Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
CGBD price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedCGBD is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $10.39
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $9.99–$13.13
- Market cap
- $715M
- From 52-week high
- -20.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 68.8M
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #116 of 167
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. is a business development company that provides secured lending solutions to middle-market companies. The company operates primarily in the United States, focusing on asset-based and cash flow lending opportunities.
CGBD currently ranks #116 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $715M
- P/E (trailing)
- 7x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $238M
- Net margin
- 15.5%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.41
- Gross margin
- 76.1%
- Debt / equity
- 1.21
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 6.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 68.8M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 34 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $11.17
- 200-day average
- $11.26
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.50 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 14.44%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-30
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-16
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-03
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 2 beat, 5 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+9.4%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-3.0%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-10.8%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-5.1%)
2025-06 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-7.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+7.0%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-4.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 3 buy · 4 hold · 1 sell (8 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $12.4
- Target vs last price
- +19.3%
What our data shows for CGBD
- Our model validated 14 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CGBD, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $9.99–$13.13.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 34.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CGBD
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
What people are saying
Follow the CGBD conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for CGBD show that the 50/200-day trend state shifted from uptrend to mixed this week, suggesting reduced momentum in the near-term price movement. The company's sector discount rank improved from 133 to 127 among Financial Services peers, indicating a slightly better relative valuation position within its sector. CGBD remains classified as overvalued at this time.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for CGBD show a shift in the 50/200-day trend state this week, moving from mixed to uptrend. The stock currently carries an overvalued verdict based on the analysis. This technical improvement suggests strengthening momentum in the short to intermediate term despite the current valuation assessment.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is CGBD stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), CGBD is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is CGBD's TickrTrends verdict?
CGBD's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does CGBD compare to other Financial Services stocks?
CGBD ranks #116 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is CGBD overbought or oversold?
CGBD's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does CGBD pay a dividend?
Yes. CGBD paid $1.50 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 14.44% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-30.
When does CGBD report earnings next?
CGBD's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-03, per the published earnings calendar.
Does CGBD usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters CGBD beat the consensus estimate 2 times and missed 5 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about CGBD?
Of 8 analysts covering CGBD, 3 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $12.4 (+19.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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