Apple Inc. (AAPL) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
AAPL price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedAAPL is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $336.64
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $246.63–$343.46
- Market cap
- $4.91T
- From 52-week high
- -2.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 14.6B
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #120 of 181
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets consumer electronics, computer software, and digital services including iPhones, Mac computers, iPads, and streaming platforms. The company operates globally with manufacturing partners and retail locations across North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions worldwide.
AAPL currently ranks #120 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $4.91T
- P/E (trailing)
- 39x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $467B
- Net margin
- 27.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $8.72
- Gross margin
- 50.1%
- Debt / equity
- 0.78
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 7.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 14.6B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 57 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $325.70
- 200-day average
- $292.46
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.06 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.31%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 4
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-10
- Last payment date
- 2026-08-13
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-02 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+7.4%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+3.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+6.4%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+4.5%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+9.8%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+1.9%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+2.6%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+2.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 25 buy · 13 hold · 6 sell (44 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $329
- Target vs last price
- -2.3%
What our data shows for AAPL
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for AAPL, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $246.63–$343.46.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 57.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for AAPL
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent AAPL news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for AAPL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- WeShop Opens Share Claims for UK Members on November 23, Marking One Year on Nasdaq (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-23)
TickrTrends take: WeShop's first anniversary as a public company marks a milestone for the broader technology sector ecosystem, though the event has no direct bearing on Apple's valuation metrics. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that AAPL is overvalued, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether technology sector developments like WeShop's shareholder initiatives influence overall sector sentiment and capital allocation patterns. This secondary consideration may be relevant for those tracking whether overvalued technology stocks face repricing pressure amid evolving market dynamics in the space. - US Market Update: Major Moves in Stocks Amid Earnings Optimism (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Apple's stock movements amid broader earnings optimism occur against TickrTrends' current assessment that the company is overvalued, suggesting investors should monitor whether upcoming results can justify current price levels. For Technology sector investors focused on valuation metrics, the earnings environment presents an opportunity to evaluate whether AAPL's valuation premium aligns with actual financial performance and growth prospects. A valuation-focused reader should track whether earnings results narrow or widen the gap between AAPL's market price and its fundamental value indicators. - AAPL Maintains Neutral Rating by MoffettNathanson -- Price Target Lowered to $283 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: MoffettNathanson's decision to lower Apple's price target to $283 while maintaining a neutral rating suggests analyst caution about near-term upside, which aligns with TickrTrends' assessment that the stock is currently overvalued. For valuation-focused investors, this analyst adjustment reinforces the importance of monitoring whether Apple's current market price remains elevated relative to fundamental metrics within the Technology sector. The neutral stance indicates limited conviction for appreciation from current levels, making valuation multiples and earnings growth rates key metrics to track before considering entry points.
More AAPL news
- Gekko.app Takes Aim at Established Stock Research Platforms With Free Advanced Analysis for 3,500 US Stocks (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-20)
- Apple Is Winning on Price, Not Units, KeyBanc Survey Suggests (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
- AAPL DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $177 vs Price $343 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
- Apple (AAPL) Closes Above $5 Trillion Market Cap, Setting New Benchmark (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
- Global Smartphone Shipments Fall 22% in Q3 2026; Apple (AAPL) Shows Relative Resilience (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
- OpenAI-Alleged Data Breach Sparks Legal Clash with Apple (AAPL) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
- TROOPS, Inc. Announces Landmark Merger with EFFORCE Group, Expanding into Multi-Vertical Digital Asset Infrastructure and Securing Crypto Trading (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-14)
- Apple Stock: The Biggest AI Winner Isn't Building AI (NASDAQ:AAPL) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-14)
- Apple (AAPL) Boosts Foldable iPhone Duo Orders Amid Mixed Demand for iPhone 18 Models (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
What people are saying
Follow the AAPL conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for AAPL show that the stock's sector discount rank declined to #155 this week, down from #150 the previous week. The current valuation verdict remains Overvalued.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — # AAPL Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for AAPL show a modest improvement in relative valuation positioning this week, with the stock's sector discount rank improving from #160 to #153 among Technology sector peers. Despite this improvement in ranking, the current valuation verdict remains Overvalued according to TickrTrends' assessment methodology.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is AAPL stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), AAPL is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is AAPL's TickrTrends verdict?
AAPL's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does AAPL compare to other Technology stocks?
AAPL ranks #120 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is AAPL overbought or oversold?
AAPL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does AAPL pay a dividend?
Yes. AAPL paid $1.06 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.31% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 4 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-10.
When does AAPL report earnings next?
AAPL's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-02 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does AAPL usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters AAPL beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about AAPL?
Of 44 analysts covering AAPL, 25 rate it a buy, 13 a hold and 6 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $329 (-2.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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