AT&T Inc. (T) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
T price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedT is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $22.18
- Sector
- Communication Services
- 12-month range
- $20.48–$29.10
- Market cap
- $152B
- From 52-week high
- -23.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 6.85B
- Rank in Communication Services by discount to fair value
- #21 of 29
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
AT&T Inc. is a telecommunications company that provides wireless services, broadband internet, and digital television to consumers and businesses across the United States and internationally. The company operates a network infrastructure for voice, data, and video communications and serves millions of customers through its retail stores, online platforms, and business service centers worldwide.
T currently ranks #21 of 29 Communication Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $152B
- P/E (trailing)
- 10x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $127B
- Net margin
- 16.9%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.28
- Gross margin
- 61.8%
- Debt / equity
- 1.47
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 1.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 6.85B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Fairly Valued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 41 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $24.93
- 200-day average
- $25.11
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.11 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 5.00%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-10-09
- Last payment date
- 2026-11-02
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+10.2%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+3.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+10.6%)
2025-09 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+1.9%)
2025-03 ▬ met (0.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+5.9%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+5.3%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 16 buy · 9 hold · 1 sell (26 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $28.8
- Target vs last price
- +29.8%
What our data shows for T
- Our model validated 16 trailing price-to-earnings windows for T, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $20.48–$29.10.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 41.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for T
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent T news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for T is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- AT&T Inc. (T) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: AT&T's third quarter 2026 earnings call provides investors with operational details and management guidance that can be assessed against the company's current market valuation. Given TickrTrends' assessment that T is overvalued within the Communication Services sector, the earnings transcript merits review for evidence of whether the company's financial performance and future prospects justify its current stock price. Valuation-focused readers should examine revenue trends, capital expenditure plans, and management commentary on competitive positioning to determine if the market is pricing in reasonable expectations for a mature telecommunications operator. - AT&T: 3 Big Threats That Could Crush Its Dividend Growth And Buyback Potential (NYSE:T) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: AT&T faces operational pressures that could constrain the cash generation needed to support its dividend and share repurchase programs, which are key components of shareholder returns. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that T is overvalued, investors should monitor whether the identified threats materialize into reduced free cash flow, as this would further pressure the valuation multiple. The Communication Services sector is capital-intensive and dividend-dependent, making any threat to AT&T's ability to fund these shareholder distributions particularly relevant to its current valuation standing. - AT&T (T): Does Buying Fiber Create More Value Than Building It? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: AT&T faces a strategic choice between acquiring existing fiber infrastructure versus developing it internally, a decision that will materially impact capital efficiency and long-term returns on investment. Given TickrTrends' assessment that T is currently overvalued, investors should monitor whether management's fiber strategy generates sufficient incremental cash flow to justify the current valuation multiples. The market will need to see clear evidence that either acquisition or build-out strategies produce competitive advantages that support the premium pricing before the overvaluation designation could be reconsidered.
More T news
- AT&T (T) Shares Slide After SpaceX Spectrum Deal; Dividend Sustainability Remains a Key Focus (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- AT&T To Divest AT&T Mexico To Grupo Televisa And Fintech Holdings In $2 Bln Cash Deal (rttnews.com, 2026-10-14)
- Here is What to Know Beyond Why AT&T Inc. (T) is a Trending Stock (zacks.com, 2026-10-12)
- AT&T: Growth Is Picking Up Into Q3, Yet The Shares Still Trade Too Cheaply (NYSE:T) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-07)
- AT&T: Mixed Signals And A Dividend That Is Not Attractive Enough (NYSE:T) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-06)
What people are saying
Follow the T conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for T showed movement this week within the Communication Services sector. The DCF cross-check band shifted from undervalued to fairly valued, while the RSI zone moved from oversold to neutral. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for T show notable shifts this week within the Communication Services sector. The DCF cross-check band moved from fairly valued to undervalued, while the RSI zone transitioned from neutral to oversold, indicating increased downward momentum in the stock's price movement. T's current valuation verdict remains overvalued according to the assessment framework.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is T stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), T is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is T's TickrTrends verdict?
T's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does T compare to other Communication Services stocks?
T ranks #21 of 29 Communication Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is T overbought or oversold?
T's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does T pay a dividend?
Yes. T paid $1.11 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 5.00% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-10-09.
Does T usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters T beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about T?
Of 26 analysts covering T, 16 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $28.8 (+29.8% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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