Apple Inc. (AAPL) fair value analysis

S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets consumer electronics, computer software, and digital services including iPhones, Mac computers, iPads, and streaming platforms. The company operates globally with manufacturing partners and retail locations across North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions worldwide.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, AAPL is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

AAPL currently ranks #146 of 199 Technology stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $319.97
Sector: Technology
12-month range: $255.63–$325.13

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for AAPL

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for AAPL, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $255.63–$325.13.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 55.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for AAPL
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent AAPL news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for AAPL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Apple to unveil $2,000 foldable iPhone duo at high-stakes event (thehindubusinessline.com, 2026-09-09)
TickrTrends take: Apple's announcement of a premium foldable iPhone priced at $2,000 represents a significant product expansion into the high-end market segment, which could influence revenue per unit and gross margins going forward. Given TickrTrends' current overvalued assessment, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether this new product category can justify the company's current market pricing through sufficient demand and profitability contribution. The Technology sector's competitive dynamics around foldable devices mean execution risk on this launch will be a key factor for those evaluating whether Apple's valuation multiple can be supported by future earnings growth.
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures hold steady as oil prices near $100 (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-09)
TickrTrends take: Apple trades within a market environment where major index futures are maintaining stability despite energy commodity pressures, creating conditions where individual stock valuations warrant closer scrutiny. TickrTrends currently assesses Apple as overvalued, suggesting that a steady market backdrop may not provide the typical support for technology sector valuations that investors might expect. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether stable market conditions allow for price corrections toward fair value or whether momentum from the broader technology sector sustains current pricing levels.
Apple: I Don't See Any New Ideas That Could Be Bigger Than The iPhone (NASDAQ:AAPL) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-07)
TickrTrends take: Apple trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently classifies as overvalued, and this headline raises questions about the company's ability to generate growth catalysts that could justify current market expectations. Investors monitoring valuation metrics should pay attention to whether Apple can demonstrate meaningful revenue expansion beyond its iPhone business or show accelerating adoption in services and emerging product categories. The tension between the company's mature core business and its premium valuation suggests that valuation-focused observers may want to track management guidance and actual revenue growth rates relative to sector peers.

What people are saying

Follow the AAPL conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is AAPL stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), AAPL is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is AAPL's TickrTrends verdict?

AAPL's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does AAPL compare to other Technology stocks?

AAPL ranks #146 of 199 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is AAPL overbought or oversold?

AAPL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Technology fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

AAPL vs ADI · AAPL vs AMZN · AAPL vs AVT · AAPL vs CNXN · AAPL vs GOOGL