OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
OSPN price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedOSPN is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $17.50
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $10.15–$18.42
- Market cap
- $645M
- From 52-week high
- -5.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 36.9M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #123 of 181
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
OneSpan Inc. is a technology company that provides digital security and identity verification solutions, including software and services designed to help organizations authenticate users and secure transactions. The company operates globally, serving financial institutions, government agencies, and enterprises across multiple regions.
OSPN currently ranks #123 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 6 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $645M
- P/E (trailing)
- 14x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $246M
- Net margin
- 27.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.27
- Gross margin
- 73.6%
- Debt / equity
- 0.05
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 0.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 36.9M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 44 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $17.03
- 200-day average
- $13.70
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.51 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 2.91%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-14
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-04
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+27.8%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+11.4%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+39.1%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+13.8%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+17.2%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+36.4%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-7.7%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+73.7%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 2 buy · 2 hold · 0 sell (4 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $18
- Target vs last price
- +2.9%
What our data shows for OSPN
- Our model validated 10 trailing price-to-earnings windows for OSPN, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $10.15–$18.42.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 44.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for OSPN
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent OSPN news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for OSPN is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP Adds 180,264 Shares in OneSpan Inc (OSPN) -- Stock Trades 25% Above GF Value (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Dimensional Fund Advisors LP's addition of 180,264 shares in OneSpan Inc occurs while TickrTrends currently rates the stock as overvalued, suggesting institutional buying and valuation metrics are moving in opposite directions. The 25% premium to GF Value represents a significant gap that typically narrows through either price declines or earnings growth, making this a critical tension point for investors focused on valuation discipline. Technology sector stocks trading substantially above intrinsic value assessments warrant close monitoring of whether upcoming fundamentals can justify the current premium or whether the gap will compress. - OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) Discusses Innovations Extending E-Signature Across Digital Agreement Workflows Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: OneSpan's focus on expanding e-signature capabilities within broader digital agreement workflows represents a product development strategy aimed at increasing platform value and customer stickiness. Given TickrTrends' current overvalued assessment, investors monitoring this technology company should evaluate whether these workflow innovations can justify the current valuation through demonstrable revenue growth and market share gains. The company's ability to convert expanded e-signature functionality into measurable customer adoption and retention metrics will be critical to determining whether the overvaluation designation shifts. - Investors Heavily Search ONESPAN INC (OSPN): Here is What You Need to Know (zacks.com, 2026-10-09)
TickrTrends take: OSPN is currently rated as overvalued by TickrTrends despite the elevated investor search interest reflected in this headline. Given the Technology sector's typical sensitivity to valuation multiples, investors focused on fundamental value should monitor whether the current search activity translates into earnings growth that could justify the stock's present valuation. The disconnect between search volume and the overvalued assessment suggests the market may be pricing in expectations that warrant careful scrutiny against actual financial performance.
More OSPN news
- Here is What to Know Beyond Why ONESPAN INC (OSPN) is a Trending Stock (zacks.com, 2026-09-24)
- Is OneSpan Inc (OSPN) Overvalued After 3.3% Rally? GF Value Says Overvalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-24)
What people are saying
Follow the OSPN conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for OSPN showed improvement this week, with the quality grade rising from D to B. Despite this positive shift in quality metrics, the current valuation verdict remains overvalued.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for OSPN show a decline in relative valuation positioning this week. The stock's sector discount rank fell from #144 to #156, reflecting a weakening position among Technology sector peers, while the valuation verdict shifted from Fairly valued to Overvalued.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is OSPN stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), OSPN is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is OSPN's TickrTrends verdict?
OSPN's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does OSPN compare to other Technology stocks?
OSPN ranks #123 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is OSPN overbought or oversold?
OSPN's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does OSPN pay a dividend?
Yes. OSPN paid $0.51 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.91% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-14.
When does OSPN report earnings next?
OSPN's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does OSPN usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters OSPN beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about OSPN?
Of 4 analysts covering OSPN, 2 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $18 (+2.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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