Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
NCLH price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedNCLH is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $15.57
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $14.12–$25.02
- Market cap
- $7.15B
- From 52-week high
- -37.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 459M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #78 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. operates cruise ship fleets under multiple brand names, providing vacation and leisure travel experiences to customers worldwide. The company maintains a significant presence across North America, Europe, the Caribbean, and other international destinations through its various cruise line operations.
NCLH currently ranks #78 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $7.15B
- P/E (trailing)
- 7x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $10.2B
- Net margin
- 7.5%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.14
- Gross margin
- 39.9%
- Debt / equity
- 5.84
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 1.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 459M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 54 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $15.87
- 200-day average
- $19.07
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-03
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+26.5%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+64.3%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+6.9%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+3.4%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-1.9%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-22.2%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+142.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+5.3%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 10 buy · 17 hold · 0 sell (27 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $19.4
- Target vs last price
- +24.6%
What our data shows for NCLH
- Our model validated 11 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NCLH, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $14.12–$25.02.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 54.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NCLH
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent NCLH news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for NCLH is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- NCLH Maintained by TD Cowen -- Price Target Lowered to $20 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: TD Cowen's reduction of NCLH's price target to $20 while maintaining its rating suggests the analyst sees modest near-term headwinds despite maintaining confidence in the company's fundamental story. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment, valuation-focused readers should monitor whether this analyst adjustment reflects temporary sector pressures in Consumer Cyclical stocks or signals changing expectations around cruise industry recovery and demand. The maintained rating paired with a lower target indicates a more cautious but not negative outlook, making it relevant for investors tracking whether NCLH can validate its undervalued designation amid analyst recalibrations. - Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) -- Navigating Challenges Amid Market Pressures | Ariel Fund Q3 2026 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-17)
TickrTrends take: Norwegian Cruise Line operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, which is sensitive to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that NCLH is undervalued, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor how the company manages operational costs and revenue per passenger amid the market pressures referenced in recent fund commentary. The cruise industry's capital intensity and cyclical nature mean that valuation gaps between current prices and intrinsic value may reflect either genuine underpricing or market concerns about near-term demand headwinds that warrant close scrutiny. - Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) -- Navigating Challenges in the Cruise Industry | Ariel Small Cap Value Concentrated Q3 2026 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-17)
TickrTrends take: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where valuations are sensitive to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns. TickrTrends currently identifies NCLH as undervalued, suggesting the market price may not fully reflect the company's fundamentals despite the operational challenges noted in the cruise industry. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor how NCLH manages these industry headwinds and whether the current pricing provides a margin of safety relative to its underlying business value.
More NCLH news
- Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings to Hold Conference Call on Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-15)
- Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It (zacks.com, 2026-10-15)
- NCLH Maintained by Wells Fargo -- Price Target Lowered to $18.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- Is It Too Late to Buy Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (NCLH) After 3.4% Rally? GF Value Says Undervalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-02)
- Investors Heavily Search Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH): Here is What You Need to Know (zacks.com, 2026-10-01)
What people are saying
Follow the NCLH conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector and is currently considered undervalued. The company's sector discount rank declined this week, moving from #34 to #44, indicating a weakening position relative to valuation metrics within its industry peers.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — NCLH's technical positioning improved this week as its relative strength index moved from oversold territory into neutral range, suggesting reduced downward momentum in the stock. The company's valuation relative to its Consumer Cyclical sector peers weakened slightly, with its sector discount rank declining from 28th to 34th position, indicating it now trades at a smaller discount compared to sector competitors. Despite this modest shift in relative valuation standing, NCLH remains classified as undervalued overall.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is NCLH stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), NCLH is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is NCLH's TickrTrends verdict?
NCLH's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does NCLH compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
NCLH ranks #78 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is NCLH overbought or oversold?
NCLH's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does NCLH report earnings next?
NCLH's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-03, per the published earnings calendar.
Does NCLH usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters NCLH beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about NCLH?
Of 27 analysts covering NCLH, 10 rate it a buy, 17 a hold and 0 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $19.4 (+24.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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