Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
XEL price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedXEL is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $73.78
- Sector
- Utilities
- 12-month range
- $69.39–$83.91
- Market cap
- $46.1B
- From 52-week high
- -12.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 625M
- Rank in Utilities by discount to fair value
- #13 of 36
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Xcel Energy Inc. is a utility company that generates, transmits, and distributes electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates across eight states in the upper Midwest and Southwest regions of the United States.
XEL currently ranks #13 of 36 Utilities stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $46.1B
- P/E (trailing)
- 18x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $14.6B
- Net margin
- 15.3%
- EPS (TTM)
- $4.04
- Gross margin
- 53.1%
- Debt / equity
- 1.68
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -4.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 625M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 65 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $74.84
- 200-day average
- $78.08
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $2.74 per share (5 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 3.71%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 1
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2027-01-14
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-15
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 2 beat, 4 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+17.7%)
2026-03 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-12 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-6.1%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+17.2%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-8.7%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-8.0%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-0.8%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 17 buy · 2 hold · 0 sell (19 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $89.3
- Target vs last price
- +21.0%
What our data shows for XEL
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for XEL, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $69.39–$83.91.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 65.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for XEL
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent XEL news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for XEL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- XEL Maintains Outperform Rating -- Price Target Lowered to $86.00 by BMO Capital (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: XEL's price target reduction to $86 by BMO Capital suggests analyst caution despite the maintained outperform stance, which could indicate a recalibration rather than fundamental deterioration. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment for this utilities operator, the gap between the analyst target and market pricing warrants attention for investors monitoring whether the stock's valuation discount remains justified. Utilities investors should track whether this price target adjustment reflects sector-wide pressures or company-specific headwinds that might affect XEL's fundamental value proposition going forward. - XEL Maintains Overweight Rating by Keybanc -- Price Target Lowered to $87 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: Keybanc's reduction of XEL's price target to $87, despite maintaining an overweight rating, reflects analyst reassessment of near-term valuation metrics while preserving conviction in the company's longer-term prospects. This mixed signal aligns with TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment, suggesting the market may not yet be pricing in the utility's fundamental strengths relative to sector peers. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether XEL's operational performance and regulatory developments can support a closer convergence with analyst price targets over the coming quarters. - XEL Initiates Coverage On Scotiabank -- Price Target Announced at $77 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-29)
TickrTrends take: Scotiabank has initiated coverage of XEL with a price target of $77, which provides a new benchmark for valuation-focused investors to assess against current market levels. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that XEL trades at an undervalued level within the Utilities sector, this analyst price target represents an important data point for monitoring whether market consensus views align with the undervaluation signal. Investors tracking XEL's valuation should observe how the stock price responds to this coverage initiation and whether the Scotiabank target influences broader analyst sentiment in the sector.
More XEL news
- Xcel Energy: When 3.3% Is Better Than 7.1% (NASDAQ:XEL) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-23)
- Is XEL Overvalued? DCF Says Worth $51 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-17)
What people are saying
Follow the XEL conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — XEL's Relative Strength Index moved from oversold territory into neutral zone this week, indicating reduced downward momentum in the Utilities sector stock. The shift suggests that selling pressure has eased, though the security remains classified as undervalued according to TickrTrends' current valuation assessment.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — XEL's derived indicators have shifted negatively this week as the 50/200-day trend state moved from mixed to downtrend, while the RSI zone declined from neutral into oversold territory. Despite these technical weakening signals, the current valuation verdict remains undervalued.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is XEL stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), XEL is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is XEL's TickrTrends verdict?
XEL's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does XEL compare to other Utilities stocks?
XEL ranks #13 of 36 Utilities stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is XEL overbought or oversold?
XEL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does XEL pay a dividend?
Yes. XEL paid $2.74 per share over the last twelve months (5 payments), a 3.71% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 1 consecutive year. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2027-01-14.
When does XEL report earnings next?
XEL's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does XEL usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters XEL beat the consensus estimate 2 times and missed 4 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about XEL?
Of 19 analysts covering XEL, 17 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $89.3 (+21.0% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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