Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
TSN price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedTSN is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $53.43
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $50.47–$68.75
- Market cap
- $19.3B
- From 52-week high
- -22.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 361M
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #32 of 61
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Tyson Foods, Inc. is one of the world's largest producers and distributors of chicken, beef, and pork products for retail and foodservice customers. The company operates facilities across the United States and in several international markets, including Mexico and other regions.
TSN currently ranks #32 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $19.3B
- P/E (trailing)
- 13x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $55.7B
- Net margin
- 1.0%
- EPS (TTM)
- $3.98
- Gross margin
- 6.6%
- Debt / equity
- 0.44
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 1.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 361M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 69 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $54.03
- 200-day average
- $59.74
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $2.04 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 3.82%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 12
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-12-01
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-15
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-16 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-3.9%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+11.5%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+3.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+38.6%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+16.7%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+12.2%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+29.5%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+33.3%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 5 buy · 7 hold · 1 sell (13 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $63
- Target vs last price
- +17.9%
What our data shows for TSN
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for TSN, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $50.47–$68.75.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 69.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for TSN
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent TSN news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for TSN is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Tyson Foods (TSN) Shares Dip Amid Newcastle Disease Outbreak in Brazil Poultry Facility (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Tyson Foods operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, which typically benefits from stable demand during economic uncertainty, though disease outbreaks can disrupt supply chains and margins in the poultry business. The Newcastle Disease outbreak at a Brazilian facility represents an operational risk that could affect production capacity and costs in a key sourcing region. Given TickrTrends' current Undervalued assessment, investors should monitor whether this outbreak remains contained to a single facility or expands, as the scope of disruption could influence whether the current valuation discount appropriately reflects near-term operational headwinds in the company's protein production. - Goldman Sachs Warns of Momentum Shift, Highlights Defensive Stocks like Tyson Foods (TSN) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Goldman Sachs' emphasis on defensive stocks aligns with TSN's positioning in the Consumer Defensive sector, where companies typically maintain steadier performance during economic uncertainty. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that TSN is undervalued, the bank's highlighted attention to defensive equities may provide fundamental support for the stock's valuation thesis, though investors should monitor whether the anticipated momentum shift materializes in TSN's earnings and cash flow metrics. The gap between current valuation levels and intrinsic value estimates will depend on how well TSN's business withstands any broader market transitions that Goldman Sachs is warning about. - Goldman Sachs Highlights Defensive Dividend Stocks Including Tyson Foods (TSN) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-18)
TickrTrends take: Goldman Sachs identified Tyson Foods as a defensive dividend stock worthy of attention, which aligns with TSN's positioning in the Consumer Defensive sector where stable cash flows and shareholder returns are valued characteristics. TickrTrends currently assesses TSN as undervalued, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the company's dividend appeal and defensive qualities that Goldman Sachs highlighted. Investors monitoring valuation metrics should observe whether analyst endorsements of TSN's dividend stability lead to increased institutional demand that could narrow the gap between current price and intrinsic value.
More TSN news
- Pilgrim’s Pride (PPC): Can Branded Chicken Growth Earn a Higher Valuation? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-12)
- Tyson Foods: Headwinds Warrant Caution (Downgrade) (NYSE:TSN) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-28)
- ICE Enforcement Hits Kansas Meatpacking Operations, Ranchers Say (livemint.com, 2026-09-25)
What people are saying
Follow the TSN conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for TSN showed two notable shifts this week. The Relative Strength Index moved from oversold territory into neutral zone, while the stock's sector discount rank declined from 35th to 42nd position within the Consumer Defensive sector. The current valuation verdict remains Undervalued.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for TSN showed two notable shifts this week. The relative strength index moved from neutral territory into oversold zone, while the stock's sector discount rank declined from 32 to 38, indicating a weaker valuation position relative to other consumer defensive stocks. The current valuation verdict remains undervalued.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for TSN show a deterioration in sector positioning this week, with the stock's sector discount rank declining from 24 to 32 among Consumer Defensive peers. Despite this widening gap relative to sector comparables, the stock maintains an Undervalued valuation verdict. The downward movement in discount rank suggests TSN is becoming less attractively priced relative to its sector peers on a relative basis.
Frequently asked questions
Is TSN stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), TSN is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is TSN's TickrTrends verdict?
TSN's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does TSN compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
TSN ranks #32 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is TSN overbought or oversold?
TSN's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does TSN pay a dividend?
Yes. TSN paid $2.04 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 3.82% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 12 consecutive years. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-12-01.
When does TSN report earnings next?
TSN's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-16 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does TSN usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters TSN beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about TSN?
Of 13 analysts covering TSN, 5 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $63 (+17.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Consumer Defensive
Head-to-head comparisons
TSN vs CENTA · TSN vs CL · TSN vs DG · TSN vs JBSS · TSN vs KHC