Walmart Inc. (WMT) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
WMT price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedWMT is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $111.35
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $100.61–$134.20
- Market cap
- $886B
- From 52-week high
- -17.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 7.96B
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #36 of 61
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Walmart Inc. is a retail company that operates discount department stores and supermarkets selling groceries, apparel, household goods, and general merchandise. The company operates stores across the United States and in multiple countries internationally.
WMT currently ranks #36 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $886B
- P/E (trailing)
- 40x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $736B
- Net margin
- 3.0%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.77
- Gross margin
- 26.1%
- Debt / equity
- 0.75
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 5.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 7.96B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 74 · overbought
- 50-day average
- $108.91
- 200-day average
- $118.27
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.98 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.88%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 1
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-12-11
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-08
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-19 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-07 ▲ beat (+11.0%)
2026-04 ▬ met (0.0%)
2026-01 ▼ miss (-24.3%)
2025-10 ▲ beat (+28.3%)
2025-07 ▲ beat (+18.9%)
2025-04 ▲ beat (+7.0%)
2025-01 ▬ met (0.0%)
2024-10 ▲ beat (+7.5%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 37 buy · 5 hold · 1 sell (43 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $127
- Target vs last price
- +14.1%
What our data shows for WMT
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for WMT, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $100.61–$134.20.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an overbought 74.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for WMT
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent WMT news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for WMT is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.
- Walmart bundles Walmart+ and Sam’s Club Plus memberships (supermarketnews.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Walmart's bundling of its Walmart+ and Sam's Club Plus memberships could enhance customer retention and lifetime value by creating stickier membership offerings, which may support the company's current fairly valued assessment. Investors monitoring valuation should track whether this strategy translates into higher renewal rates and cross-shopping behavior that could improve margins or accelerate membership revenue growth. For a Consumer Defensive stock, such bundling initiatives represent operational execution that could influence whether the company justifies its current valuation through improving unit economics and customer wallet share. - Walmart seeks $2.5 billion from US bond sale, weighs first Canadian-dollar offering (livemint.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Walmart's pursuit of a multi-billion dollar bond sale indicates the company is actively managing its capital structure and liquidity position, which investors tracking valuation metrics should monitor for any shifts in leverage ratios or debt-to-equity dynamics. The exploration of a Canadian-dollar offering suggests the company is diversifying its funding sources and potentially hedging currency exposure related to its North American operations. For valuation-focused readers, this capital-raising activity warrants attention to how the company deploys these proceeds and whether it impacts future profitability metrics or shareholder returns in the Consumer Defensive sector. - Walmart recalls 4.4 million grill brushes over serious injury risk (video.foxbusiness.com, 2026-10-09)
TickrTrends take: Walmart is recalling approximately 4 million grill brushes due to injury risks, which represents a product safety matter that could affect consumer confidence and brand reputation in the near term. While the Consumer Defensive sector generally provides stability during economic uncertainty, product recalls can create operational costs and potential liability exposure that investors should monitor for impact on margins. Given TickrTrends' assessment that WMT is fairly valued, valuation-focused readers should watch whether management addresses recall-related costs in upcoming guidance and whether such incidents influence the company's ability to maintain its defensive positioning.
More WMT news
- Walmart vs. Costco: Why the Cheaper Earnings Stock Costs More for Cash Flow (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-09)
- S&P 500 record, ICE's economic chill, Webull's China ties and more in Morning Squawk (cnbc.com, 2026-10-07)
What people are saying
Follow the WMT conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — WMT's relative strength index moved from the neutral zone into overbought territory this week, indicating that the stock has experienced rapid upward momentum. The Consumer Defensive sector holding remains fairly valued according to current valuation metrics, despite the recent price appreciation reflected in the technical indicator shift.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is WMT stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), WMT is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is WMT's TickrTrends verdict?
WMT's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does WMT compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
WMT ranks #36 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is WMT overbought or oversold?
WMT's 14-day RSI is in the overbought zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
Does WMT pay a dividend?
Yes. WMT paid $0.98 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.88% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 1 consecutive year. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-12-11.
When does WMT report earnings next?
WMT's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-19 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does WMT usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters WMT beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about WMT?
Of 43 analysts covering WMT, 37 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $127 (+14.1% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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