CSX Corporation (CSX) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
CSX price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedCSX is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $47.26
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $33.68–$53.23
- Market cap
- $87.5B
- From 52-week high
- -11.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.85B
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #75 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
CSX Corporation is a transportation and logistics company that operates as one of the largest rail networks in the United States, providing freight rail services for various commodities including coal, automobiles, intermodal containers, and other goods. The company operates its rail network across the eastern United States, serving major metropolitan areas and industrial centers from the Midwest through the Southeast and up the East Coast.
CSX currently ranks #75 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $87.5B
- P/E (trailing)
- 26x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $14.5B
- Net margin
- 22.2%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.80
- Gross margin
- 100.0%
- Debt / equity
- 1.37
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 3.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.85B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 58 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $48.79
- 200-day average
- $44.86
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.55 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.16%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 3
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-11-30
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-15
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 4 beat, 3 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+8.0%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+10.3%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-4.9%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+4.8%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+4.8%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-8.1%)
2024-12 ▬ met (0.0%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-4.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 17 buy · 6 hold · 2 sell (25 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $52.7
- Target vs last price
- +11.5%
What our data shows for CSX
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CSX, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $33.68–$53.23.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 58.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CSX
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent CSX news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CSX is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.
- CSX Corporation 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:CSX) 2026-10-22 (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-22)
TickrTrends take: CSX Corporation released its third quarter 2026 earnings results, providing investors with updated financial performance data relevant to assessing the company's current market valuation. TickrTrends currently rates CSX as overvalued within the Industrials sector, suggesting that market price may not align with fundamental metrics at this time. Valuation-focused readers should examine whether the latest earnings presentation contains evidence of improved operational efficiency or margin expansion that could justify the current stock price, or alternatively whether results reinforce concerns about the overvaluation assessment. - CSX Corporation: Still Not Willing To Climb Aboard (NASDAQ:CSX) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-06)
TickrTrends take: CSX trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently classifies as overvalued relative to its fundamentals within the Industrials sector. An investor focused on valuation metrics would monitor whether operational improvements or market conditions narrow the gap between the company's current stock price and its intrinsic value assessment. The bearish valuation stance suggests watching for potential compression in multiples or fundamental deterioration that could either justify the current price or create downside risk. - CSX: A Top-Ranked Railroad, Hold Until It Finds A Floor (NASDAQ:CSX) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-29)
TickrTrends take: CSX is currently assessed as overvalued by TickrTrends within the Industrials sector, which suggests the market price may not align with fundamental value metrics at this time. For investors focused on valuation, monitoring whether CSX establishes a price floor becomes relevant, as this could potentially bring the stock closer to fair value levels. The railroad's operational quality does not automatically resolve valuation concerns, making price discovery an important factor to track before reconsidering position timing.
What people are saying
Follow the CSX conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — CSX experienced a notable deterioration in its quality grade this week, declining from D to F, while its RSI zone shifted from oversold to neutral conditions. These movements in TickrTrends' derived indicators reflect changing technical and fundamental dynamics for the railroad company. With a current valuation verdict of overvalued, investors may wish to monitor how these indicator changes develop in coming weeks.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — CSX's technical indicators shifted this week as its Relative Strength Index moved from the neutral zone into oversold territory, suggesting the stock may have experienced significant downward price momentum. With the current valuation verdict remaining at overvalued, the combination of oversold RSI conditions and elevated valuation multiples presents a mixed technical picture for the Industrials sector stock.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is CSX stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), CSX is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is CSX's TickrTrends verdict?
CSX's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does CSX compare to other Industrials stocks?
CSX ranks #75 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is CSX overbought or oversold?
CSX's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does CSX pay a dividend?
Yes. CSX paid $0.55 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.16% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 3 consecutive years. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-11-30.
Does CSX usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters CSX beat the consensus estimate 4 times and missed 3 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about CSX?
Of 25 analysts covering CSX, 17 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 2 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $52.7 (+11.5% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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