Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. is an insurance brokerage and risk management services firm that helps clients identify, evaluate, and mitigate business and personal risks through insurance products and related services. The company operates globally with a significant presence in North America, Europe, Asia, and other international markets.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, AJG is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.

AJG currently ranks #16 of 165 Financial Services stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $262.69
Sector: Financial Services
12-month range: $205.42–$262.00

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Strong
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The top quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for AJG

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for AJG, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $205.42–$262.00.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 56.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for AJG
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent AJG news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for AJG is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Koreyva to succeed Cary as Gallagher’s Controller and Chief Accounting Officer (reinsurancene.ws, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: Arthur J. Gallagher and Co. announced an executive transition in its accounting leadership with Koreyva assuming the controller and chief accounting officer role from Cary. For a Financial Services company currently assessed as undervalued by TickrTrends, changes in accounting leadership warrant attention to how financial reporting processes and internal controls may evolve. Investors tracking AJG's valuation should monitor upcoming quarterly filings to evaluate whether the transition affects the company's financial presentation or disclosure quality that informed the undervaluation assessment.
Do You Believe Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) Could Deliver Mid-Teens EPS Growth for Years? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: Arthur J. Gallagher operates in the Financial Services sector where TickrTrends currently identifies the stock as undervalued. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether the company can sustain the mid-teens earnings per share growth trajectory referenced in recent analyst discussions, as such consistent performance would support the undervalued assessment. The ability to deliver this level of growth over multiple years would be particularly relevant for investors evaluating whether current valuations adequately reflect the company's earnings power.
AJG DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $315 vs Price $262 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. is trading at $262 while a discounted cash flow analysis suggests an intrinsic value of $315, which aligns with TickrTrends' current Undervalued assessment for the Financial Services company. The $53 gap between the DCF-derived value and current price represents the magnitude of potential undervaluation according to this fundamental analysis methodology. Valuation-focused readers should monitor whether the company's cash flow generation and growth assumptions in the DCF model prove accurate, as these are the primary drivers of the $315 valuation benchmark.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is AJG stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), AJG is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is AJG's TickrTrends verdict?

AJG's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does AJG compare to other Financial Services stocks?

AJG ranks #16 of 165 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is AJG overbought or oversold?

AJG's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Financial Services fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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