Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
MLCO price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedMLCO is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $4.15
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $4.14–$9.39
- Market cap
- $1.58B
- From 52-week high
- -55.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 380M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #1 of 85
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited is a casino and entertainment company that owns and operates resort properties featuring gaming facilities, hotels, restaurants, and entertainment venues. The company operates primarily in Macau and the Philippines, with additional properties in other Asian markets.
MLCO currently ranks #1 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $1.58B
- P/E (trailing)
- 7x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.23B
- Net margin
- 4.5%
- EPS (TTM)
- $0.62
- Gross margin
- 24.4%
- Debt / equity
- 0.00
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 7.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 380M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 33 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $4.89
- 200-day average
- $5.55
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Dividend
- None in the last 12 months (last ex-date 2020-02-28)
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▬ met (0.0%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+133.3%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+100.0%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+133.3%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+475.0%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+100.0%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-963.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+700.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 9 buy · 4 hold · 0 sell (13 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $6.5
- Target vs last price
- +56.6%
What our data shows for MLCO
- Our model validated 7 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MLCO, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $4.14–$9.39.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 33.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MLCO
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent MLCO news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MLCO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Melco Resorts & Entertainment: Strong Seasonality Ahead (NASDAQ:MLCO) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-24)
TickrTrends take: Melco Resorts & Entertainment operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, which typically experiences demand fluctuations tied to economic cycles and consumer spending patterns. Given TickrTrends' current assessment of MLCO as undervalued, the upcoming seasonal strength referenced in recent analysis could provide an opportunity to observe whether the company's operational performance aligns with or diverges from its valuation metrics. Investors focused on valuation should monitor how seasonal revenue trends translate into earnings results and whether they narrow or widen any gap between current market pricing and fundamental value indicators. - Melco’s Morpheus becomes Macau’s first hotel to receive Three MICHELIN Keys (manilatimes.net, 2026-09-23)
TickrTrends take: Melco's achievement of three Michelin Keys for its Morpheus hotel represents a rare luxury hospitality distinction in Macau that could strengthen the company's pricing power and guest retention in a competitive market. Given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, investors should monitor whether this accolade translates into measurable improvements in revenue per available room and occupancy rates in upcoming quarterly reports. The prestige associated with Michelin recognition typically supports premium positioning, which matters for a Consumer Cyclical company's ability to maintain margins during economic cycles. - MLCO Looks 28.8% Undervalued on GF Value™ (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: MLCO trades at a significant discount to its intrinsic value according to GF Value analysis, which aligns with TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment of the stock. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the Consumer Cyclical sector's sensitivity to economic cycles means that the timing and sustainability of this valuation gap warrant attention relative to broader economic conditions. Tracking whether MLCO's discount persists or narrows will be important for understanding whether current market pricing reflects genuine value or temporary pricing inefficiencies.
What people are saying
Follow the MLCO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — MLCO has shifted out of oversold territory this week, with its Relative Strength Index moving from the oversold zone into neutral range. The stock remains classified as undervalued based on current valuation metrics. This technical improvement suggests the security may be stabilizing after recent weakness.
- 2026-09-21 — MLCO's technical positioning has shifted this week as its Relative Strength Index moved from the neutral zone into oversold territory. This change in the RSI indicator suggests increased downward momentum in the stock's recent price movement. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict according to TickrTrends' derived indicators.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is MLCO stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), MLCO is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is MLCO's TickrTrends verdict?
MLCO's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does MLCO compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
MLCO ranks #1 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is MLCO overbought or oversold?
MLCO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does MLCO pay a dividend?
MLCO has paid no dividend in the last twelve months; its last ex-dividend date on file was 2020-02-28.
When does MLCO report earnings next?
MLCO's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05, per the published earnings calendar.
Does MLCO usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters MLCO beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about MLCO?
Of 13 analysts covering MLCO, 9 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $6.5 (+56.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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