.4%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-18.6%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-14.6%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 2 buy · 5 hold · 1 sell (8 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $100
- Target vs last price
- +12.2%
What our data shows for SIGI
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for SIGI, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $73.72–$100.15.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 61.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for SIGI
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent SIGI news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for SIGI is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.
- People Moves: Selective Insurance Names Kalia Chief Investment Officer (insurancejournal.com, 2026-10-09)
TickrTrends take: Selective Insurance's appointment of a new Chief Investment Officer may signal strategic changes in how the company manages its investment portfolio, which is a key driver of profitability for insurance firms. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment, investors should monitor whether this leadership move translates into improved investment returns that could justify a higher valuation multiple. Changes in investment strategy at insurance companies can materially affect both net investment income and overall financial performance, making this personnel transition relevant to tracking whether the undervaluation thesis remains intact. - Selective Insurance Group Appoints EVP-Chief Investment Officer (ambest.com, 2026-10-07)
TickrTrends take: Selective Insurance Group's appointment of an EVP-Chief Investment Officer represents a potential strategic shift in how the company manages its investment portfolio, which is a critical driver of earnings for insurance companies. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether this leadership change leads to improved investment returns or altered capital allocation strategies that could enhance shareholder value. The effectiveness of this new officer's tenure will be an important metric to track alongside the company's combined ratio and overall financial performance in the Financial Services sector. - SIGI Maintains by Piper Sandler -- Price Target Lowered to $97.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-28)
TickrTrends take: Signet Jewelers trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as undervalued within the Financial Services sector, suggesting there may be room for appreciation from current levels. Piper Sandler's reduction of its price target to $97 represents a more cautious stance on near-term performance, which valuations investors should monitor closely to determine whether the undervalued characterization holds if downward revisions continue across the analyst community. The divergence between TickrTrends' undervalued assessment and the lowered price target highlights the importance of tracking how analyst sentiment evolves relative to the company's current trading valuation.
What people are saying
Follow the SIGI conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for SIGI show a shift in momentum this week as the RSI zone moved from oversold to neutral territory. The stock maintains an undervalued position according to current valuation metrics. This change suggests the stock is no longer trading at extremely depressed momentum levels within its recent range.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — SIGI's technical indicators shifted this week as its Relative Strength Index moved from the neutral zone into oversold territory. The stock maintains an undervalued assessment based on current valuation metrics within the Financial Services sector. This oversold reading may suggest the stock has experienced recent downward price momentum.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is SIGI stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), SIGI is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is SIGI's TickrTrends verdict?
SIGI's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does SIGI compare to other Financial Services stocks?
SIGI ranks #159 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is SIGI overbought or oversold?
SIGI's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does SIGI pay a dividend?
Yes. SIGI paid $1.72 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.93% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 12 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-17.
Does SIGI usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters SIGI beat the consensus estimate 2 times and missed 6 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about SIGI?
Of 8 analysts covering SIGI, 2 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $100 (+12.2% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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