Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. is a financial services company that provides banking and related financial services through its subsidiary banks. The company operates primarily in Texas with additional operations in other select markets.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, TCBI is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.

TCBI currently ranks #26 of 165 Financial Services stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $101.29
Sector: Financial Services
12-month range: $83.71–$104.54

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: C-
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for TCBI

Our model validated 16 trailing price-to-earnings windows for TCBI, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $83.71–$104.54.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 50.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for TCBI
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent TCBI news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for TCBI is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

US Stock Market: NYSE opens Dallas regional headquarters as Texas emerges as ‘Y’all Street’ (economictimes.indiatimes.com, 2026-08-28)
TickrTrends take: The NYSE's expansion of operations in Dallas reflects growing economic momentum in Texas, which may support stronger earnings potential for regional financial services companies like TCBI that benefit from increased capital flows and business activity in the state. TickrTrends currently derives an Undervalued verdict for TCBI, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the advantages of operating in an increasingly prominent financial hub. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether TCBI's profitability metrics and asset growth accelerate as Texas continues to attract corporate headquarters and wealth management activity.
Texas Capital Bancshares: The 7% Preferred Stock Is Attractive (NASDAQ:TCBI) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-23)
TickrTrends take: Texas Capital Bancshares operates in the Financial Services sector where preferred stock offerings can represent significant capital structure decisions. TickrTrends currently assesses TCBI as undervalued, which provides context for evaluating whether preferred equity instruments are priced attractively relative to the company's overall market valuation. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor how preferred stock issuance affects the company's capital ratios and whether the pricing reflects the company's fundamental value trajectory.
Texas Capital makes big play on state's new stock exchange (americanbanker.com, 2026-08-21)
TickrTrends take: Texas Capital Bancshares' involvement with a new state stock exchange represents a strategic positioning move that extends beyond traditional banking operations into market infrastructure. For valuation-focused investors, this diversification into exchange operations could create new revenue streams and competitive advantages that may not yet be fully reflected in how the market prices the company. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that TCBI trades as undervalued, monitoring how this exchange initiative develops and contributes to earnings will be important for understanding whether the current valuation gap persists or narrows.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is TCBI stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), TCBI is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is TCBI's TickrTrends verdict?

TCBI's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does TCBI compare to other Financial Services stocks?

TCBI ranks #26 of 165 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is TCBI overbought or oversold?

TCBI's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Financial Services fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

TCBI vs ALL · TCBI vs BX · TCBI vs FFIN · TCBI vs KEY · TCBI vs KKR