MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07
MercadoLibre, Inc. operates as an e-commerce and payments platform serving Latin America and the Caribbean. The company provides online marketplace services, logistics solutions, and digital payment systems across its regional markets.
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedBased on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, MELI is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
MELI currently ranks #20 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.
- Last price
- $1,898.79
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $1,718.97–$2,316.40
Derived indicators
Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.
- Quality grade
- A
- Momentum grade
- A
- Leverage
- Low
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- Revenue growth
- High
- RSI zone
- Neutral
- 50/200-day trend
- Mixed
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
What our data shows for MELI
- Our model validated 15 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MELI, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $1,718.97–$2,316.40.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 53.
- 4 of the last 12 weekly snapshots showed positive price momentum.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MELI
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
How Forward Fair Value works
TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.
Recent MELI news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MELI is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- MercadoLibre Is Building the Infrastructure Latin America's Economy Will Run on for Decades. Here's Why That Makes It a Forever Hold. (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: MercadoLibre's infrastructure investments position it as a long-term beneficiary of Latin America's economic digitalization, which aligns with TickrTrends' undervalued designation for the stock. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the company's near-term profitability metrics can keep pace with its capital expenditure commitments, as infrastructure buildouts typically pressure earnings before generating returns. The Consumer Cyclical sector classification means MELI's valuation could become more attractive or challenged depending on regional economic cycles and consumer spending patterns that affect the underlying adoption rates for its platform services. - MELI Reiterated by BTIG -- Price Target Maintained at $2150 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: BTIG's maintained price target of $2150 for MELI reflects analyst confidence in the e-commerce and fintech platform's business fundamentals despite market volatility. TickrTrends' undervalued designation suggests current market pricing may not fully capture the company's value relative to its growth prospects and competitive position in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether MELI's actual trading price moves toward analyst targets and track how the company's financial performance aligns with or diverges from these forward-looking assessments. - 2 Monster Stocks to Hold for the Next 10 Years (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: MercadoLibre appears in discussion of stocks positioned for long-term holding, which aligns with TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock trades at undervalued levels within the Consumer Cyclical sector. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether MELI's fundamentals continue to support the undervalued designation as the company executes its longer-term strategy. The intersection of positive long-term sentiment and current undervaluation suggests tracking quarterly results to confirm whether the market's pricing of the stock reflects the company's operational trajectory.
What people are saying
Follow the MELI conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-06 — MELI's momentum indicator improved from a C rating to an A rating this week, reflecting strengthened price momentum trends. With the current valuation verdict remaining at Undervalued, the company's derived indicators suggest a more favorable technical position compared to the prior week.
- 2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.
Frequently asked questions
Is MELI stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), MELI is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is MELI's TickrTrends verdict?
MELI's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does MELI compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
MELI ranks #20 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.
Is MELI overbought or oversold?
MELI's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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