Patria Investments Limited (PAX) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
PAX price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedPAX is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $11.70
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $10.00–$17.59
- Market cap
- $1.92B
- From 52-week high
- -33.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 164M
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #30 of 167
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Patria Investments Limited is an alternative asset manager that provides investment management services across private equity, infrastructure, real estate, and credit strategies. The company operates primarily in Latin America, with additional operations serving clients across the Americas and other regions.
PAX currently ranks #30 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $1.92B
- P/E (trailing)
- 8x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $464M
- Net margin
- 12.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.39
- Gross margin
- 98.8%
- Debt / equity
- 1.06
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 1.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 164M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 69 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $11.01
- 200-day average
- $12.25
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price between the averages
- Momentum score
- 85 · grade A
- Positive weeks (of 12)
- 3
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.62 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 5.34%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-10
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-14
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-03
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 4 beat, 4 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+10.3%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-3.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+11.1%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+15.4%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-14.3%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-8.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+65.7%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-4.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 3 buy · 2 hold · 1 sell (6 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $15
- Target vs last price
- +28.2%
What our data shows for PAX
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for PAX, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $10.00–$17.59.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 69.
- 3 of the last 12 weekly snapshots showed positive price momentum.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for PAX
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent PAX news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for PAX is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Patria Investments Stock: Pink Tide, Red Chart, Surging Yields (NASDAQ:PAX) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-23)
TickrTrends take: PAX trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as undervalued within the Financial Services sector, suggesting potential discrepancy between its market price and fundamental value. The headline's reference to challenging market conditions and yield movements indicates the stock may be experiencing pressure that has created this valuation gap. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's fundamentals support TickrTrends' undervalued assessment or if market concerns warrant the current pricing. - Patria Announces Third Quarter 2026 Investor Call (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Patria's announcement of a third quarter 2026 investor call provides an opportunity for the market to assess whether the company's fundamentals justify TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment in the Financial Services sector. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor management commentary on revenue trends, profitability, and capital allocation to determine if current pricing reflects the company's underlying business performance. The call represents a key event for reconciling market expectations with actual operational results in a sector where transparent financial disclosure directly influences valuation credibility. - PAX Looks 24.8% Undervalued on GF Value™ as Dividend Concerns Mount (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-09)
TickrTrends take: PAX trades at a significant discount according to GF Value analysis, which aligns with TickrTrends' current undervalued classification for the Financial Services sector company. The emerging dividend concerns highlighted in recent analysis represent a key factor that valuation-focused investors should monitor, as changes to dividend policy could affect the total return profile and justify the current price discount. Readers tracking this stock should observe whether management addresses dividend sustainability in upcoming communications, as this will be critical to determining whether the current undervaluation represents a genuine opportunity or reflects legitimate risk concerns.
More PAX news
- Are Investors Undervaluing Patria Investments Limited (PAX) Right Now? (zacks.com, 2026-09-08)
What people are saying
Follow the PAX conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for PAX showed a momentum rating change this week, moving from none to A. With this upgraded momentum indicator now in place alongside the current undervalued valuation verdict, the stock presents a shift in its technical profile within the Financial Services sector.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — PAX has experienced significant shifts in its technical and fundamental positioning this week. The stock's 50/200-day trend transitioned from downtrend to mixed, while its quality grade declined substantially from A to F, and revenue growth contracted from the high band to modest levels. Additionally, the relative strength index moved from oversold into neutral territory, and the stock's sector discount ranking weakened from #22 to #32, though TickrTrends maintains an undervalued verdict for the Financial Services company.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — PAX has experienced a shift in its technical trend this week, with the 50/200-day trend state moving from mixed to downtrend. The stock's sector discount rank has improved significantly, moving from position #28 to #18 among Financial Services companies, indicating a more attractive valuation relative to peers. Despite the downtrend in price momentum, the current valuation verdict remains undervalued.
- 2026-09-21 — PAX's RSI moved into oversold territory this week, shifting from neutral conditions. The stock remains classified as undervalued based on current valuation metrics within the Financial Services sector.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is PAX stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), PAX is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is PAX's TickrTrends verdict?
PAX's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does PAX compare to other Financial Services stocks?
PAX ranks #30 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is PAX overbought or oversold?
PAX's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does PAX pay a dividend?
Yes. PAX paid $0.62 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 5.34% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-10.
When does PAX report earnings next?
PAX's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-03, per the published earnings calendar.
Does PAX usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters PAX beat the consensus estimate 4 times and missed 4 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about PAX?
Of 6 analysts covering PAX, 3 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $15 (+28.2% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Financial Services
Head-to-head comparisons
PAX vs ALL · PAX vs AMP · PAX vs COF · PAX vs ICE · PAX vs INDB