NetScout Systems, Inc. (NTCT) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
NTCT price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedNTCT is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $38.07
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $25.47–$44.84
- Market cap
- $2.77B
- From 52-week high
- -15.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 72.7M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #127 of 181
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
NetScout Systems, Inc. provides software and hardware solutions for network performance management and cybersecurity, serving enterprise customers across various industries. The company operates globally with offices and operations in multiple countries including the United States, Europe, and Asia.
NTCT currently ranks #127 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $2.77B
- P/E (trailing)
- 15x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $883M
- Net margin
- 13.7%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.46
- Gross margin
- 78.9%
- Debt / equity
- 0.02
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 2.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 72.7M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 41 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $38.90
- 200-day average
- $35.77
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+52.4%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+13.0%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+22.0%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+37.8%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-16.7%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+6.1%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+36.2%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+4.4%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 2 buy · 1 hold · 0 sell (3 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $43.4
- Target vs last price
- +14.0%
What our data shows for NTCT
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for NTCT, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $25.47–$44.84.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 41.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for NTCT
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent NTCT news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for NTCT is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- NetScout Systems Inc (NTCT) Shares Surge 3.0% -- What GF Score of 61 Tells Investors (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
TickrTrends take: NetScout Systems Inc shares experienced a 3 percent increase, though the company's GF Score of 61 indicates moderate quality fundamentals that may not fully justify current valuation levels. According to TickrTrends analysis, NTCT is presently assessed as overvalued within the Technology sector, suggesting that recent share appreciation could outpace underlying business improvements. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's fundamentals strengthen sufficiently to support its current market price or whether the stock may face correction pressure. - NTCT Looks 63.1% Overvalued on GF Value™ (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-22)
TickrTrends take: NTCT is trading at a significant premium to its intrinsic value estimate according to GF Value methodology, which aligns with TickrTrends' current overvalued classification. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the gap between current price and estimated fair value suggests limited margin of safety in the Technology sector stock. Closing this valuation gap would likely require either a substantial price decline or fundamental improvements that justify the premium at which the company currently trades. - NetScout Systems (NTCT) Director Christopher Perretta Sells 7,000 Shares (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-15)
TickrTrends take: Director Christopher Perretta's sale of 7,000 shares represents a notable insider transaction at a time when TickrTrends' analysis indicates NTCT is trading at overvalued levels relative to its fundamentals. Insider selling activity, particularly from company leadership, can signal concerns about current valuation levels and may warrant attention from investors monitoring the Technology sector. Given the overvalued verdict, such insider dispositions could reinforce the cautionary view already reflected in the valuation assessment.
What people are saying
Follow the NTCT conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for NTCT showed a shift in trend momentum this week, with the 50/200-day trend state moving from an uptrend to a mixed state. The stock maintains an overvalued valuation verdict according to the current assessment. This transition to mixed trend conditions suggests a loss of clear directional conviction in the near-term price movement relative to longer-term trends.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — NTCT's 50/200-day trend state improved from mixed to uptrend this week according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. The stock remains classified as overvalued based on current valuation metrics. The uptrend development represents a shift in the stock's momentum trajectory within the Technology sector.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is NTCT stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), NTCT is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is NTCT's TickrTrends verdict?
NTCT's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does NTCT compare to other Technology stocks?
NTCT ranks #127 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is NTCT overbought or oversold?
NTCT's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does NTCT report earnings next?
NTCT's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05, per the published earnings calendar.
Does NTCT usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters NTCT beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about NTCT?
Of 3 analysts covering NTCT, 2 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $43.4 (+14.0% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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