Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. is a business development company that provides secured lending solutions to middle-market companies. The company operates primarily in the United States, focusing on asset-based and cash flow lending opportunities.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, CGBD is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

CGBD currently ranks #109 of 165 Financial Services stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $10.26
Sector: Financial Services
12-month range: $10.26–$11.72

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Moderate
RSI zone: Overbought
50/200-day trend: Downtrend
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range

What our data shows for CGBD

Our model validated 14 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CGBD, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $10.26–$11.72.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at an overbought 71.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CGBD
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent CGBD news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CGBD is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

JPMorgan downgrades TCG BDC stock on relative valuation concerns By Investing.com (investing.com, 2024-07-29)
TickrTrends take: JPMorgan's downgrade of TCG BDC on valuation grounds aligns with TickrTrends' current assessment that CGBD is overvalued within the Financial Services sector. Given that a major institutional analyst has flagged relative valuation as a concern, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the stock's pricing adjusts toward levels more consistent with peer comparisons and fundamental metrics. The confluence of analyst skepticism and the overvalued rating suggests that valuation-conscious investors may want to track whether competitive positioning or dividend sustainability becomes a focal point in coming earnings discussions.
Commonwealth Equity Services LLC Grows Stake in Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (NASDAQ:CGBD) (etfdailynews.com, 2022-10-29)
TickrTrends take: Commonwealth Equity Services LLC's increased stake in CGBD suggests institutional confidence in the secured lending business, though TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued within the Financial Services sector. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether this insider accumulation represents a genuine shift in the company's fundamentals or occurs at valuations that do not yet reflect a margin of safety. The timing of institutional buying relative to the overvaluation verdict warrants attention regarding potential future repricing.
Wells Fargo & Company Cuts Carlyle Secured Lending (NASDAQ:CGBD) Price Target to $12.00 (etfdailynews.com, 2022-10-25)
TickrTrends take: Wells Fargo reduced its price target for Carlyle Secured Lending to 12 dollars, which reflects analyst concerns about the company's near-term prospects. Given that TickrTrends currently rates CGBD as overvalued within the Financial Services sector, this downward price target revision aligns with skepticism about the stock's current valuation levels. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether additional analyst downgrades follow and whether the market reprices the stock accordingly toward levels that better reflect fundamental value.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — CGBD's momentum indicator, which was rated B last week, has declined to none this week. The stock in the Financial Services sector maintains an overvalued valuation verdict. This downward shift in momentum represents a material change in the company's technical positioning compared to the prior week.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is CGBD stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), CGBD is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is CGBD's TickrTrends verdict?

CGBD's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does CGBD compare to other Financial Services stocks?

CGBD ranks #109 of 165 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is CGBD overbought or oversold?

CGBD's 14-day RSI is in the overbought zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.

All Financial Services fair-value coverage →

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