Walmart Inc. (WMT) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Walmart Inc. is a retail company that operates discount department stores and supermarkets selling groceries, apparel, household goods, and general merchandise. The company operates stores across the United States and in multiple countries internationally.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, WMT is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

WMT currently ranks #45 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $107.14
Sector: Consumer Defensive
12-month range: $101.18–$131.60

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range

What our data shows for WMT

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for WMT, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $101.18–$131.60.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 45.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for WMT
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent WMT news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for WMT is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

NIQ Research Reveals How Time, Trust and Support Are Reshaping the U.S. Mother and Baby Market (manilatimes.net, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: Walmart operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, a category that often benefits from demographic shifts and changing consumer priorities. The research highlighting evolving preferences in the mother and baby market segment represents a category where Walmart maintains significant retail presence through both WMT-branded and acquired brands. With TickrTrends currently assessing WMT as fairly valued, investors should monitor whether Walmart's positioning in this reshaping market category supports sustained competitive advantages or requires operational adjustments to maintain valuation stability.
Walmart Has Gone Practically Nowhere, While Target Is Up 68%. But Only 1 of These Dividend Kings Is a Buy in September. (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: Walmart's relative underperformance against Target this year presents a contrast worth examining for valuation-conscious investors given its Fairly valued designation. The Consumer Defensive sector stock's modest price movement creates a different risk-reward profile than its competitor, and investors tracking dividend sustainability should monitor whether Walmart's earnings growth can justify its current valuation multiple or signal further consolidation ahead. A valuation-focused reader should watch how Walmart's comparable store sales and profit margins trend in coming quarters, as these fundamentals will determine whether the Fairly valued rating holds or shifts.
There Are Only a Handful of S&P 500 Stocks That Yield Over 5%. Here's My Top Pick to Buy in September. (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-05)
TickrTrends take: Walmart's inclusion among the limited group of S&P 500 stocks offering yields above 5 percent reflects the income-generation characteristics that defensive sector investors seek during periods of market uncertainty. Given TickrTrends' assessment that WMT is fairly valued, investors should monitor whether the company's dividend yield remains sustainable relative to its earnings growth and cash flow generation. For valuation-focused readers, the key consideration is whether WMT's current yield adequately compensates for the limited upside potential typically associated with fairly valued defensive stocks.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is WMT stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), WMT is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is WMT's TickrTrends verdict?

WMT's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does WMT compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?

WMT ranks #45 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is WMT overbought or oversold?

WMT's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Defensive fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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