CSX Corporation (CSX) fair value analysis

S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

CSX Corporation is a transportation and logistics company that operates as one of the largest rail networks in the United States, providing freight rail services for various commodities including coal, automobiles, intermodal containers, and other goods. The company operates its rail network across the eastern United States, serving major metropolitan areas and industrial centers from the Midwest through the Southeast and up the East Coast.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, CSX is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

CSX currently ranks #84 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $49.41
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $34.85–$50.40

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Contracting
Revenue growth: Declining
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for CSX

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CSX, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $34.85–$50.40.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 39.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CSX
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent CSX news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CSX is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Here’s How Intermodal Demand Is Positioning CSX Corp. (CSX) for Growth (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-04)
TickrTrends take: CSX operates in the Industrials sector where intermodal transportation demand represents a significant growth driver for rail operators, yet TickrTrends currently assigns the stock an Overvalued verdict. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether CSX's intermodal revenue growth materializes at levels sufficient to justify current pricing, or whether the market may be pricing in optimistic demand assumptions ahead of actual results. The gap between growth potential and current valuation multiples will be critical to watch as intermodal trends develop.

What people are saying

Follow the CSX conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — CSX experienced a notable shift in its technical indicators this week. The 50/200-day trend state declined from an uptrend to a mixed condition, while momentum deteriorated from a C rating to none. Given these weakening indicators, the stock maintains an overvalued valuation verdict.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is CSX stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), CSX is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is CSX's TickrTrends verdict?

CSX's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does CSX compare to other Industrials stocks?

CSX ranks #84 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is CSX overbought or oversold?

CSX's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

CSX vs CMI · CSX vs DAL · CSX vs EXPD · CSX vs GWW · CSX vs HWM