Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Simon Property Group, Inc. is a real estate investment trust that owns and operates shopping malls, outlet centers, and other retail properties. The company's portfolio spans across the United States and includes properties in several international markets.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, SPG is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

SPG currently ranks #24 of 34 Real Estate stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $209.44
Sector: Real Estate
12-month range: $175.76–$229.37

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Oversold
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for SPG

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for SPG, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $175.76–$229.37.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at an oversold 28.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for SPG
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent SPG news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for SPG is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

SPG Looks 7.0% Overvalued on GF Value™ as Dividend Sustainability Faces Pressure (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: Simon Property Group trades at a premium to its estimated intrinsic value according to GF Value metrics, which suggests limited margin of safety for new investors at current price levels. The sustainability concerns flagged around the dividend are particularly relevant for income-focused shareholders in the real estate sector, where distribution reliability typically forms a core investment thesis. Valuation-focused readers should monitor whether SPG's operational cash flows can support its current payout level, as deterioration in this metric could either pressure the stock toward fair value or threaten the dividend itself.
Are Wall Street Analysts Bullish on Simon Property Stock? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-19)
TickrTrends take: Simon Property Group trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as overvalued relative to fundamental metrics in the Real Estate sector. The question of analyst sentiment becomes particularly relevant when a stock is trading above intrinsic value levels, as bullish analyst positioning could either validate current prices or obscure valuation concerns depending on whether those views are supported by underlying financial performance. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether any analyst upgrades or positive commentary reflect improvements in SPG's core fundamentals or instead represent sentiment that has outpaced the company's actual financial metrics.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — SPG's valuation assessment shifted this week as TickrTrends' DCF cross-check band moved from an overvalued designation to none. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued based on derived indicators, though the removal of confirmation from the DCF cross-check band represents a notable change in the supporting analysis.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is SPG stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), SPG is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is SPG's TickrTrends verdict?

SPG's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does SPG compare to other Real Estate stocks?

SPG ranks #24 of 34 Real Estate stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is SPG overbought or oversold?

SPG's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.

All Real Estate fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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