MGM Resorts International (MGM) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07
MGM Resorts International is a hospitality and entertainment company that owns and operates casinos, hotels, and resorts primarily featuring gaming, dining, and entertainment amenities. The company operates properties across the United States, with significant presence in Las Vegas and other major markets, as well as international locations including Macau and other regions.
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedBased on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, MGM is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
MGM currently ranks #82 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.
- Last price
- $41.22
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $32.03–$50.69
Derived indicators
Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.
- Quality grade
- D
- Leverage
- High
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- Revenue growth
- Modest
- RSI zone
- Neutral
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
What our data shows for MGM
- Our model validated 11 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MGM, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $32.03–$50.69.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 30.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MGM
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
How Forward Fair Value works
TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.
Recent MGM news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MGM is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Acquisition Premium Injects Immediate Boost into MGM Resorts International (MGM) Shares (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: MGM Resorts International has received a valuation boost from acquisition premium activity, though TickrTrends currently classifies the stock as overvalued. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the near-term premium may mask underlying fundamental concerns that warrant careful examination of whether the stock's current price aligns with intrinsic value. Monitoring how the premium-driven gains interact with MGM's operational performance in the Consumer Cyclical sector will be important for assessing whether the stock's valuation trajectory supports or contradicts the overvalued assessment. - MGM Resorts International (MGM) -- Strong Performance Amidst Gaming Sector Growth | Meridian Hedged Equity Fund Q2 2026 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-03)
TickrTrends take: MGM Resorts is experiencing strong performance within a growing gaming sector, yet TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued. For investors focused on valuation metrics, this divergence between operational momentum and pricing suggests monitoring whether near-term earnings growth can justify current valuations or if the stock risks mean reversion. As a Consumer Cyclical company, MGM remains sensitive to economic cycles, making the gap between sector strength and overvaluation status a key tension point to track. - Trump to meet with travel industry CEOs as White House touts World Cup tourism boost (cnbc.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: MGM, a major player in travel and hospitality within the Consumer Cyclical sector, stands to benefit from potential tourism increases tied to World Cup events and White House engagement with travel industry leadership. However, given TickrTrends' current assessment that MGM is overvalued, investors should monitor whether any near-term tourism boost translates into earnings growth sufficient to justify current pricing or whether the stock remains disconnected from fundamental value. The cyclical nature of travel and hospitality means that policy support alone may not sustain valuations if broader economic conditions weaken or consumer discretionary spending contracts.
What people are saying
Follow the MGM conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-09-07 — MGM's valuation assessment shifted this week as TickrTrends' DCF cross-check band moved from overvalued to undervalued territory, indicating improved relative value according to the derived indicators. The stock remains classified within the Consumer Cyclical sector and reflects changing fundamental assessments based on the updated modeling bands.
- 2026-09-06 — MGM's RSI indicator shifted from oversold to neutral territory this week, suggesting reduced downward momentum in the stock. The Consumer Cyclical sector company remains classified as overvalued based on current valuation metrics.
- 2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.
Frequently asked questions
Is MGM stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), MGM is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is MGM's TickrTrends verdict?
MGM's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does MGM compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
MGM ranks #82 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.
Is MGM overbought or oversold?
MGM's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
More in Consumer Cyclical
Head-to-head comparisons
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